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Featured

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

One Crowded Theater

January 21, 2022January 23, 2022

Last week, in “Something Wicked This Way Comes,” I said it’s “becoming more difficult to

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3 Comments on One Crowded Theater

Only One Thing Matters Now

January 21, 2022January 22, 2022

Maybe it’s time for stock replacement strategies. That was one takeaway from two-dozen pages penned

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7 Comments on Only One Thing Matters Now

Gravity

January 21, 2022January 29, 2022

When viewed through the lens of real rates, it’s hardly surprising that any and all

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14 Comments on Gravity

Explaining Thursday’s Dramatic Stock Reversal

January 21, 2022January 22, 2022

If you’re wondering “Wha’ happened?!” on Thursday afternoon, when the bottom fell out for US

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When It Rains, You Watch Netflix

January 21, 2022January 21, 2022

When it rains it pours, I suppose. Just about the last thing US tech shares

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8 Comments on When It Rains, You Watch Netflix

Who’s Tired Of Jeremy Grantham?

January 20, 2022February 10, 2022

Jeremy Grantham just wants to help. That’s all. He said as much in the very

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22 Comments on Who’s Tired Of Jeremy Grantham?

Don’t Look Down

January 20, 2022January 21, 2022

This time is different. As ever, those four words are very dangerous when arranged in

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7 Comments on Don’t Look Down

‘Bare Shelves’ Beget Sudden Drop In US Home Sales

January 20, 2022January 27, 2022

A lack of supply weighed on US home sales last month, data out Thursday showed.

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2 Comments on ‘Bare Shelves’ Beget Sudden Drop In US Home Sales

The Case For A Counter-Trend Stock Rally

January 20, 2022January 21, 2022

US equities labored under the tyrannical overhang of “huge VWAP-style selling pressure” during Wednesday’s choppy

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US Jobless Claims Surge. Seasonal Adjustment Blamed

January 20, 2022January 21, 2022

US jobless claims surged last week by the most since July, a decidedly poor update

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5 Comments on US Jobless Claims Surge. Seasonal Adjustment Blamed

Dead Heart Defibrillator

January 20, 2022January 20, 2022

Chinese policymakers coaxed a rally out of downtrodden equities Thursday. The Hang Seng China Enterprises

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When Every Trade Is A Crowded Trade

January 19, 2022January 25, 2022

When the headlines start to get repetitive, it usually means everyone’s on the same side

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5 Comments on When Every Trade Is A Crowded Trade

$1.2 Trillion Suffers From Cognitive Dissonance

January 19, 2022January 20, 2022

Nobody is worried about COVID anymore. Well, I shouldn’t say “nobody.” People dying from it

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4 Comments on $1.2 Trillion Suffers From Cognitive Dissonance

Stocks Saw Billions In Systematic Selling During Tuesday Rout

January 19, 2022January 21, 2022

Systematic flows may have weighed on equities early this week, as acute Fed fears pushed

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Morgan, BofA Close Book On Uninspired Bank Earnings

January 19, 2022January 19, 2022

The last of Q4’s big bank earnings came in mixed Wednesday, as Bank of America

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An Air Of Panic

January 19, 2022January 20, 2022

A Wednesday headline described the Fed’s “tightening steps” as “unprecedented.” I didn’t read the article.

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11 Comments on An Air Of Panic

This Is ‘The Most Critical Level In Global Markets’

January 18, 2022January 21, 2022

If you had to choose just one level to watch across the entire global markets

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6 Comments on This Is ‘The Most Critical Level In Global Markets’

Oil!

January 18, 2022January 23, 2022

Brent crude rose near $90 a barrel on Tuesday. Were it not for surging yields

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5 Comments on Oil!

Fever Pitch

January 18, 2022January 19, 2022

Wall Street marked an inauspicious start to a holiday-shortened week. Treasurys were heavy throughout the

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7 Comments on Fever Pitch

Goldman’s Traders Come Up Short, But IB Strong. Expenses Surge

January 18, 2022January 23, 2022

Even Goldman’s traders couldn’t quite measure up in Q4. Consistent with disappointing markets performance from

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Plunge In Empire Survey May Be Another Canary

January 18, 2022January 19, 2022

The data calendar may be sparse in the US this week, but Empire manufacturing served

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6 Comments on Plunge In Empire Survey May Be Another Canary

Tech Dread Returns As US Yields Forget Pandemic

January 18, 2022January 18, 2022

It was back to hand-wringing over rising rates Tuesday, as the US came back online

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2 Comments on Tech Dread Returns As US Yields Forget Pandemic

Inflation, Recession And Rabbit Holes

January 17, 2022January 18, 2022

For the first time since the emergence of the Omicron variant, money markets bet on

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2 Comments on Inflation, Recession And Rabbit Holes

Sufficient Potential

January 17, 2022January 19, 2022

Headlines centered around China’s economy Monday after the latest batch of key data painted a

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4 Comments on Sufficient Potential

China Cuts Rates As Retail Sales Crumble, Economy Stumbles

January 16, 2022January 24, 2022

The Chinese economic expansion slowed in the fourth quarter, but not nearly as much as

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Fed Speculation In Overdrive Leaves Markets In Limbo

January 16, 2022January 21, 2022

The US data calendar is sparse in what’ll be a holiday-shortened week dominated by Fed

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5 Comments on Fed Speculation In Overdrive Leaves Markets In Limbo

Deep Thoughts, By Bill Ackman

January 16, 2022January 17, 2022

Bill Ackman did some thinking over the weekend, and like all great thinkers before him,

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8 Comments on Deep Thoughts, By Bill Ackman

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • CL on Lagarde Versus Le Pen?
  • Old Cyclist on ‘Remains Elevated’
  • BustedClock on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Mr. Dog on Boom!

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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