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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

What To Expect From Q2 Earnings Season

July 1, 2024July 4, 2024

For whatever it’s worth, the bar to clear for corporate America when reporting season kicks

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3 Comments on What To Expect From Q2 Earnings Season

Sotomayor Pens Obituary For American Democracy

July 1, 2024July 2, 2024

To be aggrieved at a 2024 Supreme Court decision at odds with the popular will

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32 Comments on Sotomayor Pens Obituary For American Democracy

‘Period. End Of Story’

July 1, 2024July 2, 2024

It’s hard to know whether Joe Biden and his surrogates actually believe he’s up to

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19 Comments on ‘Period. End Of Story’

US Factory Activity ‘Frustratingly Weak’

July 1, 2024July 4, 2024

US factory activity contracted a third month in June, the first of this week’s top-tier

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8 Comments on US Factory Activity ‘Frustratingly Weak’

Le Pen ‘At The Gates Of Power’ As France’s Political Center ‘Wiped Out’

June 30, 2024July 4, 2024

Implicit in Emmanuel Macron’s brazen decision to dissolve parliament three weeks ago was the notion

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2 Comments on Le Pen ‘At The Gates Of Power’ As France’s Political Center ‘Wiped Out’

Jobs, Politics And Fireworks

June 30, 2024July 4, 2024

If you’re not into politics, it’ll be an arduous week. Headlines in the days ahead

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2 Comments on Jobs, Politics And Fireworks

Chinese Economy Still Struggling, Latest Data Shows

June 30, 2024July 4, 2024

The Chinese economy’s still on shaky footing. At this point — which is to say

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Leave a Comment on Chinese Economy Still Struggling, Latest Data Shows

As US Celebrates July 4, UK Braces For ‘Electoral Asteroid’

June 30, 2024July 1, 2024

It’s another holiday week in the US. On Thursday, American men will engage in the

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8 Comments on As US Celebrates July 4, UK Braces For ‘Electoral Asteroid’

No Choice: A Bear Market In Democracy

June 29, 2024July 1, 2024

Long before Joe Biden and Donald Trump officially committed to reprising their roles for a

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37 Comments on No Choice: A Bear Market In Democracy

What If Tariffs Are Deflationary This Time?

June 28, 2024July 4, 2024

Here’s an idea: What if new tariffs are deflationary? If you’re inclined to dismiss that

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2 Comments on What If Tariffs Are Deflationary This Time?

Paging @KamalaHarris

June 28, 2024June 30, 2024

Donald Trump won the first (and, if Democrats have any sense about them, the only)

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53 Comments on Paging @KamalaHarris

Nothing Worse Than High Prices

June 28, 2024July 4, 2024

Another month, another outsized revision on America’s marquee gauge of consumer sentiment. The final read

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1 Comment on Nothing Worse Than High Prices

Two Fed Cuts Very Much In Play As Core Inflation Cools

June 28, 2024July 4, 2024

As expected, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation in the US moderated further in May,

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Leave a Comment on Two Fed Cuts Very Much In Play As Core Inflation Cools

US Housing Market Logs Another Regrettable Record

June 27, 2024July 4, 2024

I hate to relegate the single-worst read on a key leading indicator of US home

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1 Comment on US Housing Market Logs Another Regrettable Record

Brace For Impact

June 27, 2024July 4, 2024

A growing chorus is concerned about the read-through of a prospective GOP election sweep for

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11 Comments on Brace For Impact

With $2 Trillion Buffer Gone, Americans’ Spending Slows

June 27, 2024July 4, 2024

When is the US government’s third try at estimating aggregate economic activity worth mentioning? That’s

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6 Comments on With $2 Trillion Buffer Gone, Americans’ Spending Slows

Have US Jobless Claims Reached An Inflection Point?

June 27, 2024July 4, 2024

After innumerable head fakes, it looks as though initial jobless claims in the US have

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2 Comments on Have US Jobless Claims Reached An Inflection Point?

Micron And The Great Expectations Trade

June 27, 2024July 4, 2024

Generally speaking, you should be able to venture a good guess as to whether high

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19 Comments on Micron And The Great Expectations Trade

Are Americans Taking Democracy For Granted?

June 26, 2024July 4, 2024

I wasn’t planning to pen another “end of democracy” article this week. Really I wasn’t.

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2 Comments on Are Americans Taking Democracy For Granted?

Why The Market Can’t Move

June 26, 2024July 4, 2024

“Eye-wateringly dire.” That’s how Nomura’s Charlie McElligott described the vol environment in US equities, where

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1 Comment on Why The Market Can’t Move

Macron, Le Pen And The Perils Of Polarization

June 26, 2024July 4, 2024

It’s hard to feel “bad,” as such, for Emmanuel Macron. He not a terribly sympathetic

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10 Comments on Macron, Le Pen And The Perils Of Polarization

New Home Sales Plunge As US Housing Gridlock Continues

June 26, 2024July 4, 2024

Sales of new US homes plunged in May, according to what I can confidently call

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4 Comments on New Home Sales Plunge As US Housing Gridlock Continues

‘Too Big To Fail’ US Stock Market Isn’t So Exceptional Without Tech

June 25, 2024July 4, 2024

US equities are “too big to fail.” That was one, among many, takeaways from what

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4 Comments on ‘Too Big To Fail’ US Stock Market Isn’t So Exceptional Without Tech

Bubble Or Bust

June 25, 2024July 4, 2024

Three months ago, SocGen’s Manish Kabra dethroned BofA’s Savita Subramanian to become Wall Street’s largest

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3 Comments on Bubble Or Bust

Americans Have An Anxiety Disorder

June 25, 2024July 4, 2024

US consumer confidence slipped in June, as Americans continued to fret about the outlook despite

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18 Comments on Americans Have An Anxiety Disorder

There’s Always The Park Bench

June 25, 2024July 4, 2024

Guess what? US home prices are at record highs. Oh, you already knew that? I

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4 Comments on There’s Always The Park Bench

Who’s Right?

June 25, 2024July 4, 2024

On some days (a lot of days, including the first day of this week) Nvidia

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4 Comments on Who’s Right?

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • NY Jeff on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • carbpow on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • Blognonymous on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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