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Category: Markets

Searching For A Narrative

December 7, 2021December 8, 2021

US equities catapulted higher Tuesday, capping a mammoth two-day rally and putting the S&P on

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6 Comments on Searching For A Narrative

China Reaches Pain Threshold. Easing Cycle Seen Underway

December 7, 2021December 19, 2021

After spending the better part of a year engineering a series of overlapping crises in

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2 Comments on China Reaches Pain Threshold. Easing Cycle Seen Underway

The ‘Blind Spot’: Traditional Portfolios’ Biggest Risk

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

What happens to the US equity market if macro volatility rises as a result of

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13 Comments on The ‘Blind Spot’: Traditional Portfolios’ Biggest Risk

Fed Put Re-Struck On ‘Tier 1 Political Hot Potato’

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

We’ve seen it before. The Fed pivots hawkish, only to recant in the face of

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2 Comments on Fed Put Re-Struck On ‘Tier 1 Political Hot Potato’

More Noise Than Signal

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

I’d call it a testament to rampant uncertainty, but it’s probably more accurate to say

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1 Comment on More Noise Than Signal

Evergrande, Alibaba Meltdowns Exemplify China’s Engineered Crisis

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

Another day, another selloff in Chinese tech shares. The Hang Seng Tech Index dove more

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4 Comments on Evergrande, Alibaba Meltdowns Exemplify China’s Engineered Crisis

China Slashes RRR As Economy Teeters

December 6, 2021December 13, 2021

Just one business day after Premier Li Keqiang tipped incremental policy easing aimed at bolstering

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1 Comment on China Slashes RRR As Economy Teeters

Nothing Is More Political Than Inflation

December 5, 2021December 6, 2021

Towards the end of “Bad Optics,” I spoke briefly about the political ramifications of persistently

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3 Comments on Nothing Is More Political Than Inflation

Bad Optics

December 5, 2021December 9, 2021

Traders will attempt to find their way back from “dark places” in the new week.

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2 Comments on Bad Optics

Zeitgeist: Tightening Into A Slowdown

December 4, 2021December 6, 2021

A consensus is forming around the notion that the Fed is on the brink of

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8 Comments on Zeitgeist: Tightening Into A Slowdown

Omicron Cuts Begin: Goldman Slashes US Growth Forecast

December 4, 2021December 13, 2021

In the days following the first Omicron headlines and associated post-holiday market tumult in the

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1 Comment on Omicron Cuts Begin: Goldman Slashes US Growth Forecast

Bitcoin, Crypto ‘Liquidated’ In Saturday Plunge

December 4, 2021December 5, 2021

“As usual, since crypto traders deploy leverage, it results in cascading sell orders and liquidations,”

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14 Comments on Bitcoin, Crypto ‘Liquidated’ In Saturday Plunge

Weird, Wild And Crazy

December 3, 2021December 5, 2021

On Friday, someone described the November jobs report as “one of the weirdest I’ve ever

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2 Comments on Weird, Wild And Crazy

Good News Is Definitely Bad News Now

December 3, 2021December 4, 2021

For once, “scorching” isn’t hyperbole. The US services sector is on fire, according to the

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6 Comments on Good News Is Definitely Bad News Now

‘I Quit. No, You’re Fired.’

December 3, 2021December 3, 2021

“You’re fired.” “No, I quit.” That, in a nutshell, describes the state of play for

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Leave a Comment on ‘I Quit. No, You’re Fired.’

In Turkey, An Autocrat Goes All-In

December 2, 2021December 3, 2021

After years spent living in denial, emerging market watchers finally came around to the reality

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5 Comments on In Turkey, An Autocrat Goes All-In

Markets Turn ‘Shockingly Dysfunctional’

December 2, 2021December 3, 2021

If you get the feeling markets are dysfunctional, it’s not just your imagination. Over the

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3 Comments on Markets Turn ‘Shockingly Dysfunctional’

Apples, Hawks And Boosters

December 2, 2021December 3, 2021

Uncertainty lingered on Thursday, as traders assessed a smattering of Omicron headlines, more relatively hawkish

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6 Comments on Apples, Hawks And Boosters

Kolanovic Asks: What If Omicron Ends Up Being Bullish?

December 1, 2021December 2, 2021

JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic has a few questions about the Omicron variant and associated turmoil across

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Adaptation

December 1, 2021December 10, 2021

Can you blame them? That’s what I’d ask of anyone inclined to criticize retail investors

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5 Comments on Adaptation

A Simple Recipe For Volatility

December 1, 2021December 1, 2021

“Omicron + taper = volatility,” read the title of one note on Wednesday. Weary and

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Powell Gives Traders More Whiplash Amid Impossible Dilemma

November 30, 2021December 8, 2021

Stocks careened lower again on Tuesday, as Jerome Powell’s remarks to Congress rattled investor sentiment

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9 Comments on Powell Gives Traders More Whiplash Amid Impossible Dilemma

The Year-End Trade Just Got More Complicated: McElligott

November 30, 2021December 1, 2021

Over the weekend, I noted that the marked spike in realized vol precipitated by last

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2 Comments on The Year-End Trade Just Got More Complicated: McElligott

Meanwhile, In China

November 30, 2021November 30, 2021

Reasonably upbeat PMIs out of China were wholly insufficient to allay market concerns on Tuesday,

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1 Comment on Meanwhile, In China

‘This Is Not Going To Be Good’: Moderna Execs Spook Markets

November 30, 2021December 7, 2021

“The number of mutations are surprising,” Moderna co-founder Noubar Afeyan told Bloomberg Television, while discussing

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2 Comments on ‘This Is Not Going To Be Good’: Moderna Execs Spook Markets

Animal Spirits And Gunslingers

November 29, 2021December 2, 2021

Retail bought the dip. Or at least according to data from Vanda Research. Conditioned over

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3 Comments on Animal Spirits And Gunslingers

‘Madness,’ The Dollar And An ‘Omnipresent’ Threat

November 29, 2021November 30, 2021

“Madness.” That’s how one analyst described last week’s post-Thanksgiving price action, which found global equities

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1 Comment on ‘Madness,’ The Dollar And An ‘Omnipresent’ Threat

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Monthly Letters

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