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Featured

Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?

November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Debbie Downers Amid The Renaissance

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026
  • Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!

    November 2, 2026November 2, 2026

Markets

Weekly: The Leveraged Buildout (Speculative Gravity Control)

October 31, 2026November 2, 2026
  • The Problem, In A Nutshell…

    October 30, 2026November 2, 2026
  • What’s What And WTF?

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • Oil, Dammit!

    October 30, 2026November 1, 2026
  • My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

    October 29, 2026October 31, 2026

economy

Polls, Projectiles And Payrolls

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 30, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026

Geopolitics

Let’s Talk Blue Waves

November 1, 2026November 2, 2026

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 30, 2026

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Duly Noted

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 30, 2026

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

PBoC Policy Headache Gets Worse As China’s Inflation Soars To Seven-Year High

November 9, 2019

A bad mix.

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‘2019 Has Been A Rollercoaster’: Duration ‘Round Trip’ Now Complete, Risk Is Trade Deal Falls Through

November 8, 2019November 9, 2019

This may mean that the market has become too comfortable with the trade outlook.

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‘There Was No Doubt’: Hill, Vindman Transcripts Describe ‘Sad’, ‘Shocking’, Sordid Ukraine Conspiracy

November 8, 2019November 9, 2019

“There was no ambiguity. There was no doubt.”

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1 Comment on ‘There Was No Doubt’: Hill, Vindman Transcripts Describe ‘Sad’, ‘Shocking’, Sordid Ukraine Conspiracy

Marko Kolanovic On ‘Groupthink’, Crowding And Why The Rotation Will Continue

November 8, 2019November 23, 2019

“Two strategies that in theory should have little to do with each other” have been “nearly 100% correlated” recently.

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2 Comments on Marko Kolanovic On ‘Groupthink’, Crowding And Why The Rotation Will Continue

China Responds: Phase One Deal Without Tariff Rollbacks Is Nonstarter

November 8, 2019

“What’s certain is that”…

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The US Consumer Doesn’t Care About Impeachment – For Now, Anyway

November 8, 2019November 8, 2019

“References to the impact of impeachment on economic prospects were virtually non-existent”.

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5 Comments on The US Consumer Doesn’t Care About Impeachment – For Now, Anyway

Trump Figures Stocks Are High Enough Now That He Can Throw Cold Water On Trade Deal

November 8, 2019November 8, 2019

Draw your own conclusions.

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7 Comments on Trump Figures Stocks Are High Enough Now That He Can Throw Cold Water On Trade Deal

Spare A Thought For Gold. This Was A Terrible Week

November 8, 2019

Yellow doorstops are in the dumpster amid an otherwise stellar 2019.

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3 Comments on Spare A Thought For Gold. This Was A Terrible Week

Iran Shoots Down ‘Foreign’ Drone

November 8, 2019

“Residents of Imam Khomeini port city heard the sound of a missile being fired on Friday morning”.

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China’s Yuan Rides Hot Streak Amid Trade Optimism. Exports Stabilize, But Imports, Car Sales Slide

November 8, 2019November 8, 2019

There’s good news and bad news.

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‘Yellow Brick Road’ Or ‘Rabbit Hole’? Bonds In ‘No Man’s Land’

November 7, 2019November 8, 2019

So, which is it going to be?

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1 Comment on ‘Yellow Brick Road’ Or ‘Rabbit Hole’? Bonds In ‘No Man’s Land’

Trump Wanted Nothing Less Than Zelensky To Say ‘Investigations’, ‘Biden’ And ‘Clinton’, George Kent Told Congress

November 7, 2019November 8, 2019

Giuliani’s “allegations against former Ambassador Yovanovitch were without basis, untrue, period”.

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3 Comments on Trump Wanted Nothing Less Than Zelensky To Say ‘Investigations’, ‘Biden’ And ‘Clinton’, George Kent Told Congress

Someone Who Is Almost Surely Peter Navarro ‘Fiercely’ Opposes Lifting Tariffs On China

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

You can always count on Peter…

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2 Comments on Someone Who Is Almost Surely Peter Navarro ‘Fiercely’ Opposes Lifting Tariffs On China

3-Sigma Bond Rout Sees Yields Erase August Plunge, While Front-End Prices Out Trump’s Rate Cut Hopes

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

Rampant optimism is now reinforcing the Fed’s message that rate cuts are done.

