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Category: Markets

Jim Bullard Abandons Doves In Bitter Betrayal

June 18, 2021June 23, 2021

Someone may need to remind Jim Bullard what a “Jim Bullard” does. In remarks to

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11 Comments on Jim Bullard Abandons Doves In Bitter Betrayal

Turning The Titanic

June 18, 2021June 19, 2021

All it took was a surprisingly “hawkish” (scare quotes because it’s all very relative) shift

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1 Comment on Turning The Titanic

A Bit Of Chaos Never Hurt Anybody

June 17, 2021June 18, 2021

The post-Fed trade was somewhat chaotic, but one familiar theme was easy enough to discern:

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4 Comments on A Bit Of Chaos Never Hurt Anybody

McElligott On The Fed’s ‘Line In The Sand’

June 17, 2021June 21, 2021

On Wednesday, hours prior to the June dot plot reveal, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott wrote that

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Wapner, Cramer Receive Divine Tepper Revelation On Live Television

June 17, 2021June 18, 2021

Don’t worry everybody, the stock market will probably be fine despite an upward shift in

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2 Comments on Wapner, Cramer Receive Divine Tepper Revelation On Live Television

Lehman Trader Learns First Rule Of Dramatized Market Commentary

June 17, 2021June 18, 2021

It’ll be difficult to escape hawkish Fed interpretations over the next week or so. Take

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2 Comments on Lehman Trader Learns First Rule Of Dramatized Market Commentary

FAIT Accompli

June 17, 2021June 21, 2021

Admittedly, I found it difficult to get totally behind the notion that the June FOMC marked

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3 Comments on FAIT Accompli

Jobless Claims Surge, Philly Prices Highest Since Horse And Buggy

June 17, 2021June 17, 2021

412,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, far more than expected. Out of nearly

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims Surge, Philly Prices Highest Since Horse And Buggy

Pay No Attention To These Projections

June 16, 2021June 17, 2021

“These projections do not represent a committee decision or a plan,” Jerome Powell said Wednesday,

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4 Comments on Pay No Attention To These Projections

Fed Signals Two Hikes By End Of 2023

June 16, 2021June 21, 2021

“Inflation has risen, largely reflecting transitory factors,” the Fed said Wednesday, in a June policy

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1 Comment on Fed Signals Two Hikes By End Of 2023

McElligott: Op-Ex Is ‘Huge Thing’

June 16, 2021June 18, 2021

That nearly three quarters of respondents polled in the June vintage of BofA’s monthly fund

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Bubble Watching In US Housing

June 16, 2021June 23, 2021

Housing starts rose in May, but missed estimates on the heels of April’s lackluster showing.

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4 Comments on Bubble Watching In US Housing

China’s Recovery Is Rolling Over

June 16, 2021June 16, 2021

All the usual questions lingered ahead of the June Fed meeting. The balance of evidence

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Tell Me Again About Your Models

June 15, 2021June 16, 2021

Despite (and often because of), my overtly pessimistic take on the plight of humanity, I

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6 Comments on Tell Me Again About Your Models

The Economic Question Of Our Time

June 15, 2021June 26, 2021

Have we entered a “high inflation regime”? At this point, asking that question feels like

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6 Comments on The Economic Question Of Our Time

As ‘K-Shaped’ Inflation Fears Worsen, $650 Billion Says It’s Transitory

June 15, 2021June 25, 2021

You may not be buying the Fed’s “transitory” characterization of inflation, but nearly three quarters

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1 Comment on As ‘K-Shaped’ Inflation Fears Worsen, $650 Billion Says It’s Transitory

A Depressing Conjuncture That Will Change No Minds

June 15, 2021June 16, 2021

In what may well be further evidence to support the view that the US economy

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Counting Days While Waiting On Nothing

June 15, 2021June 15, 2021

Traders were “unruffled” Tuesday, ahead of the Fed and key data. That was Bloomberg’s adjective.

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2 Comments on Counting Days While Waiting On Nothing

One Bank Asks: ‘What Bubble?’

June 14, 2021June 26, 2021

What’s the definition of a “bubble” in the market context? That’s a question I’ve explored

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12 Comments on One Bank Asks: ‘What Bubble?’

Paul Tudor Jones And The Celebrity Fixation

June 14, 2021June 17, 2021

Do you ever wonder why we (as a society) care about celebrity endorsements? In a

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19 Comments on Paul Tudor Jones And The Celebrity Fixation

Topic Du Jour

June 14, 2021June 15, 2021

Headed into the June Fed meeting, analysts and strategists were keen to dissect last week’s

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4 Comments on Topic Du Jour

An Important Non-Event

June 13, 2021June 14, 2021

Outside of the geopolitical realm, the June Fed meeting will get top billing this week,

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1 Comment on An Important Non-Event

Bitcoin And Donald Trump Have A Lot In Common

June 12, 2021June 14, 2021

Time and again over the years, I’ve argued that the volatility associated with Bitcoin makes

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10 Comments on Bitcoin And Donald Trump Have A Lot In Common

Stars May Be Out Of Alignment For Market’s Favorite Trade

June 12, 2021June 18, 2021

Hopefully, you don’t find yourself in the unenviable position of being forced to say, definitively,

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3 Comments on Stars May Be Out Of Alignment For Market’s Favorite Trade

Summers, Druckenmiller And Two People I’ve Never Heard Of

June 12, 2021June 14, 2021

I suggested Friday that “incredulous” was probably too strong a word for how market participants

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11 Comments on Summers, Druckenmiller And Two People I’ve Never Heard Of

Back To Goldilocks?

June 11, 2021June 13, 2021

I’d say you could feel the incredulity in the room, but I’d be lying. Months

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3 Comments on Back To Goldilocks?

The Biggest Risk To The Inflation Trade Is… Inflation?

June 11, 2021June 12, 2021

The inflation trade is in jeopardy from… inflation. That’s one takeaway from the latest installment

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5 Comments on The Biggest Risk To The Inflation Trade Is… Inflation?

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Monthly Letter

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Monthly Letters

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Hell Or High Fashion

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