US existing home sales fell again in August, and prices were higher compared to the
Author: therealheisenberg
Bank Of England ‘Surprises’ With Confused Hold
Consensus is lacking at the Bank of England. The BoE on Thursday kept rates on
The Primary Objective
Through trial and, hopefully, not too much error, the Fed will discover what degree of
Fed Leaves Door Open To Additional Hike. Signals Fewer 2024 Cuts
The Fed on Wednesday kept rates on hold but left the door open to one
Macro Shock Needed Amid ‘Aloof’ Vol, McElligott Says
You’ve heard it again and again. Or at least you have if you frequent these
‘Who’s Left’ To Buy Tech? The Case For A More Egalitarian Rally
“Read my lips: Equal-weighted over cap-weighted index.” So insisted BofA’s Savita Subramanian on Wednesday, while
A Word On Savita Subramanian’s New, Bullish S&P Target
Pretty much every week, someone writes in to ask about the alleged disparity between the
UK Is Winning Inflation Fight, ‘Plain And Simple’
“Bloody hell! It’s about time.” Or something. However you’d express exasperated gratitude for good news
Fed Should Look In The Mirror For R-Star Clues
If the Fed’s searching for clues about what drives shifts in the market’s perception of
Can Volodymyr Zelensky Keep Americans Interested In Ukraine?
Volodymyr Zelensky accused Russia of genocide (and a lot of other things) on Tuesday, during
The Road To Mutual Assured Economic Destruction
When taken together, Xi Jinping’s ill-conceived economic nationalism and Western efforts to de-risk supply chains
Germany’s Ongoing Lesson: You Can’t Depend On Dictators
Germany is learning the hard way: You can’t depend on authoritarian regimes and autocracies for
OECD Update Underscores US-China Economic Divergence
The OECD is concerned about the outlook for the global economy. That’s a tautology depending
Housing Market Roller Coaster Continues As New Construction Plunges
The pace of new construction in the US plunged in August, data released on Tuesday
Qin Gang Had ‘Lifestyle Issues’
Qin Gang had “lifestyle issues.” Qin, the geopolitical observers among you may recall, went missing
Dollar Shorts Washed Out Ahead Of Fed
I’ve been on at some length recently about the dollar, and specifically about recent dollar
Kolanovic: Real Rate, Stock Valuation Disconnect ‘Increasingly Unsustainable’
It’s a familiar refrain: The re-rating behind 2023’s US equity rally is incongruous with elevated
‘Sell Prem, Live The Dream’: Vol-Selling Has Never Been More Reliable
It’s virtually never been more reliably profitable to sell vol. I’ve been over this and
America Can’t Afford Not To Pay Its Workers
I can be abrasive. What else is new, right? I like to think that’s one
As Mortgage Payments Double, Builder Sentiment Buckles
Would-be US homeowners have seen their buying power “significantly eroded” over the past two months.
Mike Wilson Likes Energy Stocks
Is it late-cycle? Does a hard landing loom? Or is the US economy on the
Goldman Says Buy VIX Calls. ‘Major Market Corrections’ Occur In October
If you see a “major market correction” next month, it may not be a coincidence.
US Housing In Focus As 60,000 Deals Fall Through Amid Record Costs
The September FOMC meeting isn’t the only thing on the schedule in the US this
Connecting The (FOMC) Dots
Given that the Fed almost surely isn’t going to raise rates on Wednesday, it might
What To Expect From The September FOMC Meeting
Obviously, the Fed intends to keep rates on hold at this week’s policy gathering. Several
The Dollar As A Petrocurrency
A week ago, I asked how much further the dollar could run. The greenback was
The IPO Market Lives!
The post-pandemic ECM bonanza came to a screeching halt in 2022 as the Fed ratcheted
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