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1 Comment on 3-Sigma Bond Rout Sees Yields Erase August Plunge, While Front-End Prices Out Trump’s Rate Cut Hopes

Albert Edwards Asks: ‘Warren, Sanders or Trump What’s The Difference?’

November 7, 2019

“Christie’s US recently sold two pairs of late 1990s tortoiseshell sunglasses for $2,750”.

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3 Comments on Albert Edwards Asks: ‘Warren, Sanders or Trump What’s The Difference?’

Stocks Are Levitating, But Nomura’s McElligott Says Backtest Shows Potential For Pullback Amid Options ‘Extremes’

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

The longer we linger ‘up here’…

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Split BOE Decision Wrong-Foots Markets, 2020 Rate Cut Now Seen Likely

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

“They’re closer to cutting rates than we think”.

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Tariff Rollbacks Imminent, China Says. US Confirms

November 7, 2019November 7, 2019

It would be the first time the Trump administration has removed duties since the beginning of the trade war.

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3 Comments on Tariff Rollbacks Imminent, China Says. US Confirms

Bill Barr Turned Down Trump Request For News Conference Exonerating President In Ukraine Call

November 6, 2019November 6, 2019

Bill should ask Jeff Sessions what happens if you don’t do Trump a favor when asked.

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2 Comments on Bill Barr Turned Down Trump Request For News Conference Exonerating President In Ukraine Call

Bill Taylor’s ‘Clear Understanding’ Was That Trump Tried To Extort Ukraine. He’ll Tell You About It On TV Next Week

November 6, 2019November 7, 2019

Taylor, a West Point graduate and Vietnam veteran, will testify publicly, on television, next week.

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2 Comments on Bill Taylor’s ‘Clear Understanding’ Was That Trump Tried To Extort Ukraine. He’ll Tell You About It On TV Next Week

Happy Times And ‘Manna From The Printing Press Heaven’

November 6, 2019November 6, 2019

“The wealth effect on global plutonomists will be massive”.

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Marco Rubio’s China Pension Ban Will Save You From Accidentally Becoming A Communist Financier

November 6, 2019November 6, 2019

“Today makes clear that a bipartisan, bicameral coalition in Congress will not sit on the sidelines”.

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US-China ‘Phase One’ Deal Seen Delayed, Could Be Signed In Famous US Farm State Switzerland

November 6, 2019November 6, 2019

Who’s surprised?

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11 Comments on US-China ‘Phase One’ Deal Seen Delayed, Could Be Signed In Famous US Farm State Switzerland

‘A Weak Start To Q4’: JPMorgan Global PMI Prints Lowest Since February 2016, Employment Dives Into Contraction

November 6, 2019

“…the pace of job losses at manufacturers was the joint-fastest for over a decade”.

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1 Comment on ‘A Weak Start To Q4’: JPMorgan Global PMI Prints Lowest Since February 2016, Employment Dives Into Contraction

Iran Now ‘Harassing’ IAEA Inspectors As Mountain Nuke Facility Reactivated

November 6, 2019November 8, 2019

“We know how sensitive they are to the Fordow facility”.

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1 Comment on Iran Now ‘Harassing’ IAEA Inspectors As Mountain Nuke Facility Reactivated

For Germany, Light At End Of Tunnel Still Just A Faint Glimmer

November 6, 2019

Far from out of the woods.

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Stocks And The 2020 Election: 5 Charts And Some Questions

November 5, 2019November 5, 2019

Just some food for thought amid the cacophony.

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10 Comments on Stocks And The 2020 Election: 5 Charts And Some Questions

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

  • TebbyFresh on Sell-Side Sarcasm: New And Improved!
  • Caribbean Breeze on Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China
  • Lee 2253 on Have The Hyper-Scalers Lost Their Minds?
  • WeeblesWobble (ButTheyDon'tFallDown) on Apple Sets A Bunch Of Records. Misses In China

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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