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Category: Markets

Argentina Imposes Currency Controls As End Game Beckons

September 1, 2019September 1, 2019

And the crisis worsens.

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3 Comments on Argentina Imposes Currency Controls As End Game Beckons

One Bank’s Clients Complain ‘The Sheer Volume’ Of Tweets Makes It Impossible To Hold Positions

September 1, 2019

In other words, forecasting the next turn is impossible.

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2 Comments on One Bank’s Clients Complain ‘The Sheer Volume’ Of Tweets Makes It Impossible To Hold Positions

Nobody Knows What’s Next As Trump’s ‘Crazy Like A Fox’ Strategy Keeps Markets Guessing

August 31, 2019September 1, 2019

…but it’s still madness.

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3 Comments on Nobody Knows What’s Next As Trump’s ‘Crazy Like A Fox’ Strategy Keeps Markets Guessing

Markets Just Witnessed The Best Month For US Government Bond Returns Since 2008 – What Now?

August 31, 2019

Congrats are in order for anyone who bet on a continuation of this year’s rally.

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1 Comment on Markets Just Witnessed The Best Month For US Government Bond Returns Since 2008 – What Now?

Trump Says September China Talks Still On, But Tariffs To Go Ahead On Sunday

August 30, 2019August 31, 2019

He also said that when it comes to Mar-a-Lago and the hurricane, Mar-a-Lago is on its own.

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3 Comments on Trump Says September China Talks Still On, But Tariffs To Go Ahead On Sunday

What’s Behind Friday’s ‘Crazy’ Euro Collapse

August 30, 2019August 30, 2019

Lots of things, probably.

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Why Nomura’s McElligott Thinks 3,050 On The S&P Is ‘In Play’ Through Mid-September

August 30, 2019November 21, 2021

“Gamma gravity” time.

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2 Comments on Why Nomura’s McElligott Thinks 3,050 On The S&P Is ‘In Play’ Through Mid-September

Central Banks Need To ‘Disappoint Markets’: On Way Out Door, Nowotny Says ECB Won’t Buy Stocks

August 30, 2019August 30, 2019

“I am of the opinion that central banks should be the decisive institution”.

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1 Comment on Central Banks Need To ‘Disappoint Markets’: On Way Out Door, Nowotny Says ECB Won’t Buy Stocks

For War-Weary Markets, China’s Daily Press Briefings Matter More Than ECB Hawks

August 30, 2019August 30, 2019

“Effective communications” – from China’s Foreign Ministry and from the ECB’s Sabine Lautenschlaege.

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How Christine Lagarde Will Run The ECB, In Her Own Words

August 29, 2019August 29, 2019

“Policy normalization is premature”.

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1 Comment on How Christine Lagarde Will Run The ECB, In Her Own Words

It’s Those Darn Hawks Again – Klaas Knot Makes An Unwelcome Cameo

August 29, 2019

Keeping the (non-existent) powder dry.

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Ray Dalio’s Flagship Fund Wrong-Footed By Rates Bets, Falls 6%: Report

August 29, 2019August 29, 2019

According to a source, Pure Alpha isn’t the only Bridgewater fund that’s struggling.

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9 Comments on Ray Dalio’s Flagship Fund Wrong-Footed By Rates Bets, Falls 69: Report

Nomura’s McElligott Weighs In On Trade Olive Branch, Outlook For September

August 29, 2019August 29, 2019

“I believe risk trades higher into the ‘Gamma’ events mid-month”, but…

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Don’t Look Now, But China’s Yuan Just Dodged Its Longest Losing Streak On Record

August 29, 2019November 18, 2021

A stick save, as it were.

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China Extends Olive Branch To Trump, Markets With Thursday Trade Comments

August 29, 2019August 29, 2019

Escalation benefits nobody.

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3 Comments on China Extends Olive Branch To Trump, Markets With Thursday Trade Comments

Mnuchin Says US Won’t Intervene To Weaken Dollar – For Now

August 28, 2019August 28, 2019

Not today, but who knows, right?

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2 Comments on Mnuchin Says US Won’t Intervene To Weaken Dollar – For Now

Prospect Of Functioning Government Now Good Enough For Desperate Yield-Seekers, Italy Proves

August 28, 2019August 28, 2019

“Sooner or later, the judgement of the people will be heard”.

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Nomura’s McElligott: CTA Model Triggers ‘Short Spooz Again’ As We Enter ‘Chop Zone’

August 28, 2019August 28, 2019

But the good news is…

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott: CTA Model Triggers ‘Short Spooz Again’ As We Enter ‘Chop Zone’

The 2s10s Is ‘Crazy Inverted’ Again, But This Is The Slope That Matters Most…

August 27, 2019August 27, 2019

“It dominates all other curves we checked in its power to predict”.

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4 Comments on The 2s10s Is ‘Crazy Inverted’ Again, But This Is The Slope That Matters Most…

Goldman Raises Estimate Of Growth Hit From Tariffs, Says Trump Could Theoretically Leverage IEEPA

August 27, 2019

“Presumably”.

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2 Comments on Goldman Raises Estimate Of Growth Hit From Tariffs, Says Trump Could Theoretically Leverage IEEPA

Bill Dudley Has Some Advice For The Fed: Tell President Trump He’s On His Own

August 27, 2019August 27, 2019

“Central bank officials face a choice”.

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Have The Anticipated Rebalancing Flows Kicked In? Nomura’s McElligott Says Maybe

August 27, 2019August 27, 2019

The performance gap for August ranks in the 7th %ile since 1982.

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2 Comments on Have The Anticipated Rebalancing Flows Kicked In? Nomura’s McElligott Says Maybe

-4% Rates By 2030? Only One Thing Can Save Us From Being Snowbound In Albert Edwards’s ‘Ice Age’ Thesis

August 26, 2019August 27, 2019

Maybe he’ll teach us how to ice fish.

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6 Comments on -46 Rates By 2030? Only One Thing Can Save Us From Being Snowbound In Albert Edwards’s ‘Ice Age’ Thesis

The History Of Trump’s Stock Market Will Show ‘A Major Inflection Point’ On This Date…

August 26, 2019August 26, 2019

History will likely do as Trump asks and “judge” his market record “from the day after the election”. The bad news is…

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7 Comments on The History Of Trump’s Stock Market Will Show ‘A Major Inflection Point’ On This Date…

Trump’s Message To War-Weary Markets: ‘Sorry, It’s The Way I Negotiate’

August 26, 2019

“It’s done well for me over the years”.

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6 Comments on Trump’s Message To War-Weary Markets: ‘Sorry, It’s The Way I Negotiate’

CNBC’s Jim Cramer: ‘It Really Doesn’t Matter’ If The President Lies To Investors

August 26, 2019August 26, 2019

“I’m not willing to say that he’s lying”.

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13 Comments on CNBC’s Jim Cramer: ‘It Really Doesn’t Matter’ If The President Lies To Investors

BofA’s Blanch: ‘Traditional Models May Soon Be Obsolete And The World Unforecastable’

August 26, 2019August 26, 2019

A stark assessment, to be sure.

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4 Comments on BofA’s Blanch: ‘Traditional Models May Soon Be Obsolete And The World Unforecastable’

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