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Category: Markets

Only The Dead Have Seen The End Of (Trade) War

May 13, 2019May 13, 2019

“…will only get worse.”

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2 Comments on Only The Dead Have Seen The End Of (Trade) War

Markets Warily Weigh Aggressive Trade Banter As New Week Dawns

May 12, 2019November 6, 2021

“We are right where we want to be.”

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1 Comment on Markets Warily Weigh Aggressive Trade Banter As New Week Dawns

‘Big League’ Drama: Full Week Ahead Preview

May 12, 2019May 13, 2019

Barring something (else) out of left field, the week ahead will be dominated by trade jitters.

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1 Comment on ‘Big League’ Drama: Full Week Ahead Preview

‘This Trade War Has Been Personalized’: One Bank Frets Over ‘Totally Unexpected’ Escalations

May 12, 2019

“We must approach our analysis with humility”.

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4 Comments on ‘This Trade War Has Been Personalized’: One Bank Frets Over ‘Totally Unexpected’ Escalations

Here Are The Macro And Market Implications Of Three Main Trade War Scenarios

May 12, 2019May 12, 2019

“Risk of global recession”.

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8 Comments on Here Are The Macro And Market Implications Of Three Main Trade War Scenarios

As Trump Threatens China Again, Here’s What Happens To Inflation In A Worst-Case Tariff Scenario

May 11, 2019May 12, 2019

“…the deal will become far worse for them.”

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8 Comments on As Trump Threatens China Again, Here’s What Happens To Inflation In A Worst-Case Tariff Scenario

What’s Next In The US-China Trade Standoff?

May 11, 2019May 11, 2019

“It’s very simple!”

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13 Comments on What’s Next In The US-China Trade Standoff?

Goldman: ‘There Is Limited Combined Firepower To Buy Stocks’

May 11, 2019

On the bright side, there’s always buybacks.

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3 Comments on Goldman: ‘There Is Limited Combined Firepower To Buy Stocks’

Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Recaps Critical Market Dynamics, Macro Themes In Sweeping New Interview

May 10, 2019May 10, 2019

Around the world and back again.

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2 Comments on Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Recaps Critical Market Dynamics, Macro Themes In Sweeping New Interview

The Macro Tourist Talks Vancouver, Casinos And Grandma

May 10, 2019May 10, 2019

“Sure. Be my guest. But I warn you, it hasn’t been nice.”

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Here Are The 4 Drivers Of The ‘Local Vol. Ceiling’

May 10, 2019

Fleeting stabilization?

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1 Comment on Here Are The 4 Drivers Of The ‘Local Vol. Ceiling’

Crazy Like A Fox?

May 10, 2019May 10, 2019

A fine line…

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3 Comments on Crazy Like A Fox?

Desperate Times…

May 10, 2019May 10, 2019

… call for desperate measures.

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2 Comments on Desperate Times…

Is Negative Convexity Risk ‘Flashing Red’?

May 9, 2019May 9, 2019

Spoiler alert: “Not yet”.

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4 Comments on Is Negative Convexity Risk ‘Flashing Red’?

With Stocks In Free Fall, Turkey’s Monetary Policy Descends Into Farce

May 9, 2019November 6, 2021

Soft, rubber mallets.

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Tensions on The Front Burner – Full-Flame

May 9, 2019May 9, 2019

At least Bitcoin is doing well.

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Broken Deals And Shattered Rally Dreams

May 9, 2019May 9, 2019

There’s an “art” to this.

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4 Comments on Broken Deals And Shattered Rally Dreams

This Looks Like Another Record Year For Bond Defaults In China…

May 8, 2019

No time for complacency.

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Trading Trade And A ‘Spiral Away From Equilibrium’

May 8, 2019

“What if markets do not understand how policymakers will respond?”

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1 Comment on Trading Trade And A ‘Spiral Away From Equilibrium’

Nomura’s McElligott On VVIX, More Mechanical De-Risking And ‘Pure Minsky’

May 8, 2019May 8, 2019

“If you’re short vol, you make money…but eventually die.  But if you’re long vol, you die before you make money.”

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More Questions Than Answers In Latest Chinese Trade Data

May 8, 2019

If you’re looking for clarity on China’s economy from the April trade data, you can look elsewhere. 

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‘The Real Surprise Is That It Took Trump Until Sunday To Blow Up’: Trade Outlook Sours Further As Details Of Rift Emerge

May 8, 2019May 8, 2019

Slowly but surely, a more complete picture is emerging of what went wrong between the US and China.

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4 Comments on ‘The Real Surprise Is That It Took Trump Until Sunday To Blow Up’: Trade Outlook Sours Further As Details Of Rift Emerge

‘You’ve Reached Jay Powell, I’m Unavailable Right Now, Please Leave A Message’…

May 7, 2019

…straight to voicemail.

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Nomura’s McElligott ‘Rubbernecks’ Tuesday’s Crash, Says ‘Flow Risk’ Is Materializing

May 7, 2019May 7, 2019

“It currently looks as if as we are seeing this supply ‘tip’ into realization”.

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott ‘Rubbernecks’ Tuesday’s Crash, Says ‘Flow Risk’ Is Materializing

Jeff Gundlach Delivers Surprisingly Cogent CNBC Interview, Calls Out Fed, Trump Administration

May 7, 2019May 7, 2019

“We’re numb to that because of social media.”

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3 Comments on Jeff Gundlach Delivers Surprisingly Cogent CNBC Interview, Calls Out Fed, Trump Administration

‘Shut Up And Get To Work’: The World Is Underestimating Matteo Salvini

May 7, 2019November 6, 2021

“That’s the final warning.”

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Vice Chair Clarida Isn’t Sure You’re Getting The Message

May 7, 2019May 7, 2019

Any perceived recalcitrance will be met with jeers.

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