Fund managers expect a soft landing. They also expect a recession. If that seems contradictory
Category: Markets
Kolanovic Stays Bearish. Recession Likely Needed To Tame Inflation
It’ll probably take a recession to restore price stability. That’s according to JPMorgan analysts led
Melt-Ups, Crash-Ups And Vol Bleeders
The rebuilding of positioning across broad equities amid the S&P’s trek into bull market territory
‘The Bear Market Is Still Alive,’ Wilson Says
Not everyone is on board with the idea that the bear market in US equities
What To Expect From The June FOMC Meeting
Barring a large upside surprise in CPI figures due Tuesday, the Fed will likely pause
Was The Bull Market Over Before It Started?
One, but certainly not the only, criticism of the newly-minted “bull market” in US equities
Goldman Raises S&P Target As US Stocks Cling To Bull Market
Goldman’s David Kostin has seen enough. With the S&P in an ostensible bull market amid
‘Officially Over’: Subramanian Calls Time On Bear Market
“The bear market is officially over.” So said BofA’s Savita Subramanian on Friday, in a
Bubbly Bulls, Boring Bears And ‘Blah, Blah, Blah’
“Blah, blah, blah.” That’s how BofA’s Michael Hartnett described the bear case for equities with
Erdogan Settles On Ex-First Republic Exec For Central Bank Job
Recep Tayyip Erdogan has a new central bank chief. If nothing else, Hafize Gaye Erkan
Don’t Forget This Week
If you take anything away from this week’s market developments, let it be this: Central
Surprise Rate Hikes Force Yet Another Market Rethink
Markets are on notice: Rate hikes can recommence after a pause. I’m not sure why
Turkey’s Lira Confronts Lose-Lose Reality In New Erdogan Term
It’s back to lamenting the lira. When it became clear last month that Recep Tayyip
Canada Restarts Rate Hikes, Warns Inflation ‘Could Get Stuck’ Higher
It’s becoming clearer by the day that even in economies where rate increases should be
When A Pause Is Just A Pause
While previewing this week’s data void in the US, I jokingly noted that traders concerned
Under The Lacquer, A Benighted Market
At this point, the narrative is so familiar that just about anybody could pen a
Young Retail Investors Spotted In New Tech Frenzy
Retail investors may be back at it in US tech shares. You don’t so much
S&P On Brink Of Bull Market Brings Out The Bears
The bears are out. With the S&P on the brink of a bull market, many
Zeitgeist 2023
A funny thing happened this week. Or you might call it a very unfunny thing
Quixotic Bears Tested In 2023 Stock Melt-Up
It’s easy to confuse forced capitulation with a loss of conviction. Think of Bill Ackman
Cheating Gravity With The ‘Magnificent 7’
Just how dominant is big US tech in 2023? Or, put differently, how magnificent are
‘FOMO’ Morphs Into ‘FOCUS’ Amid A.I. Frenzy
“This cross-asset price rally is about to become a ‘wealth effect’ problem for them again,”
Monopolies
Not surprisingly, money poured into tech-focused equity funds over the latest weekly reporting period, a
All Roads Lead To A.I.
If you’re biased against equity rallies built on hype, greed, mania and other manifestations of
A Wary ECB Doubles Down Even As Inflation Recedes
Policymaker rhetoric damped enthusiasm around a sharp drop in European inflation on Thursday. “There is
Rallies And Epochs
It’s artificial! That’s the lament from equity market bears these days. If we’re being honest,
3 Takeaways From Deutsche Bank’s ‘Imminent Default Wave’ Call
“A default wave is imminent.” So said Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid in the 2023 vintage
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