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Featured

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Deep Thoughts, By Bill Ackman

January 16, 2022January 17, 2022

Bill Ackman did some thinking over the weekend, and like all great thinkers before him,

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8 Comments on Deep Thoughts, By Bill Ackman

Walmart Plots ‘Super Intense’ Crypto, Metaverse Push, Filing Suggests

January 16, 2022January 17, 2022

Walmart has designs on crypto. Literally. Filings with the US Patent and Trademark Office dated

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1 Comment on Walmart Plots ‘Super Intense’ Crypto, Metaverse Push, Filing Suggests

Bears And Sea Monsters

January 15, 2022January 16, 2022

I’ve adopted a demonstrably bearish cadence over the past several days. But not on purpose.

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11 Comments on Bears And Sea Monsters

Meanwhile, In Tech: ‘Hey, I Bought Stuff That’s Going Down’

January 15, 2022January 16, 2022

“Interest rates are a central focus of equity investors,” Goldman’s David Kostin said, in a

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1 Comment on Meanwhile, In Tech: ‘Hey, I Bought Stuff That’s Going Down’

Something Wicked This Way Comes

January 14, 2022January 27, 2022

It’s becoming more difficult to shake the feeling that something bad is about to happen

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12 Comments on Something Wicked This Way Comes

Is A Triple Recession Imminent?

January 14, 2022January 17, 2022

“The best consumer news is behind us,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett wrote, in the latest edition

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6 Comments on Is A Triple Recession Imminent?

Inflation Kneecaps Sentiment As Faith In Policies Crumbles

January 14, 2022January 17, 2022

Consumer sentiment deteriorated in early January as inflation worries proliferated and Omicron cases surged. The

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4 Comments on Inflation Kneecaps Sentiment As Faith In Policies Crumbles

Nightmare Before Christmas: US Retail Sales Plunged In December

January 14, 2022January 20, 2022

Suddenly, the American consumer looks tired. Retail sales dropped in December by the most in

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9 Comments on Nightmare Before Christmas: US Retail Sales Plunged In December

JPMorgan Results Underwhelm Amid Epic Bank Rally

January 14, 2022January 14, 2022

US banks came into earnings season on a sugar high, catalyzed by higher yields and

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3 Comments on JPMorgan Results Underwhelm Amid Epic Bank Rally

China’s Pandemic Export Boom Pushes Surplus To Record

January 13, 2022January 18, 2022

Headlines will doubtlessly (and rightfully) tout China’s record exports in 2021, but if you’re looking

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3 Comments on China’s Pandemic Export Boom Pushes Surplus To Record

Albert Edwards: ‘There’s Too Much Linear Thinking Out There!’

January 13, 2022January 15, 2022

It won’t surprise you to learn that SocGen’s Albert Edwards isn’t particularly optimistic about the

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6 Comments on Albert Edwards: ‘There’s Too Much Linear Thinking Out There!’

Is The Fed Trade Exhausted?

January 13, 2022January 14, 2022

If the bearish US rates trade was already tired, December’s cooler-than-anticipated read on PPI could

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2 Comments on Is The Fed Trade Exhausted?

‘Cool’ Is An Extremely Relative Term

January 13, 2022January 14, 2022

US producer prices rose half as much as expected in December, data out Thursday showed.

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3 Comments on ‘Cool’ Is An Extremely Relative Term

Topics Du Jour

January 13, 2022January 13, 2022

Mainland shares in China dropped to a five-month low and dollar weakness remained topical as

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Leave a Comment on Topics Du Jour

A Recession To Save Democracy?

January 12, 2022February 12, 2022

“Today’s report… demonstrates that we are making progress in slowing the rate of price increases,”

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10 Comments on A Recession To Save Democracy?

‘For Now,’ Americans Forced To Live With Inflation

January 12, 2022January 17, 2022

Like COVID, Americans will apparently need to “learn to live with” higher consumer prices. Although

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6 Comments on ‘For Now,’ Americans Forced To Live With Inflation

US Inflation Reaches 7%. Now What?

January 12, 2022January 18, 2022

US consumer prices rose more than expected last month, hotly anticipated data showed. Headline CPI

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8 Comments on US Inflation Reaches 78. Now What?

Critical Takeaways From Cooling Chinese Inflation

January 12, 2022January 17, 2022

Consumer prices and factory gate inflation rolled over in China last month, key data out

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1 Comment on Critical Takeaways From Cooling Chinese Inflation

If The World’s On Fire, That’s Really Nothing New

January 11, 2022January 12, 2022

Afternoon gains on US equity benchmarks belied a distressing hodgepodge of headlines strewn across the

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10 Comments on If The World’s On Fire, That’s Really Nothing New

A Decade And $5 Trillion Later

January 11, 2022January 21, 2022

The Fed will normalize policy “as we move through 2022,” Jerome Powell told US lawmakers

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8 Comments on A Decade And $5 Trillion Later

Regular People Don’t Care

January 11, 2022January 12, 2022

A panel of highly-qualified technocrats will use its “tools to prevent higher inflation from becoming

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8 Comments on Regular People Don’t Care

Behind The Nasdaq’s Wild Monday Reversal

January 11, 2022January 12, 2022

On Monday afternoon, after another brutal selloff in US tech shares briefly pushed the Nasdaq

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Leave a Comment on Behind The Nasdaq’s Wild Monday Reversal

Finesse

January 10, 2022January 13, 2022

It’s perilous to trade in and out of markets at times like these. Nobody is

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2 Comments on Finesse

Kolanovic: Buy The Dip. Markets Can Handle Higher Yields

January 10, 2022January 16, 2022

“Markets can handle Omicron and higher yields,” JPMorgan strategists led by Marko Kolanovic wrote Monday,

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‘Minsky Moments Almost Certainly Await’

January 10, 2022January 21, 2022

It’s now mostly impossible to avoid the 2018 comparisons when it comes to Fed policy.

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Dot-Com Echoes As Rich Stocks Meet Fed Hawks

January 10, 2022January 14, 2022

Constructive views remained constructive Monday and those known for occasionally adopting a cautious cadence did

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3 Comments on Dot-Com Echoes As Rich Stocks Meet Fed Hawks

Goldman Says Fed QT Starts In July, Sees Peak Omicron

January 10, 2022January 10, 2022

Goldman joined the ranks of those predicting four Fed hikes in 2022, as Wall Street

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5 Comments on Goldman Says Fed QT Starts In July, Sees Peak Omicron

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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  • Old Cyclist on ‘Remains Elevated’
  • BustedClock on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Mr. Dog on Boom!

Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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