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Featured

My Goodness: Amazon Spent Some Money

October 29, 2026
  • Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

Dissembling Strategery

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • An ARM And A Leg

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

‘Think 2018’: Risk Of Q4 ‘Event’ Elevated Amid Macro Mess

October 2, 2021October 4, 2021

Earlier this year, when the retail “meme” mania was in full swing, I suggested the

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7 Comments on ‘Think 2018’: Risk Of Q4 ‘Event’ Elevated Amid Macro Mess

Clarida Picked An Interesting Time To Rebalance Portfolio

October 2, 2021October 3, 2021

Richard Clarida bought some stocks last year. Specifically, he shifted between $1 million and $5

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3 Comments on Clarida Picked An Interesting Time To Rebalance Portfolio

How Equities Can Rally After September’s Selloff

October 1, 2021October 3, 2021

At some point, it had to happen. After months spent watching paint dry, investors were

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6 Comments on How Equities Can Rally After September’s Selloff

Americans Adopt Dire View Of Own Financial Prospects

October 1, 2021October 3, 2021

Americans are the most pessimistic about their personal finances in more than a half-decade. That

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1 Comment on Americans Adopt Dire View Of Own Financial Prospects

US Manufacturing Is A Long Way From Normal

October 1, 2021October 1, 2021

Factory activity in the world’s largest economy remained robust in September, top-tier data out Friday

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Dip-Buyers Hesitant As Crash Wipes 4% Off 97% Gain

October 1, 2021October 2, 2021

Stock funds saw inflows over the last week, but the data didn’t exactly scream enthusiasm.

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1 Comment on Dip-Buyers Hesitant As Crash Wipes 4% Off 97% Gain

Transitory Inflation At 30-Year High For 3rd Straight Month

October 1, 2021October 5, 2021

Personal spending rose slightly more than expected in August, data out Friday showed. The 0.8%

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Pelosi Powerbroker Mystique Hits Progressive Brick Wall

October 1, 2021October 8, 2021

Dysfunction in Washington finally caught up to previously bulletproof US equities this week. Markets felt

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2 Comments on Pelosi Powerbroker Mystique Hits Progressive Brick Wall

‘I’ve Never Been A Liberal’: Manchin’s Fiscal ‘Red Line’

September 30, 2021October 8, 2021

I certainly didn’t want to write about Joe Manchin twice in a single day, but

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11 Comments on ‘I’ve Never Been A Liberal’: Manchin’s Fiscal ‘Red Line’

Wheelbarrow Jokes

September 30, 2021October 3, 2021

It wouldn’t be too much of a stretch to suggest that headline writers and financial

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2 Comments on Wheelbarrow Jokes

Jobless Claims Jump In Worst Streak Since Pandemic Onset

September 30, 2021October 3, 2021

362,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, more than expected. Economists were looking for

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In China: Record Coal And Other ‘Relevant’ Events

September 30, 2021October 1, 2021

“Competition without innovation is low-level competition and zero-sum competition between vested interest groups,” Shi Jianzhong

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1 Comment on In China: Record Coal And Other ‘Relevant’ Events

I Am Become Manchin, Destroyer Of Progress

September 30, 2021October 1, 2021

The issues were the same in Washington on Thursday. There was incremental progress, but no

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16 Comments on I Am Become Manchin, Destroyer Of Progress

Just Tell Me The ‘Why’

September 29, 2021September 30, 2021

No matter how badly we want to answer the “Why?” question, it’s almost never a

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4 Comments on Just Tell Me The ‘Why’

The Selloff Accelerants

September 29, 2021September 30, 2021

It was just — let me check the watch I’m not wearing — 24 hours

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Maybe America Wasn’t Such A Good Idea After All

September 29, 2021September 30, 2021

Time and again over the past several years I’ve lamented the scope of government dysfunction

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12 Comments on Maybe America Wasn’t Such A Good Idea After All

‘When Markets Shudder’

September 29, 2021September 30, 2021

After some catch-up selling in Asia, markets calmed a bit on Wednesday. Tuesday’s rates-driven dramatics

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1 Comment on ‘When Markets Shudder’

China’s Power Crunch Steals Macro Limelight

September 28, 2021October 9, 2021

“Yet another growth shock.” That’s how Goldman described China’s worsening energy crunch on Tuesday. You

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2 Comments on China’s Power Crunch Steals Macro Limelight

When Your Risk-Free Asset Turns On You

September 28, 2021October 4, 2021

Investors were once again “treated” to a rates-inspired tech selloff Tuesday, a fairly regular occurrence.

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3 Comments on When Your Risk-Free Asset Turns On You

Surprise! US Consumer Mood Sours Again

September 28, 2021September 29, 2021

In news that will surprise exactly nobody (other than the several dozen economists whose forecasts

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1 Comment on Surprise! US Consumer Mood Sours Again

Home Prices Log New Record; Downpayment Burden Worsens

September 28, 2021September 29, 2021

Home prices rose less than anticipated in July. Consensus expected S&P/Case-Shiller’s 20-city index to post

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5 Comments on Home Prices Log New Record; Downpayment Burden Worsens

Calls Grow For ‘Structural Bull Market’ In Surging Crude

September 28, 2021October 9, 2021

I’m continually amused at how quickly the narrative changes. I used to jokingly refer to

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7 Comments on Calls Grow For ‘Structural Bull Market’ In Surging Crude

Oil And Bonds!

September 28, 2021September 28, 2021

Oil and bond yields. It was all about oil and bond yields on Tuesday. In

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4 Comments on Oil And Bonds!

Retirement Party

September 27, 2021October 6, 2021

Just about the last thing the Fed needed at a time when untold millions of

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6 Comments on Retirement Party

As The Pendulum Swings

September 27, 2021September 28, 2021

We’re back to worrying about whether the mega-cap leadership can stomach higher bond yields. “Mega-cap

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5 Comments on As The Pendulum Swings

Squeezing The Largest Asset Class On The Planet

September 27, 2021September 28, 2021

Over the past six months, copious amounts of digital ink was spilled on China’s escalating

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10 Comments on Squeezing The Largest Asset Class On The Planet

‘Slowdown’ Need Not Mean ‘Downturn’

September 27, 2021September 29, 2021

Durable goods orders came in well ahead of expectations for August, data out Monday showed.

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Monthly Letters

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