Bear Risks To The ‘Nominal Bull’
Those of you old enough (or, as a reader once joked, while putting her own
Those of you old enough (or, as a reader once joked, while putting her own
Looking for a contrarian bearish indicator? Stocks would probably work. US equities are up 20%
For markets and, in some ways, for the US economy, this is probably as good
Earlier this week, Wall Street’s most prominent bear suggested the recent spike in bond volatility
Last week, in “Too Hot,” I insisted on the idea that the trek higher for
Vladimir Putin’s grip on Russia may be loosening, but the US labor market isn’t. Or
“Toto, I’ve a feeling we’re not in Kansas anymore,” said macro watcher after macro watcher in
There’s a “vigorous debate” going on right now around the outlook for equities, and particularly
“Investor sentiment and positioning has turned 180 degrees,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson said Tuesday, as
Why were the bears wrong on equities (and particularly on US equities) during the first
Everything is obvious in hindsight, so we should perhaps hesitate before we insist that policymakers
Not everyone is on board with the idea that the bear market in US equities
“The bear market is officially over.” So said BofA’s Savita Subramanian on Friday, in a
For just the fifth time in nearly a quarter century, the forward earnings growth forecast
Cash and gold. What’s not to like? Amid a grinding rally which took US equities
The A.I. discussion is unfolding everywhere, including and especially corporate boardrooms. Those discussions spilled over
You can’t separate the S&P 500’s YTD gains from the performance of large-cap US tech
Equities have proven remarkably resilient in the face of recent banking sector tumult and amid
Over the years, I’ve learned to pick my spots when it comes to broaching the
It’s no secret that Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson suspects consensus is too optimistic on the
March is a “high risk” month for US equities. That’s according to Morgan Stanley’s Mike
The US may be headed for an earnings recession+, but compared to the rest of
Analysts have rapidly cut profit forecasts for corporate America, even as the breadth of negative
Speculative bear market rallies are nefarious beasts. Not only are they dangerous, they also have
Is the Dow’s relative underperformance versus the S&P in 2023 trying to tell us something
It’s not over yet, but with 70% of S&P 500 market cap having reported earnings,
“Immaculate disinflation” has a nice ring to it. Angelic, even. But how about “American utopia”?
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