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Featured

The Capex Catch-22

November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Someone’s Got Work For You

    November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Tech Got No Love This Earnings Season

    November 3, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026

Markets

Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

    October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026

economy

Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

November 2, 2026November 3, 2026
  • Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

    November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

China Said Ready To Splurge On US Pork, But Local Stocks Unimpressed Amid Tenuous Trade Outlook

September 25, 2019September 25, 2019

Hog wild.

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1 Comment on China Said Ready To Splurge On US Pork, But Local Stocks Unimpressed Amid Tenuous Trade Outlook

Macro Tourist: ‘I Have Abandoned My US Equity Longs, Am Leaning Short On A Trading Basis’

September 24, 2019September 25, 2019

“Why the shift in tone? Let me sketch out.”

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8 Comments on Macro Tourist: ‘I Have Abandoned My US Equity Longs, Am Leaning Short On A Trading Basis’

White House Folds, Will Hand Whistle-Blower Complaint Over To Congress: Report

September 24, 2019September 28, 2019

As Trump would say, “the ratings will be tremendous”.

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Leave a Comment on White House Folds, Will Hand Whistle-Blower Complaint Over To Congress: Report

‘What Do We Have, A Republic Or A Monarchy?’: Pelosi Announces Impeachment Inquiry Into Trump

September 24, 2019September 28, 2019

And so it begins.

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6 Comments on ‘What Do We Have, A Republic Or A Monarchy?’: Pelosi Announces Impeachment Inquiry Into Trump

‘Downside Accelerants’ And Politics In Focus As US Stocks Stumble

September 24, 2019September 24, 2019

Impeachment bluster and aggressive trade banter make for a bitter pill.

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1 Comment on ‘Downside Accelerants’ And Politics In Focus As US Stocks Stumble

Nancy Pelosi To Announce Formal Impeachment Inquiry As Trump Rushes To Release Ukraine Transcript

September 24, 2019September 28, 2019

And so it begins – for real, this time.

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3 Comments on Nancy Pelosi To Announce Formal Impeachment Inquiry As Trump Rushes To Release Ukraine Transcript

Trump’s UN Broadside Against China Risks Derailing Fragile Negotiations – Again

September 24, 2019September 24, 2019

“Two decades later, this theory has been tested and proven completely wrong”.

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6 Comments on Trump’s UN Broadside Against China Risks Derailing Fragile Negotiations – Again

Trump Calms UN Tensions By Calling Iran A ‘Fanatical Threat To Peace-Loving Nations’ Everywhere

September 24, 2019

This should help.

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1 Comment on Trump Calms UN Tensions By Calling Iran A ‘Fanatical Threat To Peace-Loving Nations’ Everywhere

Trump’s Anti-Globalist, ‘National Renewal’ Screed At UN Was Disturbing, If Predictable

September 24, 2019September 24, 2019

“The truth is plain to see”.

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5 Comments on Trump’s Anti-Globalist, ‘National Renewal’ Screed At UN Was Disturbing, If Predictable

Trump Details Vast Social Media, Academic Conspiracy Against American ‘Values’ At UN

September 24, 2019September 24, 2019

“Social media platforms are acquiring immense power”.

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4 Comments on Trump Details Vast Social Media, Academic Conspiracy Against American ‘Values’ At UN

‘There Should Be No Billionaires’: Here Is The Bernie Sanders ‘Extreme Wealth Tax’ Plan

September 24, 2019September 24, 2019

“In order to reduce the outrageous level of inequality that exists in America today and to rebuild the disappearing middle class”…

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7 Comments on ‘There Should Be No Billionaires’: Here Is The Bernie Sanders ‘Extreme Wealth Tax’ Plan

‘We’re Gonna Need A Bigger Boat’: First Of Three Term Repos Two Times Oversubscribed

September 24, 2019

Cue the “Jaws” jokes.

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8 Comments on ‘We’re Gonna Need A Bigger Boat’: First Of Three Term Repos Two Times Oversubscribed

Erdogan May Get His F-35s After All, As Turkish Media Says US Offers New Trade Package

September 24, 2019September 24, 2019

Erdogan always finds a way.

