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Category: Markets

False Dawns And Summer Doldrums

July 12, 2020July 13, 2020

Market participants sleepily adrift or otherwise mired in the summer doldrums will be compelled to

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The Final Leap: America’s Overlapping Crises May Make Fed Stock Buying Inevitable

July 12, 2020July 12, 2020

“If you don’t think that the mechanical processes that have been worked out over the

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32 Comments on The Final Leap: America’s Overlapping Crises May Make Fed Stock Buying Inevitable

‘Rationally Being Irrational’ (And The Second Half Playbook)

July 11, 2020July 11, 2020

“…why would anyone expect markets to connect with macro?”

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2 Comments on ‘Rationally Being Irrational’ (And The Second Half Playbook)

Deutsche’s Kocic On ‘5 Major Crises’ And ‘The Big Whipsaw Of 2020’

July 11, 2020July 12, 2020

“Markets are not behaving in a conventional way, in any historical, traditional or logical metric

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4 Comments on Deutsche’s Kocic On ‘5 Major Crises’ And ‘The Big Whipsaw Of 2020’

Goldman: In Downside, S&P 500 Profits Won’t Recover From Pandemic Until 2023

July 11, 2020July 11, 2020

Don’t worry, the base case still looks like a “V”.

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5 Comments on Goldman: In Downside, S&P 500 Profits Won’t Recover From Pandemic Until 2023

Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Talks Pandemic, Stocks, Bonds, Election In Sweeping Interview

July 10, 2020July 11, 2020

“The entire professional investor universe is, in my mind, basically a momentum trader themselves”.

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3 Comments on Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Talks Pandemic, Stocks, Bonds, Election In Sweeping Interview

Lacy Hunt On Pandemic: Prepare For ‘Years’ Of Low Inflation, High Unemployment, Lackluster Growth

July 10, 2020July 10, 2020

It’s going to be a while before things get back to any semblance of normal.

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12 Comments on Lacy Hunt On Pandemic: Prepare For ‘Years’ Of Low Inflation, High Unemployment, Lackluster Growth

It Was The ‘Biggest Deal Ever Made.’ Now Trump Doesn’t Even Think About It

July 10, 2020July 10, 2020

C’est la vie.

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Looking Ahead To ‘The Poor Bank Redemption’

July 10, 2020July 10, 2020

Is bank underperformance “a signal of no economic hope” and something “sinister”?

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3 Comments on Looking Ahead To ‘The Poor Bank Redemption’

Zeitgeist Unchanged

July 10, 2020July 10, 2020

The times may be a changin’, but the post-pandemic world has served to entrench familiar market dynamics.

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4 Comments on Zeitgeist Unchanged

From ‘Healthy Bull’ To ‘Mad Cow Meat Grinder’: China Engineers Selloff After $1 Trillion Run

July 10, 2020July 10, 2020

“…and investors exclaimed ‘a bull market is coming!'”

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1 Comment on From ‘Healthy Bull’ To ‘Mad Cow Meat Grinder’: China Engineers Selloff After $1 Trillion Run

Hooray For Jay: Tsunami Of Inflows Into High-Grade Bonds Hits 13 Weeks

July 9, 2020July 9, 2020

To reiterate what is now a weekly refrain…

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2 Comments on Hooray For Jay: Tsunami Of Inflows Into High-Grade Bonds Hits 13 Weeks

Is The Market Sleepwalking Into A Summer Growth Scare?

July 9, 2020July 10, 2020

…even as these long, summer days feel sleepy and aimless.

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3 Comments on Is The Market Sleepwalking Into A Summer Growth Scare?

You’re Looking At The Wrong Unemployment Data, One Bank Warns. The ‘Real Story’ Is Here…

July 9, 2020July 9, 2020

The official number “simply does not reflect the reality of the US labor market”. 

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5 Comments on You’re Looking At The Wrong Unemployment Data, One Bank Warns. The ‘Real Story’ Is Here…

Albert Edwards Recalls Wise Words Of Late Boss. Warns On Deflation, Ponzi Schemes

July 9, 2020

“The deflationary reality will mean even more monetary largesse is coming”.

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1 Comment on Albert Edwards Recalls Wise Words Of Late Boss. Warns On Deflation, Ponzi Schemes

Jobless Claims Better Than Expected, But Stalled Re-Opening Push Looms Large

July 9, 2020July 9, 2020

Congress will debate the contents of an assumed next round of virus relief later this month.

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The Real Show (I’m Feeling Invincible Right Now’)

July 9, 2020July 9, 2020

Gold, tech, and Chinese stocks.

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1 Comment on The Real Show (I’m Feeling Invincible Right Now’)

Marko Kolanovic On The Rally, The Election, Tech Crowding And COVID-19

July 8, 2020July 8, 2020

“Many investors did not participate in the equity rally”.

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No, Stocks Aren’t Pricing In A ‘V-Shaped’ Recovery, Morgan Stanley Says

July 8, 2020July 8, 2020

“…if investors expect a robust economic bounce back, they have an odd way of expressing it”.

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2 Comments on No, Stocks Aren’t Pricing In A ‘V-Shaped’ Recovery, Morgan Stanley Says

Fairly Wacky Ideas.

July 8, 2020July 8, 2020

“It sounds quite radical”.

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7 Comments on Fairly Wacky Ideas.

Attack The Peg? Trump Administration Ponders Nuclear Option For Hong Kong Retaliation

July 7, 2020July 7, 2020

“We are looking at numerous different things”.

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9 Comments on Attack The Peg? Trump Administration Ponders Nuclear Option For Hong Kong Retaliation

Why One Bank Thinks Big Tech Is ‘The Most At Risk’ If Joe Biden Takes The Oval Office

July 7, 2020July 7, 2020

And yet, all of this comes as the post-COVID reality tends to favor many of trends associated with “new” tech.

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8 Comments on Why One Bank Thinks Big Tech Is ‘The Most At Risk’ If Joe Biden Takes The Oval Office

‘Why Now?’ Questions Abound About Timing Of China’s New Stock Bubble

July 7, 2020July 7, 2020

Great questions, all. 

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1 Comment on ‘Why Now?’ Questions Abound About Timing Of China’s New Stock Bubble

There’s A Risk-Off Trade Afoot, You Just Didn’t Notice…

July 6, 2020

A quick look under the hood.

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‘NASDAQ HITS ALL TIME HIGH!’, Shrieked The Sovereign

July 6, 2020

…content in the notion that as long as equities are loitering in rarefied air, all must be right in the world.

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Castles In The Sky.

July 6, 2020July 6, 2020

Equities’ phoenix-like rise from the ashes of March is increasingly difficult to rationalize.

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US Services Gauge Logs Biggest Jump In History. So There’s That.

July 6, 2020July 6, 2020

Employment still looks shaky, though.

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