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Category: Markets

Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On Trade Olive Branch, Outlook For September

August 29, 2019August 29, 2019

“I believe risk trades higher into the ‘Gamma’ events mid-month”, but…

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Don’t Look Now, But China’s Yuan Just Dodged Its Longest Losing Streak On Record

August 29, 2019November 18, 2021

A stick save, as it were.

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China Extends Olive Branch To Trump, Markets With Thursday Trade Comments

August 29, 2019August 29, 2019

Escalation benefits nobody.

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Mnuchin Says US Won’t Intervene To Weaken Dollar – For Now

August 28, 2019August 28, 2019

Not today, but who knows, right?

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Prospect Of Functioning Government Now Good Enough For Desperate Yield-Seekers, Italy Proves

August 28, 2019August 28, 2019

“Sooner or later, the judgement of the people will be heard”.

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Nomura’s McElligott: CTA Model Triggers ‘Short Spooz Again’ As We Enter ‘Chop Zone’

August 28, 2019August 28, 2019

But the good news is…

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott: CTA Model Triggers ‘Short Spooz Again’ As We Enter ‘Chop Zone’

The 2s10s Is ‘Crazy Inverted’ Again, But This Is The Slope That Matters Most…

August 27, 2019August 27, 2019

“It dominates all other curves we checked in its power to predict”.

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Goldman Raises Estimate Of Growth Hit From Tariffs, Says Trump Could Theoretically Leverage IEEPA

August 27, 2019

“Presumably”.

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Bill Dudley Has Some Advice For The Fed: Tell President Trump He’s On His Own

August 27, 2019August 27, 2019

“Central bank officials face a choice”.

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Have The Anticipated Rebalancing Flows Kicked In? Nomura’s McElligott Says Maybe

August 27, 2019August 27, 2019

The performance gap for August ranks in the 7th %ile since 1982.

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-4% Rates By 2030? Only One Thing Can Save Us From Being Snowbound In Albert Edwards’s ‘Ice Age’ Thesis

August 26, 2019August 27, 2019

Maybe he’ll teach us how to ice fish.

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6 Comments on -46 Rates By 2030? Only One Thing Can Save Us From Being Snowbound In Albert Edwards’s ‘Ice Age’ Thesis

The History Of Trump’s Stock Market Will Show ‘A Major Inflection Point’ On This Date…

August 26, 2019August 26, 2019

History will likely do as Trump asks and “judge” his market record “from the day after the election”. The bad news is…

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Trump’s Message To War-Weary Markets: ‘Sorry, It’s The Way I Negotiate’

August 26, 2019

“It’s done well for me over the years”.

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CNBC’s Jim Cramer: ‘It Really Doesn’t Matter’ If The President Lies To Investors

August 26, 2019August 26, 2019

“I’m not willing to say that he’s lying”.

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BofA’s Blanch: ‘Traditional Models May Soon Be Obsolete And The World Unforecastable’

August 26, 2019August 26, 2019

A stark assessment, to be sure.

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4 Comments on BofA’s Blanch: ‘Traditional Models May Soon Be Obsolete And The World Unforecastable’

Hong Kong, Mainland Shares Under Siege Amid Violence, Yuan Drop

August 26, 2019

No respite.

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Trump Says ‘China Called Last Night’. China Says ‘Hasn’t Heard Of Such A Thing’

August 26, 2019August 26, 2019

“I can tell you clearly that I haven’t heard of such a thing”.

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11 Comments on Trump Says ‘China Called Last Night’. China Says ‘Hasn’t Heard Of Such A Thing’

As Gloves Come Off In Trade War, Markets Worry All The Adults Have Left The Room

August 25, 2019August 26, 2019

What’s not to like?

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Mnuchin, Kudlow Tell Cable News Trump Has Authority To Order American Companies To Leave China

August 25, 2019August 25, 2019

“What can’t you order if you use the word ’emergency'”?

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Flash Crash Hits Turkish Lira As Yen Surge Bedevils Markets Yet Again

August 25, 2019August 25, 2019

Mrs. Watanabe.

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Offshore Yuan Dives To Record, Dollar-Yen Breaches Flash Crash Lows Amid Trade Woes

August 25, 2019August 25, 2019

It starts in FX land.

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Trade ‘Déjà Vu’ May Send 10-Year US Yields To All-Time Lows, Goldman Says

August 25, 2019August 25, 2019

The bond rally may have new life.

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Mideast Stocks Plunge As Trade Woes, Regional Conflict Bite

August 25, 2019August 25, 2019

Let’s hope this isn’t a preview of what to expect on Monday.

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Trump Has ‘Second Thoughts’ About Latest Trade Escalations – Or Not

August 25, 2019August 25, 2019

“Might as well”.

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In Twilight Zone Markets, Bonds Are Stocks And Liabilities Are Assets

August 24, 2019November 19, 2020

“This has been no ordinary episode of reaching for yield by investors”, BofA’s Barnaby Martin

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Fed Cutting Rates To Zero ‘Eminently Plausible’ After Friday’s Events, One Bank Says

August 24, 2019

If Powell’s speech rationalized a path to the lower bound, the tariff escalations “provided a shove in that direction”.

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6 Comments on Fed Cutting Rates To Zero ‘Eminently Plausible’ After Friday’s Events, One Bank Says

On Wall Street, A Summer Meltdown

August 23, 2019August 23, 2019

… stunned traders, disillusioned investors and indifferent algos looked haplessly to one another for answers. 

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