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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Liquidity Drain And The ‘Still Playing Non-Stop Event Risk Cabaret’

August 23, 2018August 23, 2018

The tide is going out.

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1 Comment on Liquidity Drain And The ‘Still Playing Non-Stop Event Risk Cabaret’

Fed’s Esther George Says Trump Can Tweet Until The Doves Come Home For All She Cares

August 23, 2018August 23, 2018

“I don’t tell him what to say”.

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1 Comment on Fed’s Esther George Says Trump Can Tweet Until The Doves Come Home For All She Cares

Trump: ‘If I’m Impeached The Market Will Crash And You’ll All Be Very Poor’

August 23, 2018August 24, 2018

“Without this thinking”.

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5 Comments on Trump: ‘If I’m Impeached The Market Will Crash And You’ll All Be Very Poor’

Why September Is Ripe For A ‘Monster’ Momentum Rally, According To One Strategist

August 22, 2018August 22, 2018

Hint: seasonality.

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Bad News For That Massive Treasury Short As Goldman Slashes Bond Yield Forecasts

August 22, 2018August 22, 2018

“We note that there has been no change to our view of Fed policy tightening, but”…

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Fed Minutes Show ‘Many’ Officials Think Another Hike Is ‘Appropriate’ – And ‘Soon’

August 22, 2018October 15, 2021

“…it would likely soon be appropriate to take another step in removing policy accommodation.

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Saudi Arabia Calls Off ‘Zombie’ Aramco IPO

August 22, 2018July 2, 2019

Turns out “black box” and “public company” aren’t consistent with one another.

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oil, OPEC4 Comments on Saudi Arabia Calls Off ‘Zombie’ Aramco IPO

In West Virginia Rally, Trump Says His Mom ‘Gestates’ Turkeys, Claims Invading Armies Will ‘Blow Up’ U.S. Windmills

August 22, 2018

“This guy is craaaaazy”.

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10 Comments on In West Virginia Rally, Trump Says His Mom ‘Gestates’ Turkeys, Claims Invading Armies Will ‘Blow Up’ U.S. Windmills

Trump: ‘If You’re Looking For A Good Lawyer, Don’t Hire Michael Cohen!’

August 22, 2018October 15, 2021

Bad news, sir…

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8 Comments on Trump: ‘If You’re Looking For A Good Lawyer, Don’t Hire Michael Cohen!’

‘MEGA’? Citi Economic Surprise Index Now More Negative For U.S. Than For Europe

August 22, 2018August 22, 2018

A shift in the narrative?

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‘Con’ Job: World’s Second-Largest Car-Parts Maker Drives Off A Cliff

August 22, 2018

Don’t worry, tariffs will fix it.

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In Surreal Afternoon, Manafort Found Guilty, Cohen Admits To Violating Laws ‘At Direction Of Candidate’

August 21, 2018October 15, 2021

There is no “witch hunt” here America.

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6 Comments on In Surreal Afternoon, Manafort Found Guilty, Cohen Admits To Violating Laws ‘At Direction Of Candidate’

Michael Cohen Will Plead Guilty To All Kinds Of Crimes, Go To Jail Because ‘Witch Hunt’!

August 21, 2018August 22, 2018

Just a little tax fraud. And bank fraud. And campaign finance violations.

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4 Comments on Michael Cohen Will Plead Guilty To All Kinds Of Crimes, Go To Jail Because ‘Witch Hunt’!

Marko Kolanovic Flags An ‘Unprecedented Divergence’, Says ‘Something Has To Give’

August 21, 2018August 21, 2018

“The recent divergence in the performance of US Equities vs. the rest of the world is unprecedented in history.”

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3 Comments on Marko Kolanovic Flags An ‘Unprecedented Divergence’, Says ‘Something Has To Give’

As The S&P Hits All-Time Highs, Here’s What You Should Be Watching

August 21, 2018August 21, 2018

Hint: it’s the dollar.

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1 Comment on As The S&P Hits All-Time Highs, Here’s What You Should Be Watching

‘The Wrong Kinda Heater’: Hedge Fund ‘Consensus’ Trade Suffers Dastardly Run

August 21, 2018

“Another day for U.S. equities funds, another sizable underperformance.”

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China Is Now Intervening To The Tune Of ‘Billions’ In The Stock Market And That’s Not All

August 21, 2018August 21, 2018

Visible hand(s).

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‘He Didn’t Incriminate Him’: Don McGahn’s Lawyer Tells Trump Things Should Be Maybe, Probably Ok

August 21, 2018October 15, 2021

“The strategy is working.”

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13 Comments on ‘He Didn’t Incriminate Him’: Don McGahn’s Lawyer Tells Trump Things Should Be Maybe, Probably Ok

Do Not Underestimate Donald Trump When It Comes To The Fed

August 21, 2018October 15, 2021

“You see what’s happening.”

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5 Comments on Do Not Underestimate Donald Trump When It Comes To The Fed

On Monday, Donald Trump Accused Jerome Powell Of Acting Against The Interests Of America

August 20, 2018October 15, 2021

“Am I happy with my choice? I’ll let you know in seven years.”

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Now Trump Is Trash Talking Jerome Powell At The Hamptons Home Of A Hot Dog Baron

August 20, 2018August 20, 2018

“Political things.”

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4 Comments on Now Trump Is Trash Talking Jerome Powell At The Hamptons Home Of A Hot Dog Baron

A ‘Stealth’ Rate Hike From Turkey And A ‘Pick Your Poison’ Quandary For Europe

August 20, 2018

How to hike without hiking and what to do when there are no “good” options.

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Trump Calls Mueller A ‘National Disgrace’, Accidentally Admits To Obstruction Again

August 20, 2018October 15, 2021

“If you FIGHT BACK or say anything bad about the Rigged Witch Hunt, they scream Obstruction!”

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1 Comment on Trump Calls Mueller A ‘National Disgrace’, Accidentally Admits To Obstruction Again

Italy’s Populists Determined To Triumph In Battle With Nefarious ‘Lo Spread’

August 20, 2018

“We will resist the bond yield spread, speculation, credit downgrades and attacks.”

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1 Comment on Italy’s Populists Determined To Triumph In Battle With Nefarious ‘Lo Spread’

China Draws Line In Sand At 2016 Closing Lows As State Funds Buy Stocks

August 20, 2018

Here comes the “national team”.

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Michael Cohen Could Be Charged In $20 Million Bank Fraud, Cooperation Deal With Mueller Seems Likely

August 19, 2018August 20, 2018

Michael Cohen is in some hot water. Which means Donald Trump is in some hot water too.

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2 Comments on Michael Cohen Could Be Charged In $20 Million Bank Fraud, Cooperation Deal With Mueller Seems Likely

Concerned Citizens: Full Week Ahead Preview

August 19, 2018October 15, 2021

New week, same issues. But let’s talk about them anyway.

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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