Still, everything should be fine as long as nobody yells “fire!”. Or “recession”.
Category: Markets
No-Deal Brexit Becomes Base Case For One Bank, Prompting Change To Fed Cut Call
We’re gonna need more “insurance”.
As Fed’s Daly Frets Over ‘Self-Fulfilling Prophecy’, Goldman Warns Fed Is Caught In ‘Hall Of Mirrors’
When expectations become circular, the waters become muddy.
And There It Is: Mick Mulvaney Said To Warn GOP Donors Of Possible US Recession
Dream, meet reality.
As US Stocks Snap Win Streak, Hope And Caution Duel In Summer Heat
Peering through the haze towards Jackson Hole.
Robert Shiller Says Fed Cuts Send The Wrong Message
“The important thing is the narrative they’re beginning”.
The Truth Behind Plunging Bond Yields: Largest Convexity Hedging Flow Since 2008 And Retreating HFTs
Self-feeding loops and modern market microstructure as gasoline on the fire.
Marko Kolanovic: ‘More Than Half’ Of Recent Stock, Bond Moves Technically-Driven
“The market will likely continue to be dominated by disruptive tweets”.
China Releases First Revamped Loan Prime Rate, Ushering In New Interest Rate Regime
Welcome to a new era.
Stocks Rise In New Week, But Surging Dollar Could Become Problematic
The combination of relatively tight Fed policy and a resilient dollar acts as a boa constrictor.
Boston Fed Chief Eric Rosengren Is A Man Suffering From A ‘Horrendous Lack Of Vision’
Eric doesn’t see the light.
It’s Going To ‘Feel Like A Recession’: One Bank Thinks The Die May Be Cast
“Those returning from summer holidays have had a bit of a shock”.
Nomura’s McElligott Sees Local ‘Vol-Killers’, Tailwinds For Near-Term ‘Crash-Up’
“Here we are now, with all of this ‘crash’ now increasingly likely to ‘bleed out'”.
German Stimulus Rumor Mill Kicks Into High Gear With Recession ‘Contingency Plan’ Report
If you ask nicely, Germany might be willing to spend a few billion.
As Ray Dalio Puts Recession Odds At 40%, Here’s A Chart Trio And A Message From Kudlow
Don’t be afraid to be happy.
‘There’s A Problem Here That Smacks Of Inevitability’: Recession Or No, The Fed Has To Cut Rates Aggressively
If you’re looking for reasons why the market is pricing a full-on easing cycle from the Fed, try this lens.
‘Another Double-Digit S&P Decline Could Be Disqualifying’: Trump As Convexity Consumer
“The only way an overinsured individual can monetize is by creating an ‘accident'”.
Stocks And Bonds Diverged In A Yellow Wood, And Sorry I Could Not Travel Both
Is past performance indicative of future results?
Argentina Has A Century Bond, Why Not Us?, Is What Treasury Wants To Know
Then again, it’s going great for Austria.
‘We Have Not Been Bullish Enough’: Misery, Redux
“We have been consistently surprised negatively”.
Trump Held Panicked Conference Call With Jamie Dimon, Others During 800-Point Dow Plunge
Who’s the “nervous mess” now?
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