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Author: therealheisenberg

Apple, Amazon Results Leave Macro Questions Unanswered

April 28, 2022April 29, 2022

Amazon delivered disappointing revenue guidance after the bell Thursday, underscoring the notion that even the

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The Illusion Of A Stock ‘Market’

April 28, 2022April 29, 2022

So far, 2022 is a macro tragicomedy. I’ve long suspected my penchant for describing various

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3 Comments on The Illusion Of A Stock ‘Market’

Meanwhile, Sweden Executes ‘Record-Large’ Hawkish Pivot

April 28, 2022April 29, 2022

The Bank of Japan wasn’t the only central bank to surprise markets Thursday. Although the

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1 Comment on Meanwhile, Sweden Executes ‘Record-Large’ Hawkish Pivot

US Economy Moves To Brink Of Recession

April 28, 2022May 4, 2022

The US economy contracted at a 1.4% annualized rate during the first three months of

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8 Comments on US Economy Moves To Brink Of Recession

Bank Of Japan Throws Gas On Burgeoning Asia FX War

April 28, 2022May 3, 2022

It was all about the yen on Thursday, when the Bank of Japan surprised markets

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2 Comments on Bank Of Japan Throws Gas On Burgeoning Asia FX War

Of The Fed, We Now Demand The Impossible

April 27, 2022April 28, 2022

The Fed is attempting to do the impossible. That characterization could be applied to any

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6 Comments on Of The Fed, We Now Demand The Impossible

Surprise! US Pending Home Sales Slow, Mortgage Apps Dive

April 27, 2022May 1, 2022

Pending home sales fell more than expected in the US last month, data out Wednesday showed.

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1 Comment on Surprise! US Pending Home Sales Slow, Mortgage Apps Dive

Goldman On Russia’s Gas Halt: ‘This Raises The Stakes’

April 27, 2022April 28, 2022

The physical impact of Russia’s move to halt gas flows to Poland and Bulgaria is

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9 Comments on Goldman On Russia’s Gas Halt: ‘This Raises The Stakes’

‘Unacceptable’ Russia Gas Cuts Force EU Energy Reckoning

April 27, 2022May 6, 2022

The EU is “prepared” for a scenario in which Vladimir Putin threatens the bloc’s energy

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8 Comments on ‘Unacceptable’ Russia Gas Cuts Force EU Energy Reckoning

Poland Gas Cutoff, Tech Disaster Leave Markets Reeling

April 26, 2022April 27, 2022

It’d be difficult to imagine a more inauspicious mix of headlines than those investors confronted

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4 Comments on Poland Gas Cutoff, Tech Disaster Leave Markets Reeling

Deutsche Bank Stunner: ‘We Will Get A Major Recession’

April 26, 2022May 8, 2022

Starting last year, Deutsche Bank began publishing a new series of papers dedicated to furthering

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8 Comments on Deutsche Bank Stunner: ‘We Will Get A Major Recession’

Down Payment Burden For New Homes Hits $105,000

April 26, 2022May 4, 2022

New home sales in the US fell more than expected in March, data out Tuesday

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3 Comments on Down Payment Burden For New Homes Hits $105,000

Fed May Have Just Two Hikes Left, SocGen Quant Suggests

April 26, 2022April 27, 2022

Market pricing for Fed hikes went into overdrive late last week, when tail hedges for

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6 Comments on Fed May Have Just Two Hikes Left, SocGen Quant Suggests

US Home Prices Rose Most Ever On Eve Of Rate Surge

April 26, 2022April 26, 2022

A key gauge of US home prices notched another new record, data out Tuesday showed.

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China Tried To Talk Stocks Higher. It Didn’t Work

April 26, 2022April 26, 2022

The PBoC ran up against the law of diminishing returns Tuesday, when an attempt to

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2 Comments on China Tried To Talk Stocks Higher. It Didn’t Work

With Twitter Deal, Musk Vies For Surveillance Capitalist Crown

April 25, 2022May 2, 2022

Surveillance capitalism operates through unprecedented asymmetries in knowledge and the power that accrues to knowledge.

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10 Comments on With Twitter Deal, Musk Vies For Surveillance Capitalist Crown

China’s COVID-Zero Strategy Risks Global Stagflation

April 25, 2022April 27, 2022

The threat of never-ending, rolling lockdowns in the world’s second largest economy is a fixture

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6 Comments on China’s COVID-Zero Strategy Risks Global Stagflation

Rolling The Dice On A Falling Knife

April 25, 2022April 26, 2022

Who’s inclined to catch a falling knife? Not me, I’ll confess. Or at least not

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6 Comments on Rolling The Dice On A Falling Knife

Why JPMorgan Sees A ‘Near-Term Stock Rally’

April 25, 2022April 26, 2022

Stocks are likely to rebound this week amid rebalancing, hedging dynamics, incremental buyback flow and

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PBoC Forced To Intervene As Yuan Losses Turn Disorderly

April 25, 2022April 25, 2022

The PBoC stepped in to stanch profuse bleeding in the yuan Monday, after the currency

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Chinese Stocks Collapse As Beijing Situation Turns ‘Grim’

April 25, 2022April 25, 2022

Fears of a Shanghai-esque lockdown in Beijing undercut already fragile risk sentiment Monday, sending global

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2 Comments on Chinese Stocks Collapse As Beijing Situation Turns ‘Grim’

A Tail Risk Disappears As Le Pen Loses To Macron. Again

April 24, 2022April 30, 2022

Ostensibly, markets “dodged a bullet” Sunday, when Emmanuel Macron vanquished Marine Le Pen at the

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1 Comment on A Tail Risk Disappears As Le Pen Loses To Macron. Again

Traders Face Daunting US Data Docket Amid Fed Silence

April 24, 2022April 28, 2022

Whatever void is left by the absence of Fed banter in the new week will

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No Doves Allowed

April 24, 2022April 25, 2022

Weary investors can look forward to a short break from escalatory Fed rhetoric. Officials are

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1 Comment on No Doves Allowed

A Currency War May Be Coming To Asia

April 23, 2022May 5, 2022

Have you considered the possibility that the dollar is on the brink of a “super

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1 Comment on A Currency War May Be Coming To Asia

Cathie Wood Keeps The Faith

April 23, 2022April 24, 2022

Inflation is about to peak. Then, it’ll fall rapidly. Said nobody, anywhere. That macro narrative

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The Simple Reason US Stocks ‘Need’ To Fall Another 15%

April 23, 2022May 4, 2022

Monetary policy works on a lag, but over and over again in 2022, the Fed

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