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Category: Markets

‘Goldilocks’ Has Left The Building – Again

August 13, 2019

Bad news is just bad. And cross-asset returns since the latest tariff escalation reflect as much.

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4 Comments on ‘Goldilocks’ Has Left The Building – Again

Hong Kong Goes From Bad To Worse As Property Shares Dive Into Bear Market Amid Airport Upheaval

August 13, 2019August 13, 2019

It is just a matter of time.

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2 Comments on Hong Kong Goes From Bad To Worse As Property Shares Dive Into Bear Market Amid Airport Upheaval

A Tale Of Two Century Bonds

August 12, 2019August 13, 2019

What a time to be alive.

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2 Comments on A Tale Of Two Century Bonds

Monday, Bloody Monday On Wall Street Amid Argentina Crisis, Relentless Safe-Haven Bid

August 12, 2019August 12, 2019

Risk-off from start to finish.

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4 Comments on Monday, Bloody Monday On Wall Street Amid Argentina Crisis, Relentless Safe-Haven Bid

2 Simple Reasons Why US Assets Are Now More Vulnerable To Volatility In China’s Currency

August 12, 2019August 12, 2019

This was always the risk.

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In Argentina: Total Meltdown

August 12, 2019August 12, 2019

“All the pollsters have failed”.

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1 Comment on In Argentina: Total Meltdown

With Risk Assets On Razor Edge, One Strategist Sees Potential Near-Term Catalyst

August 12, 2019

‘Bleeds’ and ‘sling-shots’.

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Hong Kong Turmoil Hits Fragile Sentiment As Flights Canceled, China Cites ‘Terrorism’

August 12, 2019September 4, 2019

“[Protesters] exhibited sings of terrorism”.

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3 Comments on Hong Kong Turmoil Hits Fragile Sentiment As Flights Canceled, China Cites ‘Terrorism’

China’s Credit Growth Comes Up Woefully Short, Raising Concerns At Critical Juncture

August 12, 2019August 12, 2019

All in all, this isn’t great news.

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Goldman No Longer Sees Trade Deal Before 2020 Election, But It’s Not All Bad News

August 11, 2019August 12, 2019

It’s a “fool me once” type of thing.

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4 Comments on Goldman No Longer Sees Trade Deal Before 2020 Election, But It’s Not All Bad News

4 Reasons Why One Bank Thinks A ‘Quick, Major Comeback’ For Stocks Is Unlikely

August 11, 2019August 11, 2019

Maybe later, but not now.

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1 Comment on 4 Reasons Why One Bank Thinks A ‘Quick, Major Comeback’ For Stocks Is Unlikely

Tail Risks, FX Vol. And Tangled Christmas Lights

August 11, 2019August 11, 2019

But here’s the paradox…

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2 Comments on Tail Risks, FX Vol. And Tangled Christmas Lights

Black Swans Crash Summer Dog Days For War-Weary Markets

August 11, 2019August 11, 2019

Or, at least, gray rhinos.

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If Central Banks Fail, Here’s What One Bank’s Clients Will Be Buying

August 10, 2019August 11, 2019

What do you buy if “quantitative failure” comes calling?

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11 Comments on If Central Banks Fail, Here’s What One Bank’s Clients Will Be Buying

The Simple Reason Why The S&P Is Just 3.5% From Record Highs (And Why Gold Is Surging)

August 10, 2019August 10, 2019

Despite the unwelcome turmoil and surging safe havens, stocks are resilient.

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13 Comments on The Simple Reason Why The S&P Is Just 3.513 From Record Highs (And Why Gold Is Surging)

Former Chinese Central Bankers Say Currency War Risks Rising, Official Warns Of ‘More Measures’

August 10, 2019August 10, 2019

Meanwhile, the People’s Daily is on offense.

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August Market Turmoil Proves ‘Bad News Is Good News’ Trading Philosophy Has Limits

August 9, 2019August 10, 2019

Perverse dynamics only persist until their inherent contradiction is exposed.

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3 Comments on August Market Turmoil Proves ‘Bad News Is Good News’ Trading Philosophy Has Limits

Meanwhile, In Turkey, Erdogan Purges Central Bank, Gets $1 Billion High Five From China

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

“Really disappointing”.

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3 Comments on Meanwhile, In Turkey, Erdogan Purges Central Bank, Gets $1 Billion High Five From China

Bond Infatuation Nears Record Extreme As Duration Obsession Hits Escape Velocity

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

For now, anyway, the exit from this self-fulfilling prophecy appears to be blocked.

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1 Comment on Bond Infatuation Nears Record Extreme As Duration Obsession Hits Escape Velocity

Trump Shakes Up Markets With Dizzying String Of China, Huawei, Fed, Dollar Comments

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

“If we don’t that’s fine, if we do that’s fine”.

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5 Comments on Trump Shakes Up Markets With Dizzying String Of China, Huawei, Fed, Dollar Comments

In Junk Bonds: Exodus

August 9, 2019November 18, 2021

So, is there any good news here?

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Italian Bonds Plunge As World Prepares For Effective One-Man Rule In Matteo Salvini’s Italy

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

It’s a wrap. Italy now belongs to one man.

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As UK Economy Posts Shocking Contraction, One Bank Raises Odds Of No-Deal Brexit To 50%

August 9, 2019August 9, 2019

The UK is now one more bad quarterly GDP print away from a technical recession. 

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2 Comments on As UK Economy Posts Shocking Contraction, One Bank Raises Odds Of No-Deal Brexit To 502

Bernanke Deputy Kohn: Political Pressure Is Nothing New, But Trump’s Recent Actions Unique In History

August 8, 2019November 18, 2021

“I am somewhat worried that constant criticism could over time undermine public support for Fed independence”.

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S&P’s Bloody Week Turns Green, Goldman Cools On Bond Rally And Hope Floats For Stable Yuan

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

Fingers crossed. “Thoughts and prayers”.

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2 Comments on S&P’s Bloody Week Turns Green, Goldman Cools On Bond Rally And Hope Floats For Stable Yuan

Elections Are Coming: Salvini Pulls Plug On Italian Government At Long Last

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

It was a long time coming.

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Carl Icahn Suggests Trump Is Wrong On Fed, Says ‘Just Cutting Rates Isn’t The Answer’

August 8, 2019August 8, 2019

“If it were that easy, you’d never have these cycles”.

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