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Saudi Aramco IPO ‘Unlikely’ This Year, As Attacks Derail Plans: Sources

September 24, 2019

But who knows, anything is possible…

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1 Comment on Saudi Aramco IPO ‘Unlikely’ This Year, As Attacks Derail Plans: Sources

China Is Buying Soybeans Again, Providing More False Hope To Trump’s ‘Great Patriot Farmers’

September 24, 2019

Stringing people along, as is custom.

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3 Comments on China Is Buying Soybeans Again, Providing More False Hope To Trump’s ‘Great Patriot Farmers’

Boris Johnson Dealt Grievous Blow As UK Supreme Court Rules Parliament Suspension ‘Unlawful, Void And Of No Effect’

September 24, 2019September 24, 2019

“t is impossible for us to conclude on the evidence… that there was any reason – let alone a good reason”.

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3 Comments on Boris Johnson Dealt Grievous Blow As UK Supreme Court Rules Parliament Suspension ‘Unlawful, Void And Of No Effect’

All Of This Summer’s Big Daily Stock Moves Had One Thing In Common…

September 23, 2019

“Price movements over this summer once again clearly emphasized the spot/gamma/realized vol dynamics”.

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‘Why, Just Out Of Curiosity?’: Watch Trump Ask Mnuchin To Explain Canceling China’s Farm Visits

September 23, 2019September 23, 2019

All you can do is shake your head. 

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7 Comments on ‘Why, Just Out Of Curiosity?’: Watch Trump Ask Mnuchin To Explain Canceling China’s Farm Visits

Trump Put Hold On Ukraine Aid Days Before Call With Zelensky; Congress Gives Pompeo Thursday Deadline For Documents

September 23, 2019September 28, 2019

“You’re crooked as hell”.

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1 Comment on Trump Put Hold On Ukraine Aid Days Before Call With Zelensky; Congress Gives Pompeo Thursday Deadline For Documents

Bullard Talks Up Standing Repo Facility To Fix Funding Squeeze, Says Negative Rates Are Unhealthy

September 23, 2019September 23, 2019

“You probably would not have to use it most of the time”.

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5 Comments on Bullard Talks Up Standing Repo Facility To Fix Funding Squeeze, Says Negative Rates Are Unhealthy

Trio Of Economists Say Trump’s Twitter Account ‘Poses Significant Threat To Central Bank Independence’

September 23, 2019

This is “strong evidence”.

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Rudy Giuliani To Bartiromo: ‘Can’t Say 100%’ That Trump Didn’t Threaten Ukraine Aid In Biden Call

September 23, 2019September 28, 2019

This was a disastrous performance.

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3 Comments on Rudy Giuliani To Bartiromo: ‘Can’t Say 1003’ That Trump Didn’t Threaten Ukraine Aid In Biden Call

The US Economy Is Good, Bad And Ugly

September 23, 2019November 21, 2021

The US economy has peaked and nonfarm payroll growth is set to slide, says possibly spurious conjecture.

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2 Comments on The US Economy Is Good, Bad And Ugly

‘Markets Were Not Effectively Distributing Liquidity’: John Williams ‘Explains’ Repo Chaos, Paves Way For QE-Lite

September 23, 2019

“This episode reminds us all of the importance of having well- functioning markets”.

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2 Comments on ‘Markets Were Not Effectively Distributing Liquidity’: John Williams ‘Explains’ Repo Chaos, Paves Way For QE-Lite

Another Growth Scare? From France To South Korea To Down Under, Fresh Data Paints Dour Picture

September 23, 2019September 23, 2019

We’re not out of the dark woods yet.

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5 Comments on Another Growth Scare? From France To South Korea To Down Under, Fresh Data Paints Dour Picture

Nomura’s McElligott Talks ‘Unshackled’ US Equities Amid ‘QE-Lite’ Anticipation

September 23, 2019September 23, 2019

Mind the post-crisis “muscle memory” for the majority of equities investors.

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6 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Talks ‘Unshackled’ US Equities Amid ‘QE-Lite’ Anticipation

‘Simply Awful’ German Factory Slump Spills Over, As Economy Careens Towards Recession

September 23, 2019September 23, 2019

“All the uncertainty is paralyzing order books”.

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3 Comments on ‘Simply Awful’ German Factory Slump Spills Over, As Economy Careens Towards Recession

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • SeaTurtle on The Capex Catch-22
  • Wave Dash on Someone’s Got Work For You
  • T-Dog on The Capex Catch-22
  • T-Dog on Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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