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Author: therealheisenberg

Money Market Outflows Slow. Fed Bank Backstop Usage Hits Another Record

June 29, 2023

Money market funds saw outflows for a third consecutive week, but the pace slowed. Nearly

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Bear Flattener Still Pain Trade Amid Scorching US Data

June 29, 2023June 29, 2023

This quick take won’t win me any awards for riveting storytelling, but I’d be totally

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James Bond Geopolitics Fail To Stir Somnolent Summer Market

June 29, 2023June 30, 2023

It feels like there’s a lot going on these days. In part, that’s because there

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3 Comments on James Bond Geopolitics Fail To Stir Somnolent Summer Market

Retail Investor Euphoria May Be Fading

June 29, 2023June 30, 2023

Some of the retail euphoria which helped push US equities into bull market territory may

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Hot US Economy Stuns Again With Big GDP Revision, Plunging Claims

June 29, 2023July 24, 2023

Thursday brought still more evidence of US economic resilience in the face of an ostensibly

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8 Comments on Hot US Economy Stuns Again With Big GDP Revision, Plunging Claims

Waiting Game

June 29, 2023June 30, 2023

For the second straight day, Jerome Powell spoke in Europe about the outlook for US

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‘The Recession That Refused To Realize’

June 28, 2023June 29, 2023

Over the last several days, the US economy once again demonstrated a remarkable capacity to

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The Paradoxical Legacy Of 2023’s US Banking Crisis

June 28, 2023July 24, 2023

Was America’s regional banking crisis a tempest in a teapot? (And yes, the Jamie Dimon

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1 Comment on The Paradoxical Legacy Of 2023’s US Banking Crisis

Biden May Escalate China Tech War With Updated Chip Ban

June 28, 2023

To the extent corporations are inclined to pretend there’s something ambiguous about the Biden administration’s

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5 Comments on Biden May Escalate China Tech War With Updated Chip Ban

Powell Regales Sintra

June 28, 2023June 29, 2023

Jerome Powell regaled the ECB’s annual central banking conference in Sintra on Wednesday. His remarks

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Rationalizing The Unreal

June 28, 2023

“Equities are detached!” laments are admittedly tired, usually clichéd and rarely useful. The problem with

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Was ‘General Armageddon’ In On Russian Mutiny?

June 28, 2023July 24, 2023

“General Armageddon” might’ve been invited to Yevgeny Prigozhin’s mutiny. According to US intelligence, Sergei Surovikin,

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5 Comments on Was ‘General Armageddon’ In On Russian Mutiny?

Stocks Need A ‘Soft No Landing’

June 27, 2023June 27, 2023

Vladimir Putin’s grip on Russia may be loosening, but the US labor market isn’t. Or

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A Quick Word On Prigozhin’s ‘Accidental Coup’

June 27, 2023June 28, 2023

This time last year, geopolitical observers were beginning to question their assumptions about an inevitable

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New US Home Sales Skyrocket Amid Acute Resale Property Shortage

June 27, 2023June 28, 2023

New US home sales exploded higher in May, underscoring the bifurcated character of America’s hopelessly

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Markets Increasingly Disconnected From Macro On Soft Landing Odds

June 27, 2023June 28, 2023

Equities are increasingly priced for a soft landing. You can look at that one of

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5 Comments on Markets Increasingly Disconnected From Macro On Soft Landing Odds

US Home Prices See ‘Broad-Based’ Rebound In Potential Problem For Fed

June 27, 2023June 28, 2023

US home prices rose more than expected on a monthly basis at the beginning of

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1 Comment on US Home Prices See ‘Broad-Based’ Rebound In Potential Problem For Fed

The Straightforward Case For A Modest Selloff On Wall Street

June 26, 2023

The best argument for a pullback on Wall Street may be the simplest: There hasn’t

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Dorothy And The Frankenstein Cycle

June 26, 2023June 27, 2023

“Toto, I’ve a feeling we’re not in Kansas anymore,” said macro watcher after macro watcher in

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Mike Wilson Will Make Bears Of You Yet

June 26, 2023July 24, 2023

There’s a “vigorous debate” going on right now around the outlook for equities, and particularly

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Checking The Taiwan Barometer

June 26, 2023

When it comes to global growth canaries, you could do worse than Asian exports and

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Hard Landing, Loose Nukes

June 26, 2023June 27, 2023

Hard landing odds are going up again. That was the narrative early Monday. It’s hard

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Kolanovic, JPMorgan See Stormy Seas For Frothy Equity Market

June 25, 2023June 27, 2023

Rally skeptics abound as the second half of what already counts as another extraordinary year

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9 Comments on Kolanovic, JPMorgan See Stormy Seas For Frothy Equity Market

Have We Seen The Merciful Last Of Front-End Rates Fireworks?

June 25, 2023

If you’re looking for a good news story told from a broad, societal perspective, I’m

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Another Week In A Broken System

June 25, 2023June 26, 2023

“Some” indicators of inflation are “clearly coming down,” one rates strategist told Bloomberg Television last

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Fortune And Glory

June 24, 2023June 26, 2023

US equities are expensive, and the “Magnificent 7” even more so. Those observations are hopelessly

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Criminal Adventures

June 24, 2023July 2, 2023

If you’re going to stage a military coup, you generally need military buy-in. Ideally, you

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