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Featured

Feel The Burns

December 5, 2025December 5, 2025
  • ‘Relatively Dismal’: Another Month, Another Record Mood Low

    December 5, 2025December 5, 2025
  • The BEA’s Open!

    December 5, 2025
  • The 2020s In One Chart

    December 5, 2025December 5, 2025

Markets

JPMorgan Sees Path To S&P 8,000 On ‘FOBO’

December 4, 2025December 5, 2025
  • Hassett Has It?

    December 3, 2025December 4, 2025
  • How The AI Trade ‘Breaks’

    December 2, 2025December 3, 2025
  • Sam Altman’s ‘Code Red’

    December 2, 2025December 3, 2025
  • Google AI Coup Presages Clash Of The Titans

    December 1, 2025December 3, 2025

economy

Melting Jobs Market Mocks Trump’s ‘Golden Age’ Narrative

December 4, 2025December 5, 2025
  • Hiring Plans Lowest in 15 Years As Christmas Hires Plunge

    December 4, 2025December 5, 2025
  • 2025 Becomes Fifth Worst Year Ever For US Job Cuts

    December 4, 2025December 5, 2025
  • Small Businesses Turn On GOP With 120,000 Mass Layoff

    December 3, 2025December 4, 2025
  • Stagflation Mercifully Eases Across Vast US Services Sector

    December 3, 2025December 4, 2025

Duly Noted+

Holiday-Impacted Claims Plunge Is Meaningless

December 4, 2025

Green Shoots? US Home Purchase Apps Hit 33-Month High

December 3, 2025

Geopolitics

Congress Needs To Stop The Drug Boat Bombings

December 2, 2025December 3, 2025

Nation Of Immigrants Institutes ‘Reverse Migration’

November 28, 2025December 1, 2025

Trump’s Inflation Problem Is Getting Worse

November 27, 2025November 29, 2025

Previewing Next Week’s FOMC Statement

December 10, 2016

Ok so Goldman has a preview (or three) out re: next week’s Fed meeting which

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1 Comment on Previewing Next Week’s FOMC Statement

An Inauspicious Sign From Global Trade

December 10, 2016

One of the data points I’ve been warning about for sometime now is the relationship

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1 Comment on An Inauspicious Sign From Global Trade

US Wants “Big Magnanimous” Gestures From Russia On Syria (Don’t Hold Your Breath)

December 10, 2016

So last night, I recommended readers turn a skeptical eye towards all of those “alt.

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9 Comments on US Wants “Big Magnanimous” Gestures From Russia On Syria (Don’t Hold Your Breath)

Goldman’s Top Trades For 2017

December 10, 2016

Whether you think of the Vampire Squid as a prophetic cephalopod or a solid contrarian

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Leave a Comment on Goldman’s Top Trades For 2017

A Look Ahead To Fed Week

December 9, 2016

From Deutsche Bank’s resident weatherman Joseph LaVorgna: As we have repeatedly warned, much of the

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Leave a Comment on A Look Ahead To Fed Week

Reflation Trade Continues As Yields Climb, Bond Rout Intensifies

December 9, 2016

Well, the reflation trade (see here for more) marches on as the 10-year tacked on

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1 Comment on Reflation Trade Continues As Yields Climb, Bond Rout Intensifies

It’s Time To Stop Painting Russia As Syria’s Liberator

December 9, 2016

“Syria is now a kaleidoscope of fiefdoms.” That’s from FT, assessing the state of affairs

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Leave a Comment on It’s Time To Stop Painting Russia As Syria’s Liberator

Reflation Nation: “Righting” The Wrongs With A Single, Enduring Populist Push

December 9, 2016October 12, 2021

Do you believe in miracles? Apparently somebody does, which is why we’re seeing record after

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1 Comment on Reflation Nation: “Righting” The Wrongs With A Single, Enduring Populist Push

On Fake News

December 9, 2016December 12, 2016

Perhaps it’s the fact that a near-death experience has stripped me of any vestiges of

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3 Comments on On Fake News

What History Says About Presidents And Recessions

November 26, 2016December 9, 2016

I know, I know. Everything will be “great again” come January when a flamboyant internet

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Leave a Comment on What History Says About Presidents And Recessions

All Hail The King

November 11, 2016October 13, 2021

That’s right folks, Donald Trump is President. To be sure, no one really thought this was possible.

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Leave a Comment on All Hail The King

“No Assets Are In Bubble Territory”: Fed

November 6, 2016October 12, 2021

The Fed is notoriously bad at spotting bubbles. They’re also notoriously good at inflating them.

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Leave a Comment on “No Assets Are In Bubble Territory”: Fed

Gasoline Explodes (Literally); Oil Languishes On “No Deal”

November 1, 2016November 1, 2016

Crude may be having a hard time finding its footing thanks to a decisively indecisive

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on Gasoline Explodes (Literally); Oil Languishes On “No Deal”

Beware The “Politics of Rage”

October 31, 2016October 12, 2021

I’m in the tunnel under Grand Central on the Harlem Line and I’m thinking the

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2 Comments on Beware The “Politics of Rage”

Don’t “Over-Position” For Election, One Bank Warns

October 29, 2016October 12, 2021

There’s no shortage of opinions out there with regard to how traders should position ahead

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credt, equitiesLeave a Comment on Don’t “Over-Position” For Election, One Bank Warns

Religious, Political Spats Sully OPEC Deal

October 29, 2016October 12, 2021

“Yes, we continue tomorrow with non-OPEC but there was no complete agreement today since Iran

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energy, oil, OPECLeave a Comment on Religious, Political Spats Sully OPEC Deal

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Monthly Letters

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Eternity

October 30, 2025October 30, 2025

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