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Featured

Lagarde Versus Le Pen?

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • ‘Remains Elevated’

    October 29, 2026
  • Boom!

    October 29, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Dissembling Strategery

    October 28, 2026October 28, 2026

Markets

Alphabet Whiffs, Microsoft Hits

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • Mona Lisa’s Smirk

    October 28, 2026October 29, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

economy

An ARM And A Leg

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s All Relative

    October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026

Geopolitics

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 29, 2026

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

‘Something, Somewhere May Break’: McElligott On Russia

February 28, 2022March 1, 2022

At least for the next several days, market participants will focus on the proverbial “plumbing,”

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6 Comments on ‘Something, Somewhere May Break’: McElligott On Russia

Putin Faces Existential Crisis As Ruble, Economy Collapse Overnight

February 28, 2022March 6, 2022

The Russian economy was plunged into an overnight crisis Monday, after the Western powers moved

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35 Comments on Putin Faces Existential Crisis As Ruble, Economy Collapse Overnight

Traders Brace For Volatility After Historic Weekend

February 27, 2022February 28, 2022

Traders braced for volatility coming out of a historic weekend during which the West severed

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6 Comments on Traders Brace For Volatility After Historic Weekend

Pozsar Conjures Lehman Amid Russia SWIFT Ban

February 27, 2022March 5, 2022

“If a bank closes a $200 billion balance sheet on Friday and doesn’t open on

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9 Comments on Pozsar Conjures Lehman Amid Russia SWIFT Ban

‘Exhilarating And Humiliating’

February 27, 2022February 28, 2022

Markets are exciting. They can also be highly unpredictable, disheartening and, depending on the context,

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4 Comments on ‘Exhilarating And Humiliating’

Markets Held Hostage

February 27, 2022March 4, 2022

Needless to say, markets will remain hostage to geopolitical news flow in the week ahead.

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1 Comment on Markets Held Hostage

‘This Is Evil. And It Must Be Destroyed.’

February 27, 2022February 27, 2022

The Russian central bank on Sunday promised domestic banks an “uninterrupted” supply of rubles, but

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11 Comments on ‘This Is Evil. And It Must Be Destroyed.’

Some Russian Banks Removed From SWIFT, Central Bank Targeted

February 26, 2022February 27, 2022

Just hours after Germany dropped its opposition to barring Russia from SWIFT, the West unveiled

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7 Comments on Some Russian Banks Removed From SWIFT, Central Bank Targeted

Russia May Face ‘Full-On Collapse’ Of Financial System

February 26, 2022March 2, 2022

The world moved closer on Saturday to deploying the economic nuclear option against Russia. In

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15 Comments on Russia May Face ‘Full-On Collapse’ Of Financial System

‘Something China Doesn’t Want To See’

February 26, 2022February 28, 2022

“China has been following the evolution of the Ukraine issue, and the present situation is

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15 Comments on ‘Something China Doesn’t Want To See’

‘Where Next?’

February 25, 2022February 27, 2022

US equities closed out a truly chaotic week with a spectacular two-day rally, even as

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8 Comments on ‘Where Next?’

Pozsar Cautions On ‘Market Event’ From ‘Russia’s Vast Financial Surpluses’

February 25, 2022February 26, 2022

Zoltan Pozsar took a break this week from assessing every conceivable angle of Fed balance

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6 Comments on Pozsar Cautions On ‘Market Event’ From ‘Russia’s Vast Financial Surpluses’

The X(i) Factor

February 25, 2022March 7, 2022

Last month, in “War Drums,” I suggested that whatever Vladimir Putin intended to do in

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6 Comments on The X(i) Factor

Marquee US Data Argues Against Recession, For Fed Hikes

February 25, 2022February 25, 2022

This week’s marquee data out of the US showed a resilient consumer and elevated inflation,

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2 Comments on Marquee US Data Argues Against Recession, For Fed Hikes

McElligott Explains Thursday’s Epic US Stock Reversal

February 25, 2022February 26, 2022

On Thursday afternoon, following a truly absurd reversal on Wall Street that found US equities

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4 Comments on McElligott Explains Thursday’s Epic US Stock Reversal

As Putin Moves To Seize Kyiv, Biden Mobilizes King Dollar

February 24, 2022March 2, 2022

The Russian military was poised to take Kyiv on Thursday evening, closing in on the

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36 Comments on As Putin Moves To Seize Kyiv, Biden Mobilizes King Dollar

Meanwhile, Inside America’s Epic Housing Bubble…

February 24, 2022

Who cares about the data at a time like this?! Nobody, is the answer. Nevertheless,

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3 Comments on Meanwhile, Inside America’s Epic Housing Bubble…

‘Darkness’

February 24, 2022February 25, 2022

It was impossible to escape dire headlines on Thursday. Neither was it easy to scan

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8 Comments on ‘Darkness’

‘The Stagflation Tail Just Picked Up Massive Delta’

February 24, 2022February 25, 2022

The assets most at risk from Vladimir Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine are Russian assets.

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Shell Shock: Markets In Disbelief As Putin Strikes

February 24, 2022February 28, 2022

“Russia treacherously attacked our state in the morning,” Volodymyr Zelenskiy said, in a social media

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16 Comments on Shell Shock: Markets In Disbelief As Putin Strikes

Putin Invades Ukraine

February 23, 2022March 2, 2022

Hours after the heads of Ukraine’s separatist republics formally requested assistance from the Russian military

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11 Comments on Putin Invades Ukraine

It Wasn’t Priced In

February 23, 2022February 24, 2022

Losses continued to pile up for US equities on Wednesday amid a deluge of dour

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5 Comments on It Wasn’t Priced In

S&P 3840 Next Month? 2018 Says Yes

February 23, 2022February 24, 2022

I’m not a fan of visual analogues in the market context. They’re (almost) always “chart

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7 Comments on S&P 3840 Next Month? 2018 Says Yes

Slowing Profits, Growth To Drive Stocks, Not Ukraine: Wilson

February 23, 2022February 23, 2022

Although you may be inclined to exasperation vis-à-vis the impossibility of trading a market hostage

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4 Comments on Slowing Profits, Growth To Drive Stocks, Not Ukraine: Wilson

Institutional Investors Now Trading Like YOLO Crowd

February 23, 2022February 24, 2022

The combination of manic intraday swings and myopia imposed by extreme ambiguity around the long

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Burning House

February 23, 2022February 23, 2022

Global equities attempted to find their footing Wednesday after the S&P entered a correction for

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9 Comments on Burning House

The Desperate Despot

February 22, 2022February 25, 2022

Joe Biden on Tuesday unveiled sanctions on Russian sovereign debt and promised “an even steeper

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19 Comments on The Desperate Despot

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Old Cyclist on ‘Remains Elevated’
  • BustedClock on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Mr. Dog on Boom!
  • derek on Boom!

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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