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Category: Markets

Boring BofA Just Had A Really Good Quarter

October 15, 2025October 15, 2025

“Revenues grew at a much faster rate than expenses,” Brian Moynihan said Wednesday morning, in

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2 Comments on Boring BofA Just Had A Really Good Quarter

You Buy Bubbles, You Don’t Short Them

October 14, 2025October 15, 2025

This isn’t investment advice, but for the hundred millionth time: You don’t short bubbles, you

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12 Comments on You Buy Bubbles, You Don’t Short Them

Parsing The Nuance Of Goldman’s Record Quarter

October 14, 2025October 15, 2025

You already knew it was going to be a decent quarter for Goldman. Dealmaking’s back

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JPMorgan Beats On Nearly Everything. Dimon Says Prepared For Literally Anything.

October 14, 2025October 15, 2025

JPMorgan kicked off big bank earnings Tuesday with a top-line beat, a bottom-line beat and

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TACO Alpha

October 13, 2025October 14, 2025

TACO. Who wants TACOs? I’m referring, of course, to the acronym for “Trump Always Chickens

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18 Comments on TACO Alpha

Beware The Jabberwock

October 13, 2025October 14, 2025

“These things have gotten so complex you need the whole thing,” Sam Altman said Monday,

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26 Comments on Beware The Jabberwock

Gold To $6,000?

October 12, 2025October 13, 2025

Gold bulls, like Bitcoin bulls, tend to be an excitable bunch prone to wild extrapolation.

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4 Comments on Gold To $6,000?

China Hits Back At Trump, Risking New Escalation Phase

October 12, 2025October 13, 2025

World peace. That’s why China had to institute new, sweeping controls on exports of rare

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7 Comments on China Hits Back At Trump, Risking New Escalation Phase

Well, Hello Bear!

October 10, 2025October 12, 2025

As a previously bulletproof equity market careened lower into the US afternoon on Friday, CNBC

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8 Comments on Well, Hello Bear!

‘Sinister,’ ‘Hostile’ Moves

October 10, 2025October 12, 2025

Somebody’s mad about being snubbed for the Nobel Peace Prize. Donald Trump on Friday lost

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19 Comments on ‘Sinister,’ ‘Hostile’ Moves

The Dollar: Back From The Dead?

October 10, 2025October 12, 2025

Don’t look now, but the dollar’s on the cusp of its best week in nearly

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3 Comments on The Dollar: Back From The Dead?

Just Another Tech Bubble Article

October 9, 2025October 10, 2025

The good news is, the rally in tech stocks is “justified.” That’s also the bad

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9 Comments on Just Another Tech Bubble Article

How AI Spending Could Rob Stocks Of Their Biggest Buyer

October 9, 2025October 10, 2025

This’ll be a bit repetitive, but that’s fine because it’s important, and there’s a tie-in

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4 Comments on How AI Spending Could Rob Stocks Of Their Biggest Buyer

A Half-Trillion Dollar Sell Flow (Hypothetically)

October 8, 2025October 10, 2025

Things better stay calm. If you’re looking for a four-word summary of everything I’ve written

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8 Comments on A Half-Trillion Dollar Sell Flow (Hypothetically)

Apples, Oranges And The AI Bubble

October 8, 2025October 9, 2025

I don’t love charts that purport to compare apples and oranges. I say “purport” because

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4 Comments on Apples, Oranges And The AI Bubble

Albert Edwards Explains ‘Batsh-t’ Precious Metals Rally

October 8, 2025October 8, 2025

“Batshit crazy.” That’s me. Ask around. Somebody, somewhere will emphatically attest. But in 2025 I’m

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1 Comment on Albert Edwards Explains ‘Batsh-t’ Precious Metals Rally

Gold’s Moment

October 8, 2025October 9, 2025

Gold’s having a moment. Spot prices cleared $4,000 on Wednesday, green-lighting another round of mostly

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17 Comments on Gold’s Moment

Margin For Error

October 7, 2025October 8, 2025

I guess I have to mention Oracle. Right? I mean, you can’t harp on potential

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7 Comments on Margin For Error

Schrödinger’s Equities Vol

October 7, 2025October 8, 2025

What do you get when you combine moribund trailing realized vol with recently firmer implied

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4 Comments on Schrödinger’s Equities Vol

Justifiable Propaganda

October 7, 2025October 8, 2025

I’m hittin’ the “bubble” theme pretty hard lately. Some of you are probably tired of

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14 Comments on Justifiable Propaganda

Chip Chasin’

October 6, 2025October 7, 2025

They’re chasin’ it. The rally, I mean. If that sounds like a familiar opener (“Do

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Hype Machine Volume: 11

October 6, 2025October 7, 2025

OpenAI. Ever heard of it? The funny thing is, most people hadn’t until not so

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1 Comment on Hype Machine Volume: 11

Gold, Bitcoin And Breaching The Laugh Threshold

October 6, 2025October 7, 2025

We might’ve (b)reached the “laugh threshold.” During the pandemic, I was a staunch defender of

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11 Comments on Gold, Bitcoin And Breaching The Laugh Threshold

Remember Nvidia?

October 5, 2025October 6, 2025

In an October 4 piece for Bloomberg, Seth Fiegerman and Carmen Reinicke wrote, of the

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12 Comments on Remember Nvidia?

Why The Stock Bubble Might Not Pop. Yet.

October 3, 2025October 5, 2025

Why do cycles die? There are a lot of possible (plausible) answers, but one of

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9 Comments on Why The Stock Bubble Might Not Pop. Yet.

How The Stock Melt-Up Dies. Or Not.

October 3, 2025October 5, 2025

I suppose it’s just as well we’re not getting a US jobs report on Friday.

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1 Comment on How The Stock Melt-Up Dies. Or Not.

‘By Far The Largest On Record’ (Bubble Tickets)

October 2, 2025October 3, 2025

They’re grabbing for upside. Or buying lottery tickets. Or they’re just keen to ride a

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8 Comments on ‘By Far The Largest On Record’ (Bubble Tickets)

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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