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Featured

Weekly: Melodrama

November 7, 2026November 7, 2026
  • ‘Dem Fatale’ Crashes The AI Party

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Inflation Fatalism Has Set In

    November 6, 2026
  • Drunken Monkey Darts

    November 6, 2026November 6, 2026

Markets

On Wall Street: Crash And F’in’ Burn

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026
  • Did Democrats Just Kill ‘New 60/40’?

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Um, Excuse Me, But Your Chips Are Bleeding

    November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Deus Ex Machina?

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • The Capex Catch-22

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

economy

‘Tis The Season! For Temporary Fulfillment Jobs

November 5, 2026November 6, 2026
  • Senseless Iran War Triggers BoE Hike, 5% Inflation Warning

    November 5, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Irrepressible

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • In Other News: Scorching ‘Job Changer’ Pay Gains, AI Disruption

    November 4, 2026November 5, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 4, 2026

Geopolitics

Tsunami

November 4, 2026November 5, 2026

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

Duly Noted

US Jobless Claims Chase History

November 5, 2026November 7, 2026

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Steve Mnuchin Isn’t Worried About The Yield Curve – ‘At All’

August 28, 2018

“It’s a market condition.”

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Goldman Says You People Are Reading Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech All Wrong

August 28, 2018August 28, 2018

“No. We disagree.”

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1 Comment on Goldman Says You People Are Reading Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech All Wrong

Google Now In Trump’s Crosshairs As Larry Kudlow Says White House ‘Investigating’ Search Bias

August 28, 2018August 28, 2018

Move over Amazon, Trump has a new target.

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3 Comments on Google Now In Trump’s Crosshairs As Larry Kudlow Says White House ‘Investigating’ Search Bias

Trump Says Google Is ‘Illegally Rigged’ After Googling Himself

August 28, 2018October 15, 2021

“This is a very serious situation-will be addressed!”

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3 Comments on Trump Says Google Is ‘Illegally Rigged’ After Googling Himself

Northern Exposure: What Wall Street Thinks Of Trump’s NAFTA Replacement Deal

August 27, 2018August 28, 2018

“On its face, the US negotiating stance appears to create some risk for Canada.”

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1 Comment on Northern Exposure: What Wall Street Thinks Of Trump’s NAFTA Replacement Deal

Good News! Farmers Can Start Signing Up For Soybean Welfare Next Week

August 27, 2018August 28, 2018

“Unjustified retaliation”

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1 Comment on Good News! Farmers Can Start Signing Up For Soybean Welfare Next Week

Trump Strikes Trade Deal With Mexico, Renames NAFTA

August 27, 2018August 27, 2018

“We’ll get rid of the Nafta name.”

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2 Comments on Trump Strikes Trade Deal With Mexico, Renames NAFTA

Tennessee’s State Retirement System Feels The Pain As Turkey ETF Crashes 50%

August 27, 2018August 27, 2018

“Inflammatory and stupid”.

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4 Comments on Tennessee’s State Retirement System Feels The Pain As Turkey ETF Crashes 504

Italy’s Populist Champion Salvini Will Do Two Things: Kidnap 150 People, Veto E.U. Budget

August 27, 2018October 15, 2021

“…it’s time to cut financing to a useless entity.”

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2 Comments on Italy’s Populist Champion Salvini Will Do Two Things: Kidnap 150 People, Veto E.U. Budget

One Bank Says U.S. Midterms Will Spark Emerging Market Rally And Then…

August 27, 2018

Expect a reprieve, but beware 2019.

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House Flipping: GOP Quietly Ponders ‘Coming Hell’ After November

August 26, 2018October 15, 2021

Is the White House prepared? In a word: “No”.

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1 Comment on House Flipping: GOP Quietly Ponders ‘Coming Hell’ After November

Psychological Overhang: Full Week Ahead Preview

August 26, 2018

U.S. politics and trade are likely to dominate the headlines this week.

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BIS: Trump’s Trade Policies Could Create ‘Perfect Storm’, Cause Global Financial Crisis

August 26, 2018August 26, 2018

“Protectionism could set off a succession of negative consequences. If all the elements were to combine, we could face a perfect storm.”

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2 Comments on BIS: Trump’s Trade Policies Could Create ‘Perfect Storm’, Cause Global Financial Crisis

There’s News On NAFTA, And For Once It Isn’t Terrible

August 26, 2018August 26, 2018

Anything that isn’t bad news is great news.

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Turkish Tech Minister Says Maybe Digital ‘Barter System’ Might Work If Trump Weaponizes Dollar

August 25, 2018

“…this war has turned into a financial war.”

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2 Comments on Turkish Tech Minister Says Maybe Digital ‘Barter System’ Might Work If Trump Weaponizes Dollar

Dream States: Why No Resolution To Current Political Conflicts Is Possible

August 25, 2018August 26, 2018

Games of chicken, prisoner’s dilemmas and the suspension of disbelief.

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8 Comments on Dream States: Why No Resolution To Current Political Conflicts Is Possible

Trump: Sessions ‘Doesn’t Understand What’s Happening’, ‘I May Get Involved!’

August 25, 2018October 16, 2021

“Let us now praise Jefferson Beauregard Sessions III.”

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2 Comments on Trump: Sessions ‘Doesn’t Understand What’s Happening’, ‘I May Get Involved!’

America’s Last TV Plant Is Closing And Mick Mulvaney Is ‘Pleading’ With Trump To Save It

August 24, 2018August 24, 2018

“‘Yes, yes, yes, we’ve already heard this from Mick.”

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This Simple Measure Suggests Investors Are The Least Myopic They’ve Been In 20 Years

August 24, 2018

Let’s see what happens over the next couple of years when equity volatility resets to some semblance of normal.

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2 Comments on This Simple Measure Suggests Investors Are The Least Myopic They’ve Been In 20 Years

End Game: Trump Organization CFO Allen Weisselberg Granted Immunity By Feds

August 24, 2018October 13, 2021

This is one domino that Donald Trump could ill afford to see tipped

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Powell Invokes ‘Whatever It Takes’ In Jackson Hole For No Reason, Speech Skews Dovish

August 24, 2018August 24, 2018

A dovish touch.

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3 Comments on Powell Invokes ‘Whatever It Takes’ In Jackson Hole For No Reason, Speech Skews Dovish

Make Yuan Fixes Opaque Again! China Brings Back The CCAF

August 24, 2018October 16, 2021

The fix is in.

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Trump Will Now Bail Out Italy In Honor Of Closest Historical Analog

August 24, 2018

“I laughed quite a lot, when I saw the report.”

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‘Come On Jeff, You Can Do It!’ Trump Demands Sessions Investigate Long List Of Political Rivals

August 24, 2018October 15, 2021

A love the smell of obstruction of justice in the morning.

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One Bank’s Model Spit Out A Lower S&P Target, So Naturally, They Changed The Model

August 23, 2018August 23, 2018

If at first you don’t succeed…

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Jeff Sessions Hits Back At Trump As Republicans Suggest Attorney General Will Be Fired

August 23, 2018August 25, 2018

“While I am Attorney General, the actions of the Department will not be improperly influenced by politics.”

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‘It’s Still Bleeding Over’: Strategist Warns On All-Important Chinese Credit Impulse

August 23, 2018

Remember, credit creation in China is a key piece of the macro puzzle…

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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