Chart Check (How Will Stocks Close On Inauguration Day?)
Dow 20,000 by 4 p.m. EST?
Yours Truly On Inauguration Eve…
On Wednesday night I had a terrible dream. Let me tell you all about it…
One Trader’s Take On Trump’s Inauguration Speech
“Markets will be shy about a knee-jerk buy-the-rumor, sell- the-fact reaction. But those so inclined will be just as watchful and eager for the right time to do it.”
Trump: 3 Scenarios For Markets
Wondering how markets will perform under Trump? Of course you are. Since no one is sure
Big Trouble In Little China
Given that today is Donald Trump’s coronation, it’s somewhat ironic that we begin in China, where the Politburo was kind enough to tell us what they want us to think GDP is.
Daily Kickstart (The Day The Earth Stood Still)
The Ringling Bros. may have pulled up the stakes for good, but the circus is in town today in Washington, complete with all of the usual attractions including an orange elephant, who at 12 noon will “trump”et to an awestruck crowd.
Inauguration Day: Last Minute Analysis From Wall Street
“Investors appear to be struggling to reconcile the policies of President-Elect Donald Trump with those of candidate Donald Trump”…
Chart Check (Hedge Fund Performance Edition)
This is what “2 and 20” gets you…
It’s Time To Start Worrying About FX Vol
I think it’s probably time to start getting concerned about FX vol. This morning’s dovish
Peak Trump?
“Trump’s election is the news equivalent of a financial crisis.”
What “Great Rotation”?
So by now you’ve all heard the “great rotation” theory. Hell, maybe you’ve even perpetuated
Caption Contest (Brexit Edition)
Staring contest…
Daily Kickstart (ECB Preview; Why Did Tarzan And Suicide Squad Suck So Bad?)
It feels quiet out there on Thursday morning. On Wednesday, a fairly potent one-two punch
Black Swans Everywhere: Hedge Fund Positions By Standard Deviation
There’s been no shortage of commentary both in these pages and elsewhere about just how
Full Energy Retard
Some of the most incredible charts you’ll ever see are those depicting spread compression in
Chart Check (Spot The Odd One Out)
Reflections on the reflation trinity…
The Trend May Bend, “But Will It Break”?
“Trends go through life cycles. There’s more to them than just a big move that happens because some market theme becomes all the rage.”
Is Now The Time To Short The British Pound?
Ok, so sterling had its best day since 2008 on Tuesday. It was as if
Daily Kickstart (Yen, Gold Fall; Inflation, IP Data, Goldman, Yellen All On Deck)
Traders put the brakes on the flight to safety bid on Wednesday as gold and the
Ray Dalio: “Populism Scares Me”
Anyway, it’s not populism that should “scare” Dalio, it’s the possibility that stock/bond return correlations flip positive and stay there during some kind of nightmarish VaR shock that sees 10s at 3.5%+.
Where Liberals Screwed Up
Perhaps trying to frighten voters away from the populist cause by referencing dire economic consequences isn’t the best way to go about things when there are plenty of other common sense arguments for preserving a progressive agenda and for cultivating multiculturalism.
Where Are Stocks Headed? Let’s Ask The News
Apparently, the number of times the words “bullish” and “bearish” appear in Bloomberg stories is correlated to S&P 500 performance.
Russia Prints Commemorative Trump Coin (Video Included)
“One side of the coins feature an image of Mr. Trump’s face, while the other shows the Statue of Liberty and has an inscription of the ‘In Trump we trust’ slogan.”
Chart Check (The Most Important Chart In The World)
What happens to stocks now?…
Tuesday Humor (“Heroes”)
“I don’t like heroes. The concept of heroes is never great”…
“Nothing To Get Bullish About”: Is The Long Dollar Trade Dead?
“There’s nothing to get bullish about in la-la dollar-land”…
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