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Featured

The Dark Side Of Liquidity: The Genealogy Of The AI Arms Race

November 9, 2026
  • Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026

Markets

Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 9, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

economy

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

Chart Check (One Word And One Word Only)

February 14, 2017February 14, 2017

Earlier on Tuesday, I brought you some excerpts from Goldman’s corporate “Beige Book.” Essentially, the

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2 Comments on Chart Check (One Word And One Word Only)

Here’s What Corporate America Is Most Concerned About

February 14, 2017

Do you want to know what corporate America cares about? Sure you do. After all, you’re

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Janet Yellen Has A Valentine For You

February 14, 2017

As noted earlier this morning, Valentine’s Day is all about Janet Yellen on Capitol Hill. Although

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Yellen Yellin’ On Capitol Hill, Dollar Slumps, Toshiba Turmoils, China PPI, German GDP: Enough Said

February 14, 2017

Ok, so there was actually quite a bit going on overnight, but needless to say,

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Key Calls (Tuesday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

February 14, 2017February 14, 2017

Are your stocks on the list?

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Stagflation Cometh?

February 13, 2017February 13, 2017

From the very beginning – that is, from the time Trump was elected – there’s

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Poetic Justice? Europe “Celebrates” 25 Years Of Integration With Descent Into Chaos

February 13, 2017February 13, 2017

Proponents of the nationalistic fervor currently spreading across Europe will likely find some poetic justice in the fact that the dissolution of the EU could ultimately unfold just as the bloc celebrates a milestone in time.

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I Like My Term Structures Kinky

February 13, 2017

I’ve talked quite a bit about how the US equity market is grossly mispricing political

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1 Comment on I Like My Term Structures Kinky

Tragic Irony: How Trump And Le Pen Perpetuate Radical Islam’s Apocalyptic World View

February 13, 2017

One of the most tragically ironic things about populism anno 2017 is the extent to which it reflects the very same radicalism its adherents claim to be fighting against.

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1 Comment on Tragic Irony: How Trump And Le Pen Perpetuate Radical Islam’s Apocalyptic World View

Heisenberg Challenge: To “Hedge” Or Not To “Hedge”

February 13, 2017

Submitted for your approval: an amusing comparison.

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hedge funds1 Comment on Heisenberg Challenge: To “Hedge” Or Not To “Hedge”

Spot The Country Not Facing A Political Black Swan

February 13, 2017

Odd one out…

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Chart Check (Going Global On Valuations)

February 13, 2017

Valuations have become something of a hot topic of late for one very simple reason:

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“Substantial Volatility” Ahead: One Bank’s Take On Yen-Sanity

February 13, 2017

Well it’s all about USDJPY on Monday. Of course if you’ve traded these markets professionally

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Trump Official Inauguration Poster Misspells “Too”: No, Really

February 13, 2017

“This print captures the essence of Donald Trump’s campaign.”

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3 Comments on Trump Official Inauguration Poster Misspells “Too”: No, Really

“The World May All Be Crazy”: High Five On Golf Course Underpins Global Rally

February 13, 2017

“Investors are taking comfort from the hope that, while the world may all be crazy, it hasn’t completely forgotten the realities of Mutually Assured Destruction.”

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Low Bar: “The Fact That Trump Met Another World Leader And Didn’t Cause An International Incident Is Now A Notable Event”

February 13, 2017

Boy I gotta tell you, the bar is pretty f*cking low these days. Going into

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Markets Relieved After Trump/Abe Meeting, Reflation Narrative Intact

February 13, 2017February 13, 2017

Well, it was all aboard the reflation train right out of the gate in early

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on Markets Relieved After Trump/Abe Meeting, Reflation Narrative Intact

Key Calls (Monday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

February 13, 2017

Are your stocks on the list?

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The French Connection

February 12, 2017

With French election risk front and center, and having spent what is probably an inordinate

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1 Comment on The French Connection

Bad Chinese

February 12, 2017

By now, you’re probably aware that China is in a tough spot. As I’m fond

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“This Time, The Experts Aren’t Exaggerating”: A Former Goldmanite’s Warning To Markets

February 12, 2017

“Both of these inferences are wrong. The risk of a President Le Pen is far lower than the ex ante risk of Brexit or President Trump was last year, but the consequence of her winning would be far worse.”

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Chart Check Double Feature (Reflation Nation)

February 12, 2017

Time and again I’ve emphasized the importance of watching cross-asset correlations and positioning data as

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This Is What BofAML’s Clients Are Most Concerned About…

February 12, 2017

Surprise, surprise…

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Whatever You Do, “Don’t Ignore Him”: One Bank’s Advice On President Trump

February 12, 2017

“A weaker USD, lower yields, strong equities, low vol and strong EM suggest that markets do not expect US fiscal stimulus this year, but also do not expect trade protection. We strongly disagree”…

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1 Comment on Whatever You Do, “Don’t Ignore Him”: One Bank’s Advice On President Trump

Asleep At The Wheel: “Clients Are Asking If Our Models Are Updating Properly”

February 12, 2017

Assuming this “asleep at the wheel” dynamic can’t persist for much longer, spreads have to either compress further or blow out. Which do you think is more likely?

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This Is How Much A Stronger Dollar Hurts Multinationals

February 12, 2017February 12, 2017

If you have multinational US corporate behemoths in your portfolio, you’re probably acutely aware of

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Fitch Blasts Trump: He’s “A Risk To International Economic Conditions”

February 12, 2017February 12, 2017

In a further testament to the impact the resurrection of nationalism will likely have on markets, Fitch was out Friday warning that Trump’s policies could well prove catastrophic for the rest of the world.

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • Frederic MARI on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)
  • Frederic MARI on Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)
  • SeaTurtle on The Dark Side Of Liquidity: The Genealogy Of The AI Arms Race
  • T-Dog on Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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