Join institutional investors, analysts and strategists from the world's largest banks: Subscribe today for as little as $7/month
Already have an account? log in
Markets Just Witnessed An ‘Absolute Game-Changer,’ One Bank Says
What did I say on Wednesday?
To tell you the truth, I don't remember -- or at least not all of it. I say quite a bit each day, and although my synapses are more than a half-decade removed from my last Balvenie, I'll confess that on some days, I look back at articles penned just 48 hours previous and think "Wow, that was just two days ago?"
But that's the nice thing about keeping a running, written record of daily musings. You can always just take a look at what you said, and revel in the times
The main issue to focus on here, is hot retail sales that don’t need support from low wage earners. Going forward, the pandemic has supercharged AI, robotics and general corporate greed — and thus the realization that efficiency/productivity and revenue all can occur without all those people waiting for a phased-in minimum wage of $15/hr.
That sad fact is also connected to the booming real estate markets, where lower wage people don’t matter in terms of market growth.
The multi-decade wage stagnation and income inequality reality of the past is thus an inconvenient nagging nuisance that doesn’t matter too much to anyone, except the millions of people being discarded. Those people are also the recipients of on-going stimulus, often, because they’re old, unhealthy, uneducated and thus lacking skills to compete with robots — drug addicts, criminals and the dregs of society who don’t fit into the new wild west of stock speculators.
The only thing different about today and the lingering decay of the GFC is that this new recession and recovery has apparently happened within months versus years, and the people on the lower rungs of the economic ladders are being discarded at a far faster rate. Although stimulus is still in the spotlight to help support some people, once it does fade away, these people on life support really have no way forward.
A jobless recovery going forward will cause more inequality, homelessness, crime, healthcare problems, addictions and various maladies that have kept many of these people frozen in time. Instead of making economic progress in terms of social value, we seem destined to pay a price for ignoring the cancer-like decay that’s not only on the horizons, but at our feet.
Maybe in time things will get better, maybe trump will become like Teddy Roosevelt, giving us a modern Bull Moose Party, which will blow apart the GOP, while in time a new Franklin Delano Roosevelt, will emerge — reshaping our society into something better — perhaps a society that doesn’t discard millions of its citizens.
Sorry to rant.
10yr yld has been moving up almost one point every 24 hours so far this year. I might start buying CDs again by summer 😉
In the spirit of BAML observation, what chance is there for one of JayPo’s infamous 180 degree pivots where he “gently” discusses a timetable for merely a signal that the Fed is ready to scale back thier monetary accomodation. May 22, 2013 is ringing in my ears
Maybe the $600 was spent and not saved because it had to be, people were that broke. Maybe the $1400 won’t all be spent because are scared.
Maybe the $600 was spent because people were confident that the $1,400 was on its way. It seems very likely that people will be more cautious with the $1,400 check than they were with the $600. With the $1,400 they may be very cautious as there is no more stimulus in the pipeline.