Rotate Me.
“The past few weeks have been marked by significant rotations.”
“The past few weeks have been marked by significant rotations.”
A somber day. An ebullient market.
“If you dared suggest maybe their theories might be flawed, you were labeled a luddite who did not understand the massive imbalances in the global financial system.”
Whatever the case, this is going to depend largely on whether…
Ok, who’s ready for another visual that depicts the extent which everything you were worried about headed into September is suddenly nothing to worry about anymore?
“And before you send me messages how I don’t understand it, don’t forget I was mining bitcoin before most of Wall Street had ever heard of it.”
“There’s an oft-quoted cliche that the definition of insanity is trying the same thing over and over expecting a different result.”
Will this time be different? Or will the “hope” inherent in the latest spike on the purple line fade away just like it has before?
“The difference this time is that those macro pressures are being combined with a broad array of idiosyncratic negatives.”
There will be blood.
“Either way, you gotta be super smart to run a country and sell vol. buddy, okay? It’s not easy.”
“To some extent the market’s resilience is justified; in other cases, however, it looks like a case of when rather than if potential shocks get priced in.”
“High October volatility is visible in each major index and sector over the past 30 years.”
“It’s not crazy”…
“… the bears could catch up into year-end.”
Well for those who had their doom bunkers all prepped and ready, there’s “good” news on Tuesday – the apocalypse is back on.
Oh good! Another “what could go wrong” moment.
“…game theory suggests that the North Korean leadership has a strong incentive to bring forward the final phase of the Game of Chicken.”
Given the well-choreographed and gradual adjustment, we expect that asset markets will avoid another ‘taper tantrum.'”
You’d probably be wise to do the same.
So when it looked like the last, lonely U.S. reflationist was about to throw in the towel, it felt like everyone was suddenly scrambling around to explain why yields were too low – maybe in an attempt to appease the market Gods who are thought to dislike crowded trades.
“At last Treasury yields are rising,” Bloomberg’s Paul Dobson writes this morning, projecting what he imagines
“I can’t do it. I can’t embrace the machines and the vol selling and the ETF parade and the central bankers’ “communication policyâ€. So I’m NOT happy. I don’t sleep well. I DON’T trust the Fed, much less love them, and I never will.”
As Bloomberg’s Cameron Crise notes, this is “a particularly acute issue for currency and bond traders,” but given the fact that the fate of the risk rally depends in no small part on whether policymakers exhibit an “appropriate” level of dovishness as they attempt to normalize, one could well argue that it’s even more “acute” for equity investors, especially considering the fact that the retail variety isn’t usually very informed and is thus subject to being unhedged and blindsided.
“The question every client asks: ‘Is an equity correction imminent?’ The impetus for the inquiry comes from several sources”…
Gold’s recent rally has of course reignited the eternal debate about the relative merits of owning largely useless pieces of metal as a “hedge” against the end times. But perhaps more important than the debate about whether it makes sense to own something that can’t be eaten or burned as protection against a scenario that leaves us all living in Cormac McCarthy’s The Road, is the question of where real rates are headed…
Just one more day of this before the weekend, when we’ll all get to put up the plywood and hide in the basement as Irma turns Florida into Atlantis and Kim turns Tokyo into Dresden…
You must be logged in to post a comment.