And so we close the book on February.
Category: 10Y
Goldman Asks The Big Question: Is This The End Of The Low Vol. Regime?
The narrative in 2017 revolved around two things…
They’ve Done Studies You Know…
60% of the time…
Jerome Powell ‘Is Pleased’ To Offer You This Half-Assed Janet Yellen Impression
Let him know if you like it by not selling your stocks.
‘What Is Clear Is That This Isn’t Clear’: The Definitive Ambiguous Guide To Stocks In A Rising Rates World
Let me tell you something about the whole “when do higher yields start to weigh on equity prices?” debate: it’s a dead horse and everyone is going to continue to beat it mercilessly.Â
Here’s What To Look For From Jerome Powell’s Closely-Watched Testimony
All eyes will turn to brand new Fed Chair (and guy who is regretting it already) Jerome Powell on Tuesday as he heads to Capitol Hill to regale lawmakers with some shit they won’t understand.
While You’re Waiting, Can I Interest You In Some Stocks?
So in the meantime…
Morgan Stanley Goes Rogue, Is Bullish On Bonds Because Frankly, Consensus Is ‘Usually Wrong’
“The wisdom of crowds has yet to grace itself on bond yield forecasters.”
Let’s Get Italian: Full Week Ahead Preview
No shortage of event risk.
Good News: We Won’t ‘Spiral Into A Recession’. Bad News: Stocks Could Fall 25%
It’s comforting. Sort of. But sort of not.
Are The Locusts Coming? Here’s What History Says About Stocks, Credit, Yields And Inflation
“Lions, tigers, and bears, oh my!”
There Is ‘Only One Scenario’ Where Equities Benefit From Here
Boy, I’ll tell you what: I would absolutely love to rent out a small auditorium, pack it full of economists and analysts, make it an open bar event (so, all you can drink for free), set the conversation topic to “impact of rising rates on stocks”, lock the all the doors and then watch what happens from the safe confines of an observation deck.
High Note.
And so the holiday-shortened week comes to a close and it delivered everything that could have been reasonably expected of it.
Fly Me To The Moon.
I was told Icarus would be unleashed.
When Are Bond Yields ‘Kryptonite’ For Stocks? The Debate Rages On…
“Clients and colleagues are asking if there’s a magic interest rate that’s kryptonite to stocks; is it 3.0% or 3.5% on the 10Yr Treasury?”
Wait, What?
If you don’t have a sense of humor, the market’s reaction to the Fed minutes was probably pretty frustrating for you.Â
Read These Instructions Before Handling Fragile Fed Minutes
Obviously, interpreting the January Fed minutes is going to be a self-referential nightmare bordering on the absurd.
Neel Kaskhari Isn’t ‘Sitting Here Trying To Engineer’ Dow 86,000, Ok?
“…we’re not sitting here trying to engineer a certain level of the stock market.”
‘The Truth Is, We Don’t Know’: What Is The Line In The Sand For Bond Yields?
Well, the debate around what the number is for 10Y yields has devolved into a veritable obsession for markets at this point.Â
Welcome Back!
The win streak is over.
What’s Up With The Dollar? One Bank ‘Explains’ The Greenback’s Trials And Tribulations
In any event, take all of that for whatever it’s worth, and if you don’t agree with it, don’t fret because invariably, this debate will rage on for months.
‘Savor The Moment’ Because February’s Selloff Was ‘An Appetizer, Not The Main Course’
There you go. Lots of “bummers” on the horizon. So you know “savor” the moment, because…
Get Ready For ‘More Pain’ Trader Says, As Yields Rise, Stocks Fall, U.S. Traders Return
But hell, you never know these days. U.S. investors are a funny bunch and they’re prone to defying common sense when it comes to piling in for absolutely no reason whatsoever.
‘As Far As I’m Concerned, It’s Just Speculation’: Full Week Ahead Preview
“Right away, you’re ready to sell it.”
I Bet You Care About The Bond Market Now, Don’t You?
Funny what losing $3 trillion will do.
‘I Suppose You Think You Raised Hell’
“When I’ve raised hell you’ll know it.”
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