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Featured

Rasputin Presiding

November 8, 2026November 8, 2026
  • Weekly: Melodrama

    November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

Drunken Monkey Darts

November 6, 2026November 8, 2026
  • ‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Divorcing Bill Gross Will Turn You Into A World-Class Art Forger And Master Thief

May 14, 2018May 14, 2018

Oh, you want details of how Sue Gross pulled off a dope-ass, shady-ass art heist on her ex-husband?

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Leave a Comment on Divorcing Bill Gross Will Turn You Into A World-Class Art Forger And Master Thief

Counting Dollars: Full Week Ahead Preview

May 13, 2018

Here’s what’s in play.

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oilLeave a Comment on Counting Dollars: Full Week Ahead Preview

What Does History Say About Mideast Turmoil, Crude And Inflation?

May 13, 2018

More questions than answers, as per usual.

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oilLeave a Comment on What Does History Say About Mideast Turmoil, Crude And Inflation?

When You Cross The Streams, Why Don’t Stocks Go To Infinity?

May 13, 2018

“Instead of just tossing the Fed Model aside as useless and broken, it makes sense to think about how it might once again recouple and provide some guidance for stock market pricing.”

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Leave a Comment on When You Cross The Streams, Why Don’t Stocks Go To Infinity?

‘What The Hell Happened?’ Michael Bloomberg Slams ‘Epidemic Of Dishonesty’ At Rice Commencement

May 13, 2018

“However, today when we look at the city that bears Washington’s name, it’s hard not to wonder, ‘What the hell happened?’”

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Do You Speaka The English?! John Kelly Accidentally Says His Ancestors Shouldn’t Have Been Allowed Into The U.S.

May 13, 2018May 13, 2018

“Look, the USA simply doesn’t have room for people who don’t speaka the English. People like the second wife of one of John Kelly’s own great-grandfathers.”

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Transparency, Trust And The ‘Fed In Wonderland’

May 12, 2018May 12, 2018

“Oh dear! Oh dear! I shall be too late!”

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1 Comment on Transparency, Trust And The ‘Fed In Wonderland’

Good News! The Algos Say The US Economy ‘Is Doing Just Fine’

May 12, 2018

Ignore the large laser cannon, he’s just here to help!

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3 Comments on Good News! The Algos Say The US Economy ‘Is Doing Just Fine’

Sarah Huckabee Sanders: Trump Taking Money From Special Interests Is ‘Proof The President Isn’t Influenced By Special Interests’

May 12, 2018

The sky isn’t blue.

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4 Comments on Sarah Huckabee Sanders: Trump Taking Money From Special Interests Is ‘Proof The President Isn’t Influenced By Special Interests’

You People Gave The Best Earnings Season In Recent Memory The Kanye Shrug. Why?

May 12, 2018

Mehh.

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Are You An Institutional Investor Who’s Worried That Someone Will Chop Off Your Hand And Use It To Access The Bitcoin Keys You’re Storing In The Side Of A Mountain? Pete Najarian Can Help!

May 11, 2018

“…said Clark, who noted the vault’s fingerprint scanners were equipped with a pulse reader to prevent amputated hands from being used.”

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Leave a Comment on Are You An Institutional Investor Who’s Worried That Someone Will Chop Off Your Hand And Use It To Access The Bitcoin Keys You’re Storing In The Side Of A Mountain? Pete Najarian Can Help!

Nuclear Football.

May 11, 2018May 11, 2018

And that’s the week.

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oil1 Comment on Nuclear Football.

It’s Not That People Are Bailing On Emerging Markets, It’s Just That They Sold The Most EM Stocks And Bonds Since December 2016

May 11, 2018

It should be fine.

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Leave a Comment on It’s Not That People Are Bailing On Emerging Markets, It’s Just That They Sold The Most EM Stocks And Bonds Since December 2016

Here’s Why Goldman Thinks ‘Long Volatility Strategies Are Timely’

May 11, 2018

“Historic lows”…

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2 Comments on Here’s Why Goldman Thinks ‘Long Volatility Strategies Are Timely’

One Analyst Reminds ‘Old, Grizzled’ PMs That ‘We’re Late In The Cycle’ Is Not Research

May 11, 2018May 11, 2018

Take that, “old, grizzled PMs.”

