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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Warm Producer Prices Overshadowed By Fedspeak, CPI, Mideast

October 11, 2023October 12, 2023

In an inauspicious development, US producer prices rose more than expected in September, data released

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A False Dawn For Bond Bulls?

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

Market commentary is hopelessly trifling — where that means entirely insignificant — in the presence

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Broken Records

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

All’s not well under the surface of what, notwithstanding a late-summer setback, remains an optically

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1 Comment on Broken Records

Fear The Wall

October 10, 2023

Everybody has a maturity wall, it’s just a matter of how far out it is.

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‘Lost Decade’ Risk Remains For 60/40 Portfolios: Goldman

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

The outlook remains challenging for 60/40 portfolios. That was the message from Goldman’s Christian Mueller-Glissmann,

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2 Comments on ‘Lost Decade’ Risk Remains For 60/40 Portfolios: Goldman

‘Not Tit For Tat’

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

“This is not tit for tat.” That was the message (or one message anyway) from

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17 Comments on ‘Not Tit For Tat’

Technically Speaking

October 9, 2023

If you’re looking to explain recent weakness in equities, you don’t have to look very

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1 Comment on Technically Speaking

In Israel-Hamas War, World Gets Third Shock In Three Years

October 9, 2023November 5, 2023

Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday said Israel will “change the Middle East” in the course of

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14 Comments on In Israel-Hamas War, World Gets Third Shock In Three Years

Bond Rally May Not Rescue Stocks, JPMorgan Warns

October 9, 2023October 10, 2023

The “time is coming to position for the long duration trade.” So said JPMorgan analysts

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Much Ado About Price Discovery

October 9, 2023October 10, 2023

I chafe, instinctually, at the idea that the US government is “running out of room”

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3 Comments on Much Ado About Price Discovery

‘No Electricity, No Food, No Water’

October 9, 2023October 10, 2023

“No electricity, no food, no water, no fuel.” That’s the situation facing Gazans. The quote

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17 Comments on ‘No Electricity, No Food, No Water’

‘An Orderly Clearing Of Markets’: Goldman On The Bond Selloff

October 8, 2023October 8, 2023

Odds may now favor a “sharp reversal” in US long-end yields. That’s according to Goldman,

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2 Comments on ‘An Orderly Clearing Of Markets’: Goldman On The Bond Selloff

More War

October 8, 2023October 11, 2023

All eyes will be on Israel this week. Concerns of a wider regional conflagration were

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9 Comments on More War

US Inflation Update In Focus After Jobs Blowout

October 8, 2023October 9, 2023

News reels around the world will be dominated by war coverage this week as Israel

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The New ‘Fight The Fed’ Trade

October 7, 2023October 9, 2023

What if they had a selloff and nobody sold? That seems like a bizarre proposition,

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3 Comments on The New ‘Fight The Fed’ Trade

Earnings Season Is Here

October 7, 2023October 9, 2023

Earnings season is here, believe it or not, and given the pervasive macro ambiguity weighing

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US Equity Flows, Sentiment Cautious Amid Macro Ambiguity

October 6, 2023

US equity-focused ETFs and mutual funds notched another week of inflows with a modest $3.9

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Fed Torched By US Jobs Scorcher

October 6, 2023October 15, 2023

The US economy added 336,000 jobs last month, the most anticipated labor market report of

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8 Comments on Fed Torched By US Jobs Scorcher

Crumbs For Doves

October 6, 2023October 8, 2023

My guess would be September’s US labor market report, released on Friday, will be remembered

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The ‘Ultimate Fear’

October 6, 2023October 7, 2023

The “view” from where BofA’s Michael Hartnett is sitting goes something like this. “Still bearish risk

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2 Comments on The ‘Ultimate Fear’

Money Market Funds See Massive Inflow. Assets Hit $5.71 Trillion

October 5, 2023

Money market funds took in a massive $64 billion in the week to October 4,

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Barbarians At The Gaetz

October 5, 2023October 7, 2023

To let some (most?) Republicans tell it, Americans stay up at night fretting over the

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19 Comments on Barbarians At The Gaetz

‘Penny Stock’ Bond Market Needs ‘Time Out’

October 5, 2023October 6, 2023

There’s a lot of focus right now on bonds, but also on bond volatility, and

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7 Comments on ‘Penny Stock’ Bond Market Needs ‘Time Out’

Stock Correction Saw $50 Billion In Mechanical Selling

October 5, 2023October 5, 2023

The impact of systematic flows — and particularly systematic selling — on equities is a

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Disinversion By Bear?

October 5, 2023October 5, 2023

The key question on the heels of this summer’s dramatic escalation in what’s now the

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Treasurys’ Titanic Losses Make History

October 5, 2023October 15, 2023

If you don’t like to talk about bonds, you’re at wits’ end by now. The

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6 Comments on Treasurys’ Titanic Losses Make History

Jobless Claims Unmoved In Vexingly Resilient US Labor Market

October 5, 2023October 6, 2023

Not surprisingly, US jobless claims remained stuck near the lowest levels of the year in

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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  • Rick Jones on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • WMD on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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