‘Germany Balanced It Out’: World Reacts To Fraught Italian Election
For now, the market mood seems to be something akin to “fuck it, we’ll worry about this later”.
Search Results for: Italy
Not For The Faint-Hearted: Full Week Ahead Preview
This is not going to be for the faint of heart.
The Wolf Finally Came.
And so we close the book on February.
Let’s Get Italian: Full Week Ahead Preview
No shortage of event risk.
Trader: Here’s Why I Would Fade Ray Dalio’s Massive Short
“We will probably never know, but I think it’s an interesting exercise to speculate on the reasons for the massive bet.”
David Stockman Bemoans ‘The Night Of Fiscal Infamy’
“We have crossed the fiscal Rubicon.”
Of Secessionists And Populists: Across The Pond And Back Again
The stamina of the secessionists and the propitiation of the populists…
Rage Capital Is Ready For Picking: Identity Crises And Four Modes Of Misogyny
“White American males have always been in charge. They made the rules and they called the shots in the workplace, in the home and at the ballot box. They’ve owned the world for so long and have been getting increasingly uncomfortable as their grip on power had been eroding. Now the unthinkable is happening: They are becoming the minority.”
Epsilon Theory’s Latest: The Three-Body Problem
“There is a non-trivial chance that structural changes in our social worlds of politics and markets have made it impossible to identify predictive/ derivative patterns.”Â
Epsilon Theory Presents: The Two Churchills
“The basic idea is to transition the discussion of an issue that threatens one’s tribe from a substantive one to a discussion of relative credibility.”
One Bank Warns: ‘Something’s Gotta Give’
“Just because concerns about market complacency this year proved to be wrong, it does not mean that they are not justified today, particularly as markets are even more bullish.”
Feelin’ Good In The Periphery As Bonds, Stocks Rally – Catalan Leader Nowhere To Be Found
Looks like all of that defiance dried up pretty quick.
Revisiting The Only Thing That Matters In A Taper: Stock Vs. Flow Effects
As a reminder, no one knows the answer to this yet. That’s how it works with things that are “unprecedented.”
Watch For A ‘Deep Dive’ In The Euro
Whither the common currency…
Should Have Just Gotten Drunk.
Anyone home out there?
If Someone Doesn’t Explain Why Stocks Are Lower, You Might Just Have To Buy Gold
In a testament to the fact that, contrary to what Mario Draghi said in Washington last weekend, investors do not in fact believe that stocks can go down as well as up, there’s a mad scramble on Thursday morning to explain what’s going on.
You Ignore Geopolitical Firestorms At Your Own Peril: Chief Economist
This kind of complacency is in the face of multiple flashpoints and powder kegs is “unwelcome.”
‘What’s The Worst That Can Happen’? Pandora’s Box And The ‘Balkanisation’ Of Spain
“If he loses support in parliament, there’s an outside chance that this could topple the government and create unexpected political risks.”
‘Maybe Volatility Is The Answer.’
“All this combines to suggest a volatile fourth quarter. Year-end themes remain elusive.”
‘A Fly In The Ointment’ But Nothing To Worry About, Apparently…
“We would characterize existing political risks as of the run-of-the-mill variety that investors always face and a far cry from the high-stakes political events of the past several quarters (events that markets navigated with aplomb.”
Trader: ‘People Are Really Unsettled About Not Having A Clue’
“If there’s one theme running through many of the conversations I’ve had this week, it’s that people are really unsettled about not having a clue where asset prices are going. Every move is portrayed as obvious, meaningful and sustainable–until it’s not.”
Still One Of My Favorite Trades
“This might seem trite, but the scariest thing in today’s market is currency strength. No one wants it. No one can afford it.”
One Trader Doesn’t ‘Have A Clue’ But He’s Sure There’s ‘A Serious Amount Of Scary’ Out There
“On the other hand, there’s a serious amount of scary, or at the very least, disappointing, happenings out there.”
Monday Bloody Monday.
There will be blood.
‘Investors Have Been Ignoring This Story,’ But That’s About To Change
“The beginning of the euro’s impressive rally coincided with Emmanuel Macron winning the French presidential election and thereby quashing political fears in the region. A correction in the euro is now likely to coincide with Spain and Germany bringing those risks back into the light.”
Close Encounters.
“So although populism has proved unpredictable in recent years, the rise surely increases the risks to the current world order and could set off a financial crisis at some point soon.”
Bitcoin, Cryptodollars, Gold, Seedy Saloons, Gunfights, And Wampum
“It’s the millennial’s wild west. Like all generations, they’ve discovered a new frontier, with few rules, seedy saloons, gunfights, corpses. As our earthly unknowns disappear, we find new ones in the ether. “
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