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Category: Markets

Why One Bank Thinks Iran’s Next Move ‘May Not Involve Oil At All’

January 7, 2020

It may be counterproductive to engineer a large supply disruption.

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oil5 Comments on Why One Bank Thinks Iran’s Next Move ‘May Not Involve Oil At All’

Nomura’s McElligott On Markets After Soleimani Swan Song: ‘We Short Vol. Knowing We’re Backstopped’

January 7, 2020January 7, 2020

And don’t forget about the gamma pin. And buybacks.

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott On Markets After Soleimani Swan Song: ‘We Short Vol. Knowing We’re Backstopped’

Euro-Area Inflation Rises Most In 8 Months Just In Time For World War III To Push Oil Prices To $800

January 7, 2020

We jest. Hopefully.

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Will They Or Won’t They? Markets Hold Breath As Iran Weighs Retribution

January 6, 2020January 7, 2020

“In the absence of new developments”…

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4 Comments on Will They Or Won’t They? Markets Hold Breath As Iran Weighs Retribution

Iran’s Currency, Stocks Shudder After Soleimani Death

January 6, 2020

Who’s a buyer?

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CTAs ‘Are Likely To Amplify’ Oil Price Spike, JPMorgan Says

January 6, 2020

Chasing the momentum?

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Forget The Trade War, Mideast Shooting War Grabs The Wheel For Oil Prices

January 6, 2020January 6, 2020

Oh, what a difference a week makes.

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on Forget The Trade War, Mideast Shooting War Grabs The Wheel For Oil Prices

All That Glitters: Mideast Tumult Pushes Gold Near 7-Year Highs

January 6, 2020January 6, 2020

“Bling, bling”.

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‘Time Is Not Infinite’: Draghi, Yellen Hope Japanification Isn’t Coming For Europe, US

January 5, 2020January 5, 2020

It’s not a “foregone conclusion”. Or is it?

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3 Comments on ‘Time Is Not Infinite’: Draghi, Yellen Hope Japanification Isn’t Coming For Europe, US

‘Expect A Pullback’ And More From One Bank’s Top 2020 Predictions

January 4, 2020January 4, 2020

“Passive investment flows could contract for a quarter as investors realize that these funds could lose money”.

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Amid The Melt-Up, Never Mind The ISM’s Flagrant Heresy

January 4, 2020January 4, 2020

“Awesome…except for the economy, profits and valuations”.

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1 Comment on Amid The Melt-Up, Never Mind The ISM’s Flagrant Heresy

The Day The Earth Stood Still: In Death, Qassem Soleimani Halts Global Market Rally

January 3, 2020January 4, 2020

“This far eclipses the deaths of bin Laden or Baghdadi”.

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8 Comments on The Day The Earth Stood Still: In Death, Qassem Soleimani Halts Global Market Rally

Fed Minutes Show Rates On Hold, Repo Discussion Front And Center

January 3, 2020January 3, 2020

Policy is “appropriate”. Unless there’s a world war.

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ISM Manufacturing Posts Disastrous Miss For December In Blow To Reflation Narrative

January 3, 2020January 3, 2020

Lowest since 2009.

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1 Comment on ISM Manufacturing Posts Disastrous Miss For December In Blow To Reflation Narrative

‘Ahhhh, A Tail’: Nomura’s McElligott Delivers Quick Thoughts Following Geopolitical Earthquake

January 3, 2020

“Is this event enough of a macro catalyst to trigger a larger deleveraging”?

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oil1 Comment on ‘Ahhhh, A Tail’: Nomura’s McElligott Delivers Quick Thoughts Following Geopolitical Earthquake

Amid Rip-Roaring Start To 2020, Did Small Caps Just Flash A Warning Signal?

January 2, 2020January 2, 2020

Oh, and speaking of that, 2020 kicked off with bull-flattening.

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3 Comments on Amid Rip-Roaring Start To 2020, Did Small Caps Just Flash A Warning Signal?

Can China Keep Easing Without Irritating Donald Trump?

January 2, 2020January 2, 2020

Tug-of-wars are inherently unsustainable.

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‘Sentiment Is Too Darn High’: ‘Melt-Up’ Replaces ‘Recession’ As Clickbait Topic Du Jour

January 2, 2020

Define “barnburner”.

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1 Comment on ‘Sentiment Is Too Darn High’: ‘Melt-Up’ Replaces ‘Recession’ As Clickbait Topic Du Jour

Net Supply Of Safe-Haven Bonds Set For First Drop In 4 Years As CBs Fire Up Presses

January 2, 2020January 2, 2020

The supply shortage is making a comeback.

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1 Comment on Net Supply Of Safe-Haven Bonds Set For First Drop In 4 Years As CBs Fire Up Presses

‘Dire’ Final PMIs Underscore Depth Of European Slump, Pernicious Brexit Impact

January 2, 2020January 2, 2020

“A dire end to 2019”.

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For Chinese Markets, Plunging Liquor No Match For RRR Cut, Trade Optimism

January 2, 2020January 2, 2020

Kweichow Moutai may be a harbinger, but it matters not on Thursday.

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Mohamed El-Erian Is Worried. Here’s Why…

January 1, 2020

“Improvement” may be such a relative term right now as to be nearly meaningless. 

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Requiem For A Dreamy 2019

January 1, 2020January 2, 2020

Happy new year.

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China Delivers Promised RRR Cut, Releasing 800 Billion Yuan In Liquidity

January 1, 2020January 1, 2020

Expect more where this came from in 2020.

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How Bad Would It Have Been Without The Xanax?

December 31, 2019January 1, 2020

We may never know.

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1 Comment on How Bad Would It Have Been Without The Xanax?

What’s Better Than Buying An Index Fund? Buying Index Stocks, That’s What.

December 31, 2019

This is pretty simple, really.

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4 Comments on What’s Better Than Buying An Index Fund? Buying Index Stocks, That’s What.

2019’s Dominant Trends Reverse In Year-End Shuffle

December 31, 2019December 31, 2019

Don’t read too much into it.

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