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Category: Markets

Press Pause

December 7, 2022December 8, 2022

Rate hikes from developed market central banks continued on Wednesday. Admittedly, we might’ve passed the

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Goodbye ‘COVID Zero’

December 7, 2022December 13, 2022

China eased COVID restrictions on Wednesday. Again. Amid a rapid rollback of testing requirements across

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1 Comment on Goodbye ‘COVID Zero’

Smoke Signals And Fantasy Worlds

December 6, 2022December 7, 2022

The Fed is planning to hike rates beyond 5% in 2023 and company analysts are

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7 Comments on Smoke Signals And Fantasy Worlds

This Ain’t Over: Macro Discomfort Returns For The Holidays

December 6, 2022December 7, 2022

Muted markets and subdued sentiment looked more like visible discomfort by noon on Wall Street

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2 Comments on This Ain’t Over: Macro Discomfort Returns For The Holidays

Dimon On Crypto, Hurricanes And Cups ‘Runneth Over’

December 6, 2022December 13, 2022

Jamie Dimon has a lot on his mind. And Dimon’s mind isn’t something he’s shy

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Put ‘$5 Trillion’ In The Headline

December 6, 2022December 7, 2022

The holiday slowdown beckons. If you know what to look for, you can see it

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COVID Easing Versus Policy Tightening

December 6, 2022December 6, 2022

Markets were muted and sentiment subdued Tuesday, as news of incremental easing in China’s COVID

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4 Comments on COVID Easing Versus Policy Tightening

Reversal Shocks

December 5, 2022December 6, 2022

Notwithstanding a Monday bounce triggered at least in part by a robust ISM services print

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2 Comments on Reversal Shocks

The Terrifying Case Of $65 Trillion In ‘Missing US Dollar Debt’

December 5, 2022December 20, 2022

“Off-balance sheet dollar debt may remain out of sight and out of mind, but only

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8 Comments on The Terrifying Case Of $65 Trillion In ‘Missing US Dollar Debt’

Grand Reopening?

December 5, 2022December 6, 2022

“COVID zero” in China is over. Not officially, and maybe not for good. But de

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3 Comments on Grand Reopening?

The Fed Keeps Proving Critics Right

December 4, 2022December 5, 2022

I try to give technocratic policymakers the benefit of the doubt. I really do. For

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It’s The Quiet Weeks That Get You

December 4, 2022December 9, 2022

The data docket is a bit sparse in the US this week, and Fed officials

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2 Comments on It’s The Quiet Weeks That Get You

‘The Buy Signal Is Close To An End’

December 3, 2022December 4, 2022

Is the rebound in risk assets sustainable? That question burns after the Dow rallied into

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4 Comments on ‘The Buy Signal Is Close To An End’

Recent Market Moves ‘Could Be Self-Defeating,’ Goldman Says

December 3, 2022December 4, 2022

The rebound on Wall Street dodged a bullet Friday, when stocks managed to avoid losses

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3 Comments on Recent Market Moves ‘Could Be Self-Defeating,’ Goldman Says

What One Popular Strategist Sees For 2023

December 2, 2022December 4, 2022

I’ve said it before, and there’s no telling how many more times I’ll say it

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1 Comment on What One Popular Strategist Sees For 2023

This May Be Fed’s ‘Final Phase Shift’

December 1, 2022December 3, 2022

On Thursday, in “Powell Didn’t Try To Kill The Rally. And That’s Notable,” I contextualized

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8 Comments on This May Be Fed’s ‘Final Phase Shift’

Powell Didn’t Try To Kill The Rally. And That’s Notable

December 1, 2022December 3, 2022

There wasn’t much America’s beleaguered technocrat in chief could’ve said differently this week to short

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1 Comment on Powell Didn’t Try To Kill The Rally. And That’s Notable

He Hates These Jobs!

November 27, 2022November 28, 2022

[Editor’s note: For my younger readers, the title of this article is a classic American

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9 Comments on He Hates These Jobs!

Mourning Lost Mayhem

November 26, 2022November 28, 2022

I assumed (wrongly, perhaps) that in the era of “everything analytics” brought to you by

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6 Comments on Mourning Lost Mayhem

Grey Skies

November 25, 2022November 27, 2022

“It’s not so much a Black Friday as a grey one,” SocGen’s Kit Juckes wrote,

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4 Comments on Grey Skies

(Mis)informed By ‘Corporate Views’

November 25, 2022November 26, 2022

“Way” back in August, following a better-than-feared Q2 reporting season for corporate America, it was

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1 Comment on (Mis)informed By ‘Corporate Views’

China In Dire Straits

November 25, 2022December 2, 2022

Just two days after China’s cabinet tipped the “timely and appropriate” use of monetary stimulus

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5 Comments on China In Dire Straits

No Profit Pollyannas Allowed

November 24, 2022November 26, 2022

At this point, I’m not sure anyone is as optimistic about the outlook for US

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6 Comments on No Profit Pollyannas Allowed

Gamma Flip Suggests Stock Serenity. For Now

November 24, 2022November 25, 2022

Things have calmed down. For now. In a year defined by uncertainty and cross-asset turmoil,

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3 Comments on Gamma Flip Suggests Stock Serenity. For Now

Bankman-Fried: FTX Collapse Is ‘Sh—y Thing’ That ‘Sucks’

November 23, 2022November 25, 2022

Below, find the letter Sam Bankman-Fried sent to FTX employees this week. Typically, I’d indulge

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4 Comments on Bankman-Fried: FTX Collapse Is ‘Sh—y Thing’ That ‘Sucks’

Lags And Stepdowns

November 23, 2022November 25, 2022

The word “lags” came up nine times in the November FOMC minutes, released into a

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2 Comments on Lags And Stepdowns

Half Empty

November 23, 2022November 23, 2022

Wednesday brought more disquieting economic data and more rate hikes, underscoring the tenuous nature of

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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