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Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

Drunken Monkey Darts

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Trump Replaces ‘Retiring’ Ty Cobb With Clinton Impeachment Attorney Emmet T. Flood, Because That’s What People Who Aren’t Worried About Impeachment Do

May 2, 2018May 2, 2018

Another day, another shakeup in Trump’s legal nightmare.

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3 Comments on Trump Replaces ‘Retiring’ Ty Cobb With Clinton Impeachment Attorney Emmet T. Flood, Because That’s What People Who Aren’t Worried About Impeachment Do

Here’s A Quick Guide To The May Fed Statement (Because I Know You Care)

May 2, 2018May 2, 2018

What’s the frequency Jay?

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Trader: Powell Has A Plan. There’s Just One Problem…

May 2, 2018

“Powell has got a plan, and his sticking to it so vehemently will ultimately be a mistake. “

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1 Comment on Trader: Powell Has A Plan. There’s Just One Problem…

Turns Out, Robert Mueller Threatened To Subpoena Trump Last Month And Boy Were Trump’s Lawyers Mad!

May 2, 2018May 2, 2018

‘This isn’t some game.’

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3 Comments on Turns Out, Robert Mueller Threatened To Subpoena Trump Last Month And Boy Were Trump’s Lawyers Mad!

You Mortals Weren’t Ready For JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic – And Marko Wasn’t Ready For You Mortals

May 2, 2018May 2, 2018

You know what? I’m not sure you people are emotionally stable enough to be trusted with Marko Kolanovic notes anymore.

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Leave a Comment on You Mortals Weren’t Ready For JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic – And Marko Wasn’t Ready For You Mortals

FX Versus The May 12 Iran Decision: Why Oil At $80 Will Be Dollar Positive

May 2, 2018

Upside down.

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on FX Versus The May 12 Iran Decision: Why Oil At $80 Will Be Dollar Positive

Wilbur Ross Details Entirely Realistic Plan For Trump Administration To Exploit Trillion Dollar Space Industry

May 1, 2018

Yes, “wow.”

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David Stockman Is Not Impressed With Ronald McDonald

May 1, 2018

“Needless to say, you can’t capitalize those types of gains because they are non-recurring and non-sustainable.”

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Spaced Out.

May 1, 2018May 1, 2018

Phone home.

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oilLeave a Comment on Spaced Out.

Trump Announces Space Force As 6th Branch Of Military, Asks: ‘Does That Make Sense?’

May 1, 2018May 1, 2018

Nope. It sure doesn’t.

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1 Comment on Trump Announces Space Force As 6th Branch Of Military, Asks: ‘Does That Make Sense?’

‘Think Of Oxygen’: One Bank (Still) Thinks There Has Never Been A Better Time To Be Long Commodities

May 1, 2018

“Think of oxygen: if it became scarce we would pay an enormous premium today for it as we don’t need it tomorrow if we don’t have it today.”

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oilLeave a Comment on ‘Think Of Oxygen’: One Bank (Still) Thinks There Has Never Been A Better Time To Be Long Commodities

Take Note: ‘This Will Have Profound Implications For Everything The USD Touches’

May 1, 2018May 1, 2018

Are you short the dollar (implicitly or explicitly)?

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3 Comments on Take Note: ‘This Will Have Profound Implications For Everything The USD Touches’

Giant Mutual Fund Firm Trying Very Hard To Stop Being A Mutual Fund Firm

May 1, 2018May 1, 2018

He has a very long way to go.

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Here’s Where Everyone Stands On The Metals Tariffs As Trump Goes The ‘Let’s Just Do It Tomorrow’ Route

May 1, 2018May 1, 2018

Make trade uncertainty great again.

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1 Comment on Here’s Where Everyone Stands On The Metals Tariffs As Trump Goes The ‘Let’s Just Do It Tomorrow’ Route

Here They Are: These Are The 40+ Questions Robert Mueller Wants To Ask Trump

April 30, 2018

Try to imagine Trump making it through this interview.

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3 Comments on Here They Are: These Are The 40+ Questions Robert Mueller Wants To Ask Trump

Steve Mnuchin Isn’t Worried About The Bond Market, Ok? So You Can Stop Asking Him, Please And Thanks.

April 30, 2018April 30, 2018

Mnuchin isn’t worried about the supply/demand dynamics in the Treasury market despite knowing full well who is Treasury Secretary.

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1 Comment on Steve Mnuchin Isn’t Worried About The Bond Market, Ok? So You Can Stop Asking Him, Please And Thanks.

Anthony Scaramucci To Announce Triumphant Return To The Hedge Fund Business

April 30, 2018

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David Stockman Says This Cycle Is An Octogenarian – At Least

April 30, 2018April 30, 2018

“…like in the case of an aging human, where weakened defenses and impaired resilience cause it to succumb to infections and other exogenous threats, the main street economy is exceedingly vulnerable.”

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2 Comments on David Stockman Says This Cycle Is An Octogenarian – At Least

Bombs Away.

April 30, 2018April 30, 2018

War? Let’s hope so! Happy Monday!

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oil3 Comments on Bombs Away.

Did Netanyahu Just Say Something About Secret Nuke Files Two Weeks Ahead Of Trump’s Decision On The Iran Deal? He Sure Did!

April 30, 2018April 30, 2018

Good timing.

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oil3 Comments on Did Netanyahu Just Say Something About Secret Nuke Files Two Weeks Ahead Of Trump’s Decision On The Iran Deal? He Sure Did!

Spiraling Down The Rabbit Hole: What Happens When The Ammo Is Gone?

April 30, 2018

Down the rabbit hole you go.

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1 Comment on Spiraling Down The Rabbit Hole: What Happens When The Ammo Is Gone?

Norway’s Super-Conservative, Balls-To-The-Wall Asset Allocation Strategy Yields ‘Impressive’ $21 Billion Loss In 3 Months

April 30, 2018April 30, 2018

I told you so.

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Follow The (Convexity) Flows: Restriking Of The Fed Put Revisited

April 30, 2018

“In that environment, convexity withdrawal creates a reinforcing loop where more turbulence in risk assets tends to cause stability in fixed income.”

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‘America First’: Full Week Ahead Preview

April 29, 2018

Ok, well all eyes will be on the U.S. in the week ahead.

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oilLeave a Comment on ‘America First’: Full Week Ahead Preview

Why Goldman Thinks The Fed Isn’t Even Halfway There

April 29, 2018

“And there is still little evidence that the committee is close to the halfway mark from this perspective.”

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2 Comments on Why Goldman Thinks The Fed Isn’t Even Halfway There

Volatility: Proudly Made In The U.S.A.

April 29, 2018April 29, 2018

Make domestic equities volatility again. #MDEVA

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Former Lehman Trader Weighs In On The Issues As Investors Ponder An Uncertain Future

April 29, 2018April 29, 2018

“I think we are just in the middle of a correction. And I think, overall, the structural story is still pretty positive. But this is a correction that may not be over yet.”

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oil6 Comments on Former Lehman Trader Weighs In On The Issues As Investors Ponder An Uncertain Future

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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