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1 Comment on One Analyst Reminds ‘Old, Grizzled’ PMs That ‘We’re Late In The Cycle’ Is Not Research

Iran Thinks Trump Has Secret Plan With ‘Some OPEC Members’ To Drive Up Oil Prices

May 11, 2018May 11, 2018

I mean, I guess you never know.

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oil, OPEC2 Comments on Iran Thinks Trump Has Secret Plan With ‘Some OPEC Members’ To Drive Up Oil Prices

Silicon Valley Venture Capitalist Spends 10 Minutes On Live Television Reinforcing Every Negative Stereotype About Silicon Valley Venture Capitalists

May 11, 2018May 11, 2018

CNBC needs to have Tim Draper on every day.

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New From Epsilon Theory: The Many Moods Of Macro

May 10, 2018May 10, 2018

“At their core, most macro models are central banking models and macro managers are carry investors. They willingly tied themselves to success in predicting bank actions, and in so doing had a wonderful stretch of good returns and low correlations with stocks.”

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Leave a Comment on New From Epsilon Theory: The Many Moods Of Macro

Forget The Bombs, Buy The Stocks.

May 10, 2018May 10, 2018

Risk on.

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oil1 Comment on Forget The Bombs, Buy The Stocks.

Dick Cheney Thinks It’s About Time We Drop This Aversion To War Crimes Crap And Get Back To Torturing People

May 10, 2018

Because fuck human rights, I guess?

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1 Comment on Dick Cheney Thinks It’s About Time We Drop This Aversion To War Crimes Crap And Get Back To Torturing People

$100 Oil? Bank Of America Is Proud To Be First To The Party When It Comes To Suggesting Triple-Digit Crude May Be Coming

May 10, 2018

Someone had to do it.

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Leave a Comment on $100 Oil? Bank Of America Is Proud To Be First To The Party When It Comes To Suggesting Triple-Digit Crude May Be Coming

‘February Was As Significant As The 2007 Quant Meltdown’: Here’s What Goldman Expects For Volatility

May 10, 2018

Just buy the dip, Jerry. Everyone’s buying the dip.

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BTP-Bund Spread Widens As Italy All Set To Try Populist Government, Because What Has Ever Gone Wrong With That?

May 10, 2018May 10, 2018

But don’t get any ideas or Draghi will “rip your eyes out”.

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Leave a Comment on BTP-Bund Spread Widens As Italy All Set To Try Populist Government, Because What Has Ever Gone Wrong With That?

CPI Misses As Investors Get Possible Reprieve From Inflation Jitters

May 10, 2018May 10, 2018

Do you feel better?

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6 Comments on CPI Misses As Investors Get Possible Reprieve From Inflation Jitters

More Policy Divergence: BOE On Hold, Signals ‘Limited’ Tightening

May 10, 2018May 10, 2018

In case it isn’t clear enough, this just further underscores the policy divergence narrative.

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3 Comments on More Policy Divergence: BOE On Hold, Signals ‘Limited’ Tightening

Hedge Funds Didn’t Lose That Bet To Warren Buffett Because Passive Indices Will Always Beat Active Managers Over The Long Term But Because They Just Picked The Wrong Decade To Bet On

May 10, 2018May 10, 2018

That’s the real reason Buffett’s declining a sequel and not because actuarial science says he’ll be dead by the time it ends.

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Leave a Comment on Hedge Funds Didn’t Lose That Bet To Warren Buffett Because Passive Indices Will Always Beat Active Managers Over The Long Term But Because They Just Picked The Wrong Decade To Bet On

‘It All Makes Sense When You Look At It Right’: The Dollar, Yields, Oil And The EM Bloodbath

May 9, 2018May 9, 2018

“…you gotta like, stand back from it, you know”.

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1 Comment on ‘It All Makes Sense When You Look At It Right’: The Dollar, Yields, Oil And The EM Bloodbath

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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