“Is the reflation narrative dead or alive?”
Category: 10Y
Daily Kickstart (China Grateful For Meandering Dollar, “Frexit” Fears Subside)
The overnight session was largely a snoozer on Thursday (no pun intended). The dollar looks
Yields Spike As 10Y Auction Tails
Well, that escalated quickly…
Chart Check (Super Awesome Cross-Asset Correlation Monitor Edition)
I’ve talked a ton about cross-asset correlations here and elsewhere over the past few months.
The Massive Spec Treasury Short Is Still… Well… Pretty Massive
As you’re surely aware, keeping up with the CFTC positioning data is mandatory these days.
Good Jobs, Bad Jobs
It’s like they’re micromanaging this thing by the hour…
Chart Check (“There Are Only Two Ways This Corrects Itself”)
There are only two ways that this corrects itself and one of them is bad for your stocks…
Daily Kickstart (Dollar Dumps After Fed Farce, Deutsche Bank Plunges)
Perhaps fearing some kind of Erdogan-esque reprisal from the White House, the Fed pussyfooted its
Yields, Dollar Jump On Giant ADP Beat
Expect a Trump tweet soon…
Chart Check: Cross-“Ass”et Correlation
Nomination uncertainty around the corner…
Daily Kickstart (Fed, Dollar In Focus As Global PMIs, iPhones Boost Sentiment)
Quite a lot of people seem to be hanging their hats on Wednesday’s Fed statement
This Is Your Brain On Cross-Asset Correlations
If you’re a regular reader (and let’s face it, why wouldn’t you be?) you know I talk quite a bit about cross-asset correlations and volatility…
Daily Kickstart (Trump Trainwreck Overshadows BoJ, Eurozone Inflation, GDP)
Well, this is officially a f*cking trainwreck. As you’re probably aware by now, President Trump
Daily Kickstart (Nervous Markets Weigh Trump Muslim Ban Ahead Of Big Week)
One of the most important things to remember when trading markets (or when living life
Bentley Mulsannes, Vespers, And Useless Projections
I will never understand investors’ fascination with people who make predictions. By extension, I will
Chart Check (Goldman Forecasts)
The vampire squid’s crystal ball…
“America First”: What Traders Will Be Watching Next Week
Ok, so it turns out that even if Congress is willing to suffer Donald Trump
“This Is Not Sustainable”: Reversing The “Constant” Drop In Yields
Sh*t, we started in risk-free government bonds and before you knew it, we were the proud owners of diluted shares in a cash flow negative shale producer.
“The Door Is Open To Surprises”: One Bank Warns On VaR Shock Potential
Late Friday evening, I noted that specs trimmed their record net short in Treasurys in
Record Treasury Short Unwinds – Slightly
In short (no pun intended), the most crowded trades of the year got a little less crowded as traders pared reflation bets following Trump’s inauguration.
“This Is A Big Deal”: One Trader Explains The Break In The Dollar/Bond Link
“If the dollar isn’t buying it, why should stocks and bonds?”
Chart Check (Reflation Divergence)
Well, the foreign bid is alive and well…
Everything You Need To Know About Rates In One Paragraph
Last night, I pondered whether it might be time to jump on board the bund
Daily Kickstart (“Bigly”)
Making stocks great again.
Daily Kickstart (Stocks Rise Across The Globe)
We start Wednesday with the dollar (where else, right?). Trump’s protectionist rhetoric and the lingering
“Canary In A Coal Mine Or Siren Song”?
Bright and early. Me. An espresso (I skipped the frothed milk this morning in favor
Shocker: Democrats Ready To “Make America Great Again”
“If you had told us that on the third work day of Trump’s Presidency, we would see a $1 Trillion dollar infrastructure proposal (over ten years) take shape in Washington, we would have told you that “we have a bridge to sell you as well”…
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