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Category: Markets

Argentina Has A Century Bond, Why Not Us?, Is What Treasury Wants To Know

August 16, 2019August 16, 2019

Then again, it’s going great for Austria.

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1 Comment on Argentina Has A Century Bond, Why Not Us?, Is What Treasury Wants To Know

‘We Have Not Been Bullish Enough’: Misery, Redux

August 16, 2019August 16, 2019

“We have been consistently surprised negatively”.

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6 Comments on ‘We Have Not Been Bullish Enough’: Misery, Redux

Trump Held Panicked Conference Call With Jamie Dimon, Others During 800-Point Dow Plunge

August 16, 2019August 16, 2019

Who’s the “nervous mess” now?

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12 Comments on Trump Held Panicked Conference Call With Jamie Dimon, Others During 800-Point Dow Plunge

Hope Floats As Germany Seen Abandoning ‘Black Zero’ Fiscal Straightjacket In Recession

August 16, 2019August 16, 2019

Fingers crossed!

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2 Comments on Hope Floats As Germany Seen Abandoning ‘Black Zero’ Fiscal Straightjacket In Recession

China Moves Ahead With Key Interest Rate Reform In Push To Lower Borrowing Costs

August 16, 2019

One small step for the PBoC, one giant leap for everyone else’s sanity. 

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Trade War Puts Deere In Headlights

August 16, 2019

“Our results reflected the high degree of uncertainty”.

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1 Comment on Trade War Puts Deere In Headlights

Now Is Not The Time To Lean Into The Illiquidity Premium In Credit, One Bank Warns

August 16, 2019

There’s always ETFs, though, right?

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3 Comments on Now Is Not The Time To Lean Into The Illiquidity Premium In Credit, One Bank Warns

New Zealand’s 10-Year Yield Dives Below 1% For First Time As Manufacturing Gauge Sinks Into Contraction

August 15, 2019August 15, 2019

Don’t look now, but…

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‘Uh, I Don’t Think So’: Bullard Fails Fed Chair Audition, Tells Fox Fed Won’t Convene ‘Emergency Session’

August 15, 2019August 15, 2019

“A couple of weeks one way or another probably doesn’t matter”.

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2 Comments on ‘Uh, I Don’t Think So’: Bullard Fails Fed Chair Audition, Tells Fox Fed Won’t Convene ‘Emergency Session’

As 10-Year US Yield Dives Below 1.50%, One Measure Shows Investors Most Worried In 30 Years

August 15, 2019August 15, 2019

Don’t panic.

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1 Comment on As 10-Year US Yield Dives Below 1.50%, One Measure Shows Investors Most Worried In 30 Years

‘It Is What It Is’: Senior Officials Tell CNBC Trump, Navarro Only Ones Blaming Fed For Volatility

August 15, 2019

“The president is not expected to relent”, Tausche dryly notes.

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4 Comments on ‘It Is What It Is’: Senior Officials Tell CNBC Trump, Navarro Only Ones Blaming Fed For Volatility

Unstoppable Bond Rally Powers Forward As Yields Hit New Lows In US, Germany

August 15, 2019

The “policy impotence” trade is here.

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1 Comment on Unstoppable Bond Rally Powers Forward As Yields Hit New Lows In US, Germany

Conflicting China Trade Comments Whipsaw Nervous Markets

August 15, 2019August 15, 2019

“The US side’s move seriously violated the consensus between the heads of state”.

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3 Comments on Conflicting China Trade Comments Whipsaw Nervous Markets

No More Saving For A Rainy Day, China ‘Has To Resume Headline Easing Soon’, SocGen Warns

August 14, 2019August 15, 2019

“Targeted measures are clearly insufficient to stabilize even credit growth, never mind the real economy”.

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4 Comments on No More Saving For A Rainy Day, China ‘Has To Resume Headline Easing Soon’, SocGen Warns

#TrumpRecession, CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE!

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

“We will Win”!

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12 Comments on #TrumpRecession, CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE!

‘Next To Nothing’: China Launches ‘Unprecedented’ Crack-Down On Gold Imports

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

“…an easy way to curtail outflows”.

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1 Comment on ‘Next To Nothing’: China Launches ‘Unprecedented’ Crack-Down On Gold Imports

Limit-Up! Long Bond Futures Tripped Circuit Breaker During ‘Crazy’ Wednesday Rally

August 14, 2019

The fun never stops.

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3 Comments on Limit-Up! Long Bond Futures Tripped Circuit Breaker During ‘Crazy’ Wednesday Rally

‘3D Chess’ Tariff Strategy Looks Suspiciously Like Chaos To Stocks, Bonds, Fed

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

Investors and policymakers are increasingly wary of the White House’s “crazy like a fox” tariff tactics.

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8 Comments on ‘3D Chess’ Tariff Strategy Looks Suspiciously Like Chaos To Stocks, Bonds, Fed

After Wednesday’s Doomsday Inversions, What’s Next For The Yield Curve?

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

Crystal ball gazing via a trio of possible scenarios.

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US, UK Curves Invert, 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Record Low Amid Growth Panic

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

The bad vibes are proliferating.

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1 Comment on US, UK Curves Invert, 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Record Low Amid Growth Panic

‘Sick Man’ Germany Stumbles To Second Contraction In Four Quarters – Recession Looms

August 14, 2019August 14, 2019

“The impact of weaker growth on the labor market is becoming more visible”.

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1 Comment on ‘Sick Man’ Germany Stumbles To Second Contraction In Four Quarters – Recession Looms

China Data Deluge Misses Badly As Industrial Output Crashes To Lowest Since 2002

August 13, 2019August 14, 2019

Misses pretty much across the board.

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2 Comments on China Data Deluge Misses Badly As Industrial Output Crashes To Lowest Since 2002

Closely-Watched Fund Manager Survey Is All Bonds, Tariffs And Recession Risk In August

August 13, 2019

“[The] onus is on the Fed, ECB and PBoC to restore animal spirits”.

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As Manic Market Moves Metastasize, Mind The Liquidity Drought

August 13, 2019August 14, 2019

A recipe for “fun”. 

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Jay ‘Behind-The-Curve’ Powell, And Why The Fed May Have To Start ‘Outright QE’

August 13, 2019August 13, 2019

For the embattled Fed chair, no rest for the weary.

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2 Comments on Jay ‘Behind-The-Curve’ Powell, And Why The Fed May Have To Start ‘Outright QE’

Nomura’s McElligott Explains What Tariff News ‘Very Clearly’ Means For US Stocks

August 13, 2019August 13, 2019

“…this re-pricing lower in the VIX complex should drive powerful second-order impacts”.

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6 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Explains What Tariff News ‘Very Clearly’ Means For US Stocks

US, China Engineer Massive Yuan Rally, Stock Surge, But Fed Outlook Still Cloudy

August 13, 2019August 13, 2019

The cross-asset reaction to the latest tariff news was quite dramatic.

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7 Comments on US, China Engineer Massive Yuan Rally, Stock Surge, But Fed Outlook Still Cloudy

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