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Featured

The Dark Side Of Liquidity: The Genealogy Of The AI Arms Race

November 9, 2026
  • Buy The Dip? (Honeypot Training)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • What Are Treasurys Telling Us?

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Megaspeed Indeed. (Two Huangs Don’t Make A Right)

    November 9, 2026November 9, 2026

Markets

Jensen Got Honey-Trapped

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 9, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

    November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026

economy

Inflation Week!

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 9, 2026

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

November 3, 2026November 8, 2026

One Chart Summarizes The Road Ahead For The Trump Agenda

March 27, 2017

“Is this GOP Congress an opposition party or a governing party?”

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For The First Time Outside Of A Bear Market, Fund Closures Exceed Launches

March 27, 2017

“Managers should not hope for a ‘cyclical return to flavour’ for a fund.”

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Dear Donald Trump: Explain This Chart

March 27, 2017

“There is another worry on the horizon”…

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2 Comments on Dear Donald Trump: Explain This Chart

How To Beat Warren Buffett (And SPY) Working Only 40 Days Per Year

March 27, 2017March 27, 2017

Last week in “How To Exploit The Passive Herd With One Simple Strategy,” we highlighted

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Right-Wing Website “Westmonster” Can’t Believe Twitter Would “Censor” Drudge Report

March 27, 2017

“It’s shocking censorship that should worry us all!”

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3 Comments on Right-Wing Website “Westmonster” Can’t Believe Twitter Would “Censor” Drudge Report

Here’s The One Strategy That May Work When “There’s Plenty To Be Bearish About”

March 27, 2017

“There is plenty to be bearish about. Equity valuations are tortuously high, with median valuations in the US and Europe near or at record highs, particularly once debt is included.”

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“Speak Loudly And Be A Big Dick”: Wall Street Journal Says Trump’s Travel Ban Has Hidden Agenda

March 27, 2017

“It provides some leverage at the end of the day. It really does,” said a senior Homeland Security official involved in the review. “It’s in their best interest to play ball.”

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3 Comments on “Speak Loudly And Be A Big Dick”: Wall Street Journal Says Trump’s Travel Ban Has Hidden Agenda

Chart Of The Day: “Mission Accomplished”

March 27, 2017

Who said Donald Trump can’t get anything done?…

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Secretary Of State To Build “SWAT Team” – Meanwhile, Rex Tillerson Would Settle For Any Team At All

March 27, 2017

” Viewed internally as a SWAT team of strategic consultants, the office will be staffed by former business executives and is designed to infuse fresh thinking into Washington.”

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1 Comment on Secretary Of State To Build “SWAT Team” – Meanwhile, Rex Tillerson Would Settle For Any Team At All

“Do You See What Happens?!” One Bank Explains The “Implications” Of Failure Friday

March 27, 2017

“What are the asset pricing implications of what happened on Friday?”

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Wall Street Journal: Trump, GOP Now Have A $1 Trillion Problem

March 27, 2017

“Suddenly Republicans will have to find $1 trillion more in loopholes to close or taxes to raise if they want their reduction in tax rates to be budget neutral.”

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1 Comment on Wall Street Journal: Trump, GOP Now Have A $1 Trillion Problem

Goldman: OPEC Should Not Extend Production Cuts

March 27, 2017March 27, 2017

“We therefore believe that OPEC should be wary of extending its production cuts unless (1) fundamentals weaken sharply driven by transient headwinds such as a ramp up in Libya or a weakening of global demand, or (2) long term oil prices decline further, limiting the rally in spot prices and the incentive to ramp up activity.”

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oil, OPEC2 Comments on Goldman: OPEC Should Not Extend Production Cuts

It’s Falling Apart: Reflation Trade Shrivels Up And Dies As Markets Sour On Risk

March 27, 2017March 27, 2017

Well, the dollar is under pressure on Monday, just as we said it would be

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on It’s Falling Apart: Reflation Trade Shrivels Up And Dies As Markets Sour On Risk

“Traders Have Lost Confidence In Their Ability To Trade,” Trader Says

March 27, 2017March 27, 2017

“Traders have lost confidence in their ability to interpret what’s plainly market-moving news. Far from hoping to be the first to trade, they need someone else to commit and help create the narrative.”

