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Author: therealheisenberg

US, Europe Both Risk Imminent Recession, Surveys Suggest

July 22, 2022July 25, 2022

A gauge of US services sector activity tumbled into contraction territory for July, suggesting the

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1 Comment on US, Europe Both Risk Imminent Recession, Surveys Suggest

Putin Sinks Uniper

July 22, 2022July 27, 2022

Uniper, Olaf Scholz said Friday in Berlin, was experiencing “great difficulty” from Germany’s gas crisis.

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1 Comment on Putin Sinks Uniper

Bond Bulls And Banana Republics

July 21, 2022July 22, 2022

As regular readers know all too well, I harbor something that looks (and feels) quite

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11 Comments on Bond Bulls And Banana Republics

Microsoft May Hold Keys To ‘Yikes Pain-Trade Rally’

July 21, 2022July 22, 2022

Charlie McElligott’s spidey sense is tingling. US equities and volatility rose simultaneously for two consecutive

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Layoffs And Another ‘Since The 70s’ Moment

July 21, 2022July 25, 2022

I’m not sure I’d call it “cause for concern,” but initial US jobless claims rose

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5 Comments on Layoffs And Another ‘Since The 70s’ Moment

ECB Exits NIRP, Unveils ‘TPI’ On Irony-Laden ‘Whatever It Takes’ Anniversary

July 21, 2022July 25, 2022

The ECB hiked rates for the first time in more than a decade Thursday and

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4 Comments on ECB Exits NIRP, Unveils ‘TPI’ On Irony-Laden ‘Whatever It Takes’ Anniversary

S&P Stunner: 60% Of Families Won’t Be Able To Afford A Home

July 20, 2022August 3, 2022

Bad news: The American dream may be unreachable. That was the overarching message from S&P

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21 Comments on S&P Stunner: 6021 Of Families Won’t Be Able To Afford A Home

Nobody Can Afford Anything

July 20, 2022July 21, 2022

Jesus, Seth. Listen, if you really wanna do this with your life you have to

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11 Comments on Nobody Can Afford Anything

Bad News Just Keeps Piling Up For US Housing Bubble

July 20, 2022July 21, 2022

Another day, another data point (or two) to suggest the previously red-hot US housing market

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5 Comments on Bad News Just Keeps Piling Up For US Housing Bubble

Run Money, Run

July 20, 2022July 22, 2022

We’re an excitable species. Especially when it comes to money, a god of our own

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9 Comments on Run Money, Run

Searching For Lehman. Finding Civil Unrest

July 19, 2022July 26, 2022

Lehman! GFC! Dot-com! LTCM! Lions, tigers and (especially) bears. “Oh, my!” From time to time,

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3 Comments on Searching For Lehman. Finding Civil Unrest

Mood Check: ‘Everything Is Better Than Feared!’

July 19, 2022July 21, 2022

“Traders bet the bottom is in,” one mainstream financial media outlet declared on Tuesday afternoon,

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5 Comments on Mood Check: ‘Everything Is Better Than Feared!’

House(s) Of Cards

July 19, 2022July 22, 2022

US housing starts fell more than expected in June, data out Tuesday showed. Last month’s

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1 Comment on House(s) Of Cards

The Next $20 Billion In Systematic Stock Buying

July 19, 2022July 20, 2022

“Active managers have generally moved to the sidelines [leaving] inelastic model-based players and passives chasing

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13 Comments on The Next $20 Billion In Systematic Stock Buying

Remember: Slower Hiring Is Actually A Good Thing

July 19, 2022July 19, 2022

There are too many unknowns to embolden dip-buyers. That was one generic explanation offered early

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Who You Gonna Believe, Economists Or Those Lyin’ CEOs?

July 18, 2022July 20, 2022

When it comes to forecasting, no year is a truly good year for economists. And

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17 Comments on Who You Gonna Believe, Economists Or Those Lyin’ CEOs?

‘Make No Mistake’: Popular Strategists Warn Against Complacency

July 18, 2022July 19, 2022

“Make no mistake, we don’t believe this bear market is over,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson

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3 Comments on ‘Make No Mistake’: Popular Strategists Warn Against Complacency

‘Priced Out’: Builders Fret As Reality Sets In On US Housing Bubble

July 18, 2022July 26, 2022

In a development that should surprise exactly no one, homebuilder sentiment plunged this month to

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3 Comments on ‘Priced Out’: Builders Fret As Reality Sets In On US Housing Bubble

‘What If The Future Isn’t So Tidy?’ McElligott Asks

July 18, 2022July 19, 2022

Reduced to the basics, market participants harbor a somewhat binary outlook on inflation and monetary

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5 Comments on ‘What If The Future Isn’t So Tidy?’ McElligott Asks

Goldman Trades Its Way Through ‘These Challenging Markets’

July 18, 2022July 22, 2022

“We delivered solid results in the second quarter as clients turned to us for our

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BofA Enjoys 22% NII Boost, Debit Card Spend Hits Record High

July 18, 2022July 18, 2022

Bank of America delivered a characteristically “meh” set of results on Monday. Revenue of $22.7

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2 Comments on BofA Enjoys 222 NII Boost, Debit Card Spend Hits Record High

‘Very Unusual’ Times

July 17, 2022July 18, 2022

“Very unusual-looking.” That’s how one rates strategist described the trajectory of the implied path for

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Awaiting ‘Proper Capitulation’

July 17, 2022July 23, 2022

A tsunami of corporate earnings will wash over markets in the weeks ahead. Generally speaking,

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11 Comments on Awaiting ‘Proper Capitulation’

Quiet Please

July 17, 2022July 20, 2022

It’s all housing on the data front in the US this week, and with Fed

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2 Comments on Quiet Please

Bête Noire

July 16, 2022July 17, 2022

A few days ago, a reader suggested the Fed, having woefully miscalculated while appraising both

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16 Comments on Bête Noire

Interstellar

July 16, 2022July 25, 2022

A never-ending deluge of headlines touting the developed world’s worsening cost of living crisis belies

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19 Comments on Interstellar

Citi Saves Stocks

July 15, 2022July 17, 2022

Citi to the rescue, apparently. I, for one, didn’t have “Citi saves stocks” on this

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4 Comments on Citi Saves Stocks

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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