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Category: Markets

‘Courageous’ China May Impose Losses On Huarong Bondholders: NYT

May 18, 2021May 19, 2021

When last I checked on the Huarong debacle, reports indicated the PBoC was set to

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Housing ‘Zenith’

May 18, 2021May 19, 2021

Housing starts came in at the low-end of the range for April, perhaps suggesting that

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6 Comments on Housing ‘Zenith’

External Factors

May 18, 2021May 18, 2021

Sentiment improved Tuesday, as markets seemed at ease (figuratively and literally) with Richard Clarida’s assurances

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2 Comments on External Factors

Compelling Narratives

May 17, 2021May 21, 2021

A lackluster start to the week was blamed, in part anyway, on underwhelming data out

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2 Comments on Compelling Narratives

Companies Made Some Money. People Bought Some Stocks

May 17, 2021May 18, 2021

You know, it’s funny: Q1 2021 was just about as good as it gets on

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2 Comments on Companies Made Some Money. People Bought Some Stocks

Labor Rising

May 17, 2021May 24, 2021

The global recovery is “red-hot,” Morgan Stanley declared, in the course of reminding market participants

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12 Comments on Labor Rising

A ‘Healthy Level’

May 17, 2021May 18, 2021

“A healthy level of inflation is a sign the economy is healthy,” Raphael Bostic said

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4 Comments on A ‘Healthy Level’

Fitful Starts

May 17, 2021May 17, 2021

Equities are consolidating, a process which could last between one and three months, and will

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1 Comment on Fitful Starts

Not Your Hedge

May 16, 2021May 22, 2021

Meanwhile, from the “things you don’t see everyday” file, TLT fell 50bps on three consecutive

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8 Comments on Not Your Hedge

The Dairy Aisle

May 16, 2021May 17, 2021

On Friday, in response to a reader comment, I noted that the archetypal American Everyman

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7 Comments on The Dairy Aisle

Mandatory Action Verbs

May 16, 2021May 20, 2021

“Nobody actually has a very good handle on where near-term inflation prints will land, and

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2 Comments on Mandatory Action Verbs

Shaking The Edifice

May 15, 2021May 16, 2021

Although things had an “all’s well that ends well” feel to them by Friday afternoon,

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4 Comments on Shaking The Edifice

Goldman Raises S&P Profit Forecast After ‘Stellar’ Q1

May 15, 2021May 16, 2021

Consensus expected corporate profits in the US to rise 20% YoY during the first quarter.

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Genie Bottle

May 14, 2021May 16, 2021

All’s well that ends well. For those fortunate enough to own equities, that is. If,

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7 Comments on Genie Bottle

What Happens To Jerome Powell If Inflation Spirals?

May 14, 2021May 15, 2021

“Macro vol is back,” Deutsche Bank’s Alan Ruskin declared, following this week’s shocking CPI report,

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3 Comments on What Happens To Jerome Powell If Inflation Spirals?

Inflation Expectations Skyrocket, Knee-Capping Sentiment

May 14, 2021May 20, 2021

Consumer sentiment unexpectedly soured in May, the preliminary read on the University of Michigan’s gauge

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13 Comments on Inflation Expectations Skyrocket, Knee-Capping Sentiment

Halfway To $1 Trillion And A Trio Of Summer Calls

May 14, 2021May 15, 2021

If you were wondering whether inflation worries and the stunning miss on US nonfarm payrolls

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2 Comments on Halfway To $1 Trillion And A Trio Of Summer Calls

US Retail Sales Suffer Stimulus Hangover

May 14, 2021May 14, 2021

US retail sales were unchanged in April, data out Friday showed. Consensus expected a 1%

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3 Comments on US Retail Sales Suffer Stimulus Hangover

Cashing Out

May 14, 2021May 14, 2021

“Thanks for everything, but I’ll be leaving now. I’m a crypto magnate.” Is what Aziz

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3 Comments on Cashing Out

‘That Thud You Heard’

May 13, 2021May 14, 2021

“That thud you heard last Friday was the jaw of every forecaster hitting the floor,”

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5 Comments on ‘That Thud You Heard’

Bitcoin Crowd Learns God Can Be Cruel

May 13, 2021May 19, 2021

In late January, when you could grab some Dogecoin for the “bargain” price of $0.06,

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6 Comments on Bitcoin Crowd Learns God Can Be Cruel

Is Modern Market Structure Ready For A Macro Regime Shift?

May 13, 2021May 14, 2021

On several fronts, one could argue that uncertainty has diminished materially over the last few

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More Inflation, Less Joblessness

May 13, 2021May 18, 2021

Producer prices rose twice as much as expected in April, another round of inflation data

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3 Comments on More Inflation, Less Joblessness

Welcome To The Hyperinflation Era. Did You Buy Bread Yet?

May 13, 2021May 13, 2021

Welcome to the first day of the hyperinflation era in the US. I’m just kidding.

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‘China’s Credit Impulse Just Turned Negative’

May 12, 2021May 12, 2021

Lost in the whirlwind of inflation hysteria Wednesday was a notable downside surprise in China’s

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2 Comments on ‘China’s Credit Impulse Just Turned Negative’

First, Do No Harm

May 12, 2021May 13, 2021

The Fed “would not hesitate to act” in the event inflation were to surge, Richard Clarida

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1 Comment on First, Do No Harm

Scorcher: Inflation Screams Higher, Testing Fed, Markets

May 12, 2021May 17, 2021

Those expecting a red-hot April inflation print in the US weren’t disappointed. Consumer prices surged

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6 Comments on Scorcher: Inflation Screams Higher, Testing Fed, Markets

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Monthly Letters

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