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Featured

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Americans: A ‘Relatively Confident’ Bunch

February 22, 2022February 23, 2022

Take it with a grain of salt. US consumer confidence held up reasonably well in

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Leave a Comment on Americans: A ‘Relatively Confident’ Bunch

$100 Billion In Three Days: China Tech Nightmare Worsens

February 22, 2022February 28, 2022

While the world was fixated on the standoff between the West and Russia following Vladimir

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3 Comments on $100 Billion In Three Days: China Tech Nightmare Worsens

Russia-Ukraine: How Much Risk Is Priced In?

February 22, 2022February 23, 2022

“How much is priced in?” Whenever something bad happens (or looks like it might happen

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6 Comments on Russia-Ukraine: How Much Risk Is Priced In?

‘Madness’

February 22, 2022February 22, 2022

Vladimir Putin will find he’s “gravely miscalculated,” Boris Johnson said Tuesday, as the world pondered

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12 Comments on ‘Madness’

Putin Recognizes Separatist Republics

February 21, 2022February 27, 2022

In an inauspicious development, Vladimir Putin on Monday recognized separatists in Ukraine. “I consider it

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14 Comments on Putin Recognizes Separatist Republics

Is Xi Prepping A New Crackdown On Chinese Mega-Tech?

February 21, 2022February 22, 2022

The regulatory headwinds are picking up again in China. Not that they ever dissipated. In

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2 Comments on Is Xi Prepping A New Crackdown On Chinese Mega-Tech?

Concrete Principles

February 21, 2022February 22, 2022

The Kremlin on Monday said there are “no concrete plans” for a summit between Vladimir

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2 Comments on Concrete Principles

Frayed Nerves, Lit Fuse

February 20, 2022February 25, 2022

Barring some manner of good news on the geopolitical front, it’ll be another challenging week

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3 Comments on Frayed Nerves, Lit Fuse

‘Since 1945’

February 20, 2022February 21, 2022

Update: Late Sunday (or early Monday, depending on where you reside), AFP reported that Emmanuel

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22 Comments on ‘Since 1945’

Go With The Flows

February 19, 2022February 21, 2022

Stocks should be fine. Sort of. That’s a (deliberately) colloquial way of summarizing Goldman’s take

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3 Comments on Go With The Flows

This Is Not A Drill

February 19, 2022February 26, 2022

This is not a drill. That’s the message emanating from economists, policymakers and analysts who,

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6 Comments on This Is Not A Drill

Something Wicked This Way Comes: Redux

February 18, 2022February 20, 2022

Back on January 14, in “Something Wicked This Way Comes,” I wrote that “it’s becoming

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11 Comments on Something Wicked This Way Comes: Redux

We Built The World Wrong

February 18, 2022February 20, 2022

Two days after publication, Zoltan Pozsar’s latest “dispatch” was still circulating and otherwise prompting discussion

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10 Comments on We Built The World Wrong

Flows Just Turned ‘Recessionary’

February 18, 2022February 19, 2022

“Recessionary.” That’s the word BofA’s Michael Hartnett used to describe a somewhat inauspicious juxtaposition in

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Retail Investors Are Still Buying, Goldman Says

February 18, 2022February 18, 2022

Contrary to the notion that retail investors may have lost some of their joie de

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State It Clearly

February 18, 2022February 22, 2022

Risk appetite remained subdued at the end of another tenuous week. Russian-backed separatists and the

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14 Comments on State It Clearly

Zoltan Pozsar Has An Idea…

February 17, 2022March 4, 2022

“We need a Volcker moment,” Zoltan Pozsar declared, in a positively rollicking note published February

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17 Comments on Zoltan Pozsar Has An Idea…

Disappearing Playgrounds

February 17, 2022February 18, 2022

The playground is shrinking. In fact, it just disappeared. Over the past several weeks, market

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4 Comments on Disappearing Playgrounds

McElligott On Market’s ‘Reservoir Dogs Standoff’

February 17, 2022February 22, 2022

The standoff in eastern Europe is a “buzzkill” for what may have otherwise been a

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Different Day, Same Story

February 17, 2022February 22, 2022

A hodgepodge of second-tier US economic data released Thursday offered nothing definitive. Initial jobless claims

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Danger: Tape Bombs

February 17, 2022February 20, 2022

First, Russian-backed separatists claimed Ukrainian forces fired mortars, heavy machine guns and grenade launchers. Then,

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4 Comments on Danger: Tape Bombs

Indecision Time

February 16, 2022February 17, 2022

To be sure, the January Fed minutes were stale. Quite a bit transpired since last

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1 Comment on Indecision Time

East-West Divide

February 16, 2022February 22, 2022

It’s hard to know what’s worth highlighting these days when it comes to inflation in

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1 Comment on East-West Divide

‘I’m Not Dead Yet,’ Shouted The US Consumer

February 16, 2022February 22, 2022

“I’m not dead yet!”, shouted the US consumer. Retail sales rose more than expected in

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1 Comment on ‘I’m Not Dead Yet,’ Shouted The US Consumer

‘Too Complex To Follow’

February 16, 2022February 17, 2022

Traders were “treated” to more conflicting Ukraine headlines on Wednesday, as global equities attempted to

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4 Comments on ‘Too Complex To Follow’

Harley Bassman: Rates Are Flashing ‘Warning!’

February 15, 2022February 16, 2022

Us University of Chicago monetarists have been warning for a decade that the Fed’s helicopter

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5 Comments on Harley Bassman: Rates Are Flashing ‘Warning!’

Spin Class

February 15, 2022February 16, 2022

Risk was on the front foot Tuesday, as speculation about the timing of Russian military

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10 Comments on Spin Class

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Old Cyclist on ‘Remains Elevated’
  • BustedClock on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Mr. Dog on Boom!
  • derek on Boom!

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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