“If this is, as we strongly believe, an aberration and the equity yield reconnects with the red dotted arrow, then investors should be petrified of the next equity bear market.”
Category: stocks
Synchronized Swimming (We’ve Only Seen This Once Since 2004)
“2017 is on track to be the first year of synchronized equity inflows to all major region funds since 2004.”
Chart Of The Day: The Most Important Leading Indicator Of Them All?
Don’t forget: “everything is made in China these days.”
Sunday Chart Check: “Diversification”
“The market value of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond vs. Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF hit a 3-year low in March 2017.”
Chart Of The Day: (No) Go With The Flow
“Flows across the asset classes we track have slowed down to the lowest level since late 2015.”
How To Exploit The Passive Herd With One Simple Strategy
If you frequent these pages, you’re well acquainted with the concept of passive investing and its rise
Bernanke Was Right
“And higher stock prices will boost consumer wealth and help increase confidence, which can also spur spending. Increased spending will lead to higher incomes and profits that, in a virtuous circle, will further support economic expansion.”
Dollar Pulled Between Minutes And Mnuchin, Crude Hopes For Bullish EIA Print
Ok so it’s Thursday morning and everyone has generally come around to what I said
Chart Check: Politics At Work
This is what happens when political risk trumps economic data…
Chart Check (Going Global On Valuations)
Valuations have become something of a hot topic of late for one very simple reason:
Behold: A Whole Bunch Of “Bull”Sh*t
Now, look. The thing about predicting the future is that you can’t ever really be “wrong”
Chart Check (“There Are Only Two Ways This Corrects Itself”)
There are only two ways that this corrects itself and one of them is bad for your stocks…
A Perma-Bull Turns Bearish: “I’m Worried”
“It seems a weird time to suddenly turn bearish, but I’m overwhelmed by a large sense of concern as I gaze across markets.”
Daily Kickstart (“Bigly”)
Making stocks great again.
Chart Check (How Will Stocks Close On Inauguration Day?)
Dow 20,000 by 4 p.m. EST?
Trump: 3 Scenarios For Markets
Wondering how markets will perform under Trump? Of course you are. Since no one is sure
Where Are Stocks Headed? Let’s Ask The News
Apparently, the number of times the words “bullish” and “bearish” appear in Bloomberg stories is correlated to S&P 500 performance.
Chart Check (The Most Important Chart In The World)
What happens to stocks now?…
Daily Kickstart (King Trump Tanks King Dollar)
It’s “too complicated.” I imagine that probably sums up Donald Trump’s feelings about a lot
2016 Vs. 2017: YTD Returns
Anything would have been better than last year…
Visualizing A “Yield Crisis”
Bonds for the capital gains, stocks for the yield…
How Expensive Is The S&P 500?
The path to $130 is paved with pro forma gold and tax breaks.
Define Irony: Analysts Who Overestimated Stock Returns By 10% See 10% Gain Ahead For Very Same Stocks
As I think I’ve made abundantly clear by now, you should take analysts’ “projections” with a grain
What Worked In 2016
Spoiler alert: everything.
Thursday Chart Check (Gipper Edition)
Is it all down hill from here?
These Are The Two Main “Risk Scenarios” For Markets
There are a lot of things you can say about Heisenberg, but one thing you
Daily Kickstart (Welcome Back Japan Edition)
Markets have been rallying quite strongly on this notion of fiscal hope but, as we
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