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1 Comment on “Traders Have Lost Confidence In Their Ability To Trade,” Trader Says

Goldman Says Buy Snapchat, Warns “Clearly, This Has A High Risk Profile”

March 27, 2017

More risk, more reward?

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Leave a Comment on Goldman Says Buy Snapchat, Warns “Clearly, This Has A High Risk Profile”

Trader: “The Love Has Faded. Get Ready For Long, Tough Week”

March 27, 2017

Last week, the narrative cracked. To be sure, anyone who pays attention to this sh*t

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Key Calls (A “Snappy” Monday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations

March 27, 2017March 27, 2017

Are your stocks on the list?

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Mind The Cross-Atlantic “Gaps”: Your Week Ahead Preview

March 26, 2017March 26, 2017

Earlier, we talked a bit about Donald Trump’s waning political capital and the extent to

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“They Can’t Afford Another Humiliating Defeat” – Fund Managers, Analysts Weigh In On The Road Ahead

March 26, 2017March 26, 2017

Good news is that Trump and Congress are likely to “pivot hard” on economic growth agenda with tax reform right at the center. “They can’t afford another humiliating defeat”

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1 Comment on “They Can’t Afford Another Humiliating Defeat” – Fund Managers, Analysts Weigh In On The Road Ahead

“We Were Surprised At The Civilian Victims”: Has Trump Changed The Rules Of Engagement?

March 26, 2017

“Another Iraqi special forces officer, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject, said that there had been a noticeable relaxing of the coalition’s rules of engagement since President Trump took office.”

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1 Comment on “We Were Surprised At The Civilian Victims”: Has Trump Changed The Rules Of Engagement?

“Trump’s Political Capital Is Getting Consumed”: One Simple Trade Idea For The Week Ahead

March 26, 2017

Think about the events that transpired over the last two weeks. Now think about them

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Russian Propaganda Outlet Seeks White House Press Pass To Provide “Alternative Facts”

March 26, 2017March 26, 2017

“Did I bury the money!?!? No way!! There are two things I’ve never done – beat a woman and bury my money in the backyard. You know, I don’t even have a shovel…”

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Leave a Comment on Russian Propaganda Outlet Seeks White House Press Pass To Provide “Alternative Facts”

So You Want An Excuse To Prefer Stocks Over Bonds? Fine, Here’s One

March 26, 2017

Listen, it’s all about “relative” attractiveness these days when it comes to assessing opportunities at

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The Godfather: Steve Bannon Tried To Use Heath Care Vote To Make “Enemies List”

March 26, 2017March 26, 2017

“One Republican congressional aide who was involved in the last-minute negotiations said Mr. Bannon and Mr. Short were seeking to compile an enemies list.”

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2 Comments on The Godfather: Steve Bannon Tried To Use Heath Care Vote To Make “Enemies List”

OPEC, non-OPEC Committee Recommends Extending Supply Cuts: Everything You Need To Know

March 26, 2017March 26, 2017

Some cartel folks had a meeting…

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on OPEC, non-OPEC Committee Recommends Extending Supply Cuts: Everything You Need To Know

“There’s A Good Chance The Selloff Is A Blip”: When Dumpster Diving Goes Wrong

March 25, 2017

In case there are still questions out there regarding how I feel about high yield (i.e.

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2 Comments on “There’s A Good Chance The Selloff Is A Blip”: When Dumpster Diving Goes Wrong

“This Is Not A Debate”: How Steve Bannon Tried To Bully Recalcitrant Republicans – And Failed

March 25, 2017

“You know, the last time someone ordered me to something, I was 18 years old. And it was my daddy. And I didn’t listen to him, either.”

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4 Comments on “This Is Not A Debate”: How Steve Bannon Tried To Bully Recalcitrant Republicans – And Failed

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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