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Category: Markets

Another Froth Chart

November 4, 2025November 5, 2025

Did you hear? There’s a bubble afoot. The financial media’s all over it. Michael Burry

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3 Comments on Another Froth Chart

Shiller! Bubbles! Burry!

November 4, 2025November 5, 2025

Ted Pick says “We should welcome the possibility [of a] 10% to 15% drawdown” in

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4 Comments on Shiller! Bubbles! Burry!

Virtuous Circle Or Rehypothecation?

November 3, 2025November 4, 2025

Another session, another circular AI deal. If this all implodes one day — you can

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5 Comments on Virtuous Circle Or Rehypothecation?

Bullish Stocks, Bearish Life

November 3, 2025November 4, 2025

I wish I were a Pollyanna. Really I do. Whenever I pen something that’s constructive

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1 Comment on Bullish Stocks, Bearish Life

One Word: Strong

November 3, 2025November 4, 2025

Earnings season in the US is going well. Maybe you noticed. Specifically, 82% of companies

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3 Comments on One Word: Strong

Buffett’s Cash Pile Hits New Record At $382 Billion

November 1, 2025November 3, 2025

It’s a Berkshire weekend. They always sneak up on me. Ol’ Warren (and “ol’” isn’t

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10 Comments on Buffett’s Cash Pile Hits New Record At $382 Billion

They’re Selling The Gold!

October 31, 2025November 1, 2025

They’re selling gold. Or at least they were. Sun-colored metal headed into Friday down two

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3 Comments on They’re Selling The Gold!

Amazon Hits The Trifecta, Apple Stokes Holiday Optimism

October 30, 2025November 1, 2025

Amazon topped estimates in results released after the bell on Thursday. Total revenue in Q3

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3 Comments on Amazon Hits The Trifecta, Apple Stokes Holiday Optimism

Where To Now?

October 30, 2025October 31, 2025

I don’t love Mag7 reporting days. Or maybe I should say Mag6 reporting days. Tesla’s

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3 Comments on Where To Now?

Alphabet Has ‘Terrific’ Quarter. Spending Eyed At Meta, Microsoft

October 29, 2025October 30, 2025

“Terrific.” That’s one word to describe the quarter Alphabet just had. Or at least that’s

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2 Comments on Alphabet Has ‘Terrific’ Quarter. Spending Eyed At Meta, Microsoft

‘Far From A Foregone Conclusion’

October 29, 2025October 30, 2025

There was one overarching takeaway from Jerome Powell’s press conference on Wednesday afternoon in the

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1 Comment on ‘Far From A Foregone Conclusion’

It’s Not A Bubble, Nvidia Insists

October 28, 2025October 29, 2025

Monday it was Qualcomm. Tuesday it was Nokia. Every day, something else soars 20% or

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7 Comments on It’s Not A Bubble, Nvidia Insists

F.O.R.T.

October 28, 2025October 29, 2025

The equity rally. You missed it. Ok, maybe you didn’t, but some people might’ve. And

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4 Comments on F.O.R.T.

Remember: Bears Are Never Held Accountable

October 27, 2025October 28, 2025

I keep coming back to the notion that people — as opposed to machines, and

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10 Comments on Remember: Bears Are Never Held Accountable

Season’s Greetings

October 27, 2025October 29, 2025

I don’t love historical analogues in the market context. In a similar vein, I’m instinctually

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1 Comment on Season’s Greetings

Squeeeeeeeze

October 27, 2025October 28, 2025

Earlier this month, I endeavored to explain why equities were trading short. It wasn’t complicated

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2 Comments on Squeeeeeeeze

All Skewed Up

October 23, 2025October 24, 2025

You don’t need to hedge what you don’t own. And vice versa. That simple, axiomatic

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12 Comments on All Skewed Up

A Word (Or 900) On Tesla

October 22, 2025October 23, 2025

Since he stepped down as co-POTUS in April, I lost track of the daily melodrama

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6 Comments on A Word (Or 900) On Tesla

Gold Rally Finally Collapses Under Its Own Weight

October 21, 2025October 22, 2025

Earlier this month, when spot gold first cleared $4,000, I gently suggested it was time

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7 Comments on Gold Rally Finally Collapses Under Its Own Weight

Vol Supply Wave Smothered Nascent Stock Selloff

October 21, 2025October 22, 2025

This’ll be a little esoteric for some readers, but that’s ok: Esoterica’s part of the

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2 Comments on Vol Supply Wave Smothered Nascent Stock Selloff

Much Ado About Idiosyncratic Nothings

October 20, 2025October 21, 2025

I hate to say “I told you so,” but you have to be careful with

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3 Comments on Much Ado About Idiosyncratic Nothings

Leave The Buybacks, Take The Capex

October 20, 2025October 21, 2025

Buybacks or capex? Cue the knight from The Last Crusade: “You must choose. But choose

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7 Comments on Leave The Buybacks, Take The Capex

Depressed And Bullish

October 17, 2025October 19, 2025

Never mind what they say, watch what they do. You could argue that’s the right

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1 Comment on Depressed And Bullish

It Must Be A God

October 17, 2025October 19, 2025

Gold. It’s shiny and it looks like the sun. It must be a god. In

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5 Comments on It Must Be A God

Roach Panic

October 16, 2025October 18, 2025

Goddammit, here we go. There’s nothing I despise more as a chronicler of daily macro-market

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7 Comments on Roach Panic

Yes, Scott, Trump’s Scared Of The Stock Market

October 15, 2025October 16, 2025

The Trump administration’s not going to let a stock market decline get in the way

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7 Comments on Yes, Scott, Trump’s Scared Of The Stock Market

Morgan Stanley Wins Stock-Trading Bragging Rights With 35% Surge

October 15, 2025October 16, 2025

Morgan Stanley’s supposed to shine in stock trading. It’s tradition. But like the Winter Hill

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Leave a Comment on Morgan Stanley Wins Stock-Trading Bragging Rights With 35% Surge

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  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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