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Category: Markets

Losing Our Religion

January 12, 2023February 5, 2023

So far in 2023, US equities are up nearly 4%. At the same time, the

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7 Comments on Losing Our Religion

Done By March?

January 12, 2023February 5, 2023

Barring some unexpected turn, the Fed will almost surely downshift to “regular” rate hike increments

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1 Comment on Done By March?

A ‘Lost Decade’ Brought Forward

January 12, 2023February 5, 2023

Just prior to one of the most challenging years in history for multi-asset investors, Goldman

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Leave a Comment on A ‘Lost Decade’ Brought Forward

Bulls Hard To Spot After Soul-Crushing Year

January 11, 2023February 5, 2023

There’s a lot of skepticism out there about US corporate profits. I realize this is

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1 Comment on Bulls Hard To Spot After Soul-Crushing Year

‘Be Careful What You Wish For,’ Mike Wilson Warns. Again.

January 11, 2023February 5, 2023

“Be careful what you wish for,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson warned, “way” back in August.

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5 Comments on ‘Be Careful What You Wish For,’ Mike Wilson Warns. Again.

McElligott Maps The Macro

January 11, 2023February 5, 2023

Markets are forward looking and the near universal adoption of the The Great One’s famous

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12 Comments on McElligott Maps The Macro

‘A Perfect Storm For Volatility’

January 10, 2023February 6, 2023

“Our track record at understanding inflation is really, really bad.” That rather stark admission, from

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6 Comments on ‘A Perfect Storm For Volatility’

Fear The 4th Quadrant: Kocic Says Markets At Critical Juncture

January 10, 2023February 6, 2023

“The unwind of financial repression is qualitatively different from traditional recoveries,” Deutsche Bank’s Aleksandar Kocic

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9 Comments on Fear The 4th Quadrant: Kocic Says Markets At Critical Juncture

Pozsar Prophecies Panned As ‘Austin Powers’-Style Parody

January 9, 2023January 10, 2023

Rabobank’s Michael Every is having none of it. By “it,” I mean any variation on

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13 Comments on Pozsar Prophecies Panned As ‘Austin Powers’-Style Parody

JPMorgan ‘Skeptical’ Of Rally, Says Soft Landing ‘Unlikely’

January 9, 2023January 10, 2023

“We are skeptical about a durable rally,” JPMorgan analysts led by Marko Kolanovic said Monday.

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5 Comments on JPMorgan ‘Skeptical’ Of Rally, Says Soft Landing ‘Unlikely’

Zoltan Pozsar, Humble Plumber

January 9, 2023January 20, 2023

“After all, I am just a ‘plumber,’ not a geostrategic expert.” So said Zoltan Pozsar,

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3 Comments on Zoltan Pozsar, Humble Plumber

Mike Wilson Worries Bears Aren’t Bearish Enough

January 9, 2023January 10, 2023

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson can scarcely remember a time when he’s had as much interaction

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10 Comments on Mike Wilson Worries Bears Aren’t Bearish Enough

On ‘E’

January 8, 2023February 6, 2023

Most of the focus this week will be on the US CPI report, what it

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3 Comments on On ‘E’

The Fed ‘Will Love Me Even If I Don’t Listen’

January 5, 2023February 6, 2023

“I’ll be over 5% and I see staying there for some time,” Esther George told

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3 Comments on The Fed ‘Will Love Me Even If I Don’t Listen’

Bring Back Bezos

January 5, 2023February 6, 2023

In late April of last year, while unveiling Q1 results, Amazon foreshadowed an overcapacity problem

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23 Comments on Bring Back Bezos

Fed Offers Rare Rebuke Of Market Rally In Meeting Minutes

January 4, 2023February 6, 2023

Those of you old enough to remember three weeks ago will recall that Jerome Powell

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5 Comments on Fed Offers Rare Rebuke Of Market Rally In Meeting Minutes

Yield Curve Godfather Says This Time May Be Different

January 4, 2023January 5, 2023

“Ask the yield curve” is a common reply when it comes to questions about whether

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7 Comments on Yield Curve Godfather Says This Time May Be Different

Knock On Wood

January 3, 2023February 6, 2023

The earliest price action of 2023 in US equities found two growth heavyweights under pressure,

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8 Comments on Knock On Wood

The Growth Stock Bubble Finally Burst

January 3, 2023January 4, 2023

It’s no secret that 2022 was a veritable disaster for growth stocks. Scores of investors

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2 Comments on The Growth Stock Bubble Finally Burst

2023 Orientation Day

January 3, 2023February 6, 2023

The first work day of the new year began with a deluge of notes and

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1 Comment on 2023 Orientation Day

Burning Questions

January 3, 2023February 6, 2023

Nothing says “pile into stocks” like piles of corpses. Don’t blame me for the macabre

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13 Comments on Burning Questions

Lost Down There

January 2, 2023January 9, 2023

I’m supposed to care about Tesla deliveries, and you are too. There was a time

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15 Comments on Lost Down There

No, Michael Burry Didn’t Say The US Is In A Recession

January 2, 2023January 3, 2023

Michael Burry kicked off the new year with a prediction. “Inflation peaked. But it is

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13 Comments on No, Michael Burry Didn’t Say The US Is In A Recession

Local Genius Loses $140 Billion In ‘Stock Market Craziness’

December 29, 2022December 31, 2022

It’s been a tumultuous and, I imagine, frustrating, year for Tesla shareholders. Getting into Tesla

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1 Comment on Local Genius Loses $140 Billion In ‘Stock Market Craziness’

Good Copy, Bad Copy

December 29, 2022December 31, 2022

Copy for the sake of it. I’m not a fan. Noteworthy market news was sparse

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3 Comments on Good Copy, Bad Copy

Click Monsters

December 28, 2022January 3, 2023

“It was a click monster.” I cringed, but she couldn’t see me since we communicated

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8 Comments on Click Monsters

Disconcerting Déjà Vu

December 28, 2022December 29, 2022

China’s grand reopening after three years of government-imposed isolation was supposed to save the global

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2 Comments on Disconcerting Déjà Vu

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