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Author: therealheisenberg

Bookkeepers

November 30, 2025November 30, 2025

Book of Genesis   Big Tom was a gangster. We didn’t know that. Being 11,

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3 Comments on Bookkeepers

Business As (Un)usual

November 30, 2025December 1, 2025

It’s jobs week in the US. Sort of. In the normal course of business, the

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3 Comments on Business As (Un)usual

Weekly: Scott Bessent Was Lucky

November 29, 2025December 1, 2025

In prepared remarks for this year’s Treausury Market Conference (it’s an annual event co-hosted by

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2 Comments on Weekly: Scott Bessent Was Lucky

Goodbye November, Hello December

November 28, 2025December 1, 2025

November was supposed to be a decent month for US equities. It wasn’t. However Friday’s

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4 Comments on Goodbye November, Hello December

‘Just Forget It’: US Home Sellers Are Giving Up

November 28, 2025November 30, 2025

You know what? Forget it. That’s what scores of American home sellers said in September,

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6 Comments on ‘Just Forget It’: US Home Sellers Are Giving Up

Nation Of Immigrants Institutes ‘Reverse Migration’

November 28, 2025December 1, 2025

A country of immigrants whose unofficial mascot beseeches the world to, “Give me your tired,

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6 Comments on Nation Of Immigrants Institutes ‘Reverse Migration’

Despite 2025 Rally, Bonds Haunted By Shifting Buyer Base

November 27, 2025November 28, 2025

When it comes to sovereign bond yields, popular discourse tends to turn on supply for

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2 Comments on Despite 2025 Rally, Bonds Haunted By Shifting Buyer Base

Trump’s Inflation Problem Is Getting Worse

November 27, 2025November 29, 2025

This month, US households delivered successive damning indictments of the US economy. Both the University

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11 Comments on Trump’s Inflation Problem Is Getting Worse

Spare A Thought For America’s Impoverished Retail Workers

November 26, 2025December 1, 2025

As Black Friday approaches and America enters the holiday shopping season, spare a thought for

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7 Comments on Spare A Thought For America’s Impoverished Retail Workers

Steve, Vlad And Don

November 26, 2025November 28, 2025

No one should need “coaching” on how to deal with Donald Trump. As capricious as

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12 Comments on Steve, Vlad And Don

What Layoffs?

November 26, 2025November 27, 2025

Don’t look now — seriously, don’t, because it’s immaterial to pretty much everything including and

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1 Comment on What Layoffs?

Google’s Awake

November 25, 2025November 27, 2025

Nothing to see here, folks. Nvidia’s still light years ahead of the competition and Jensen

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9 Comments on Google’s Awake

Consumer Confidence Collapses Second-Most In Four Years

November 25, 2025November 26, 2025

Consumer confidence among American households crumbled in November, according to a highly unfortunate read on

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2 Comments on Consumer Confidence Collapses Second-Most In Four Years

More Bad Jobs Data Puts Fed Doves In Charge

November 25, 2025November 26, 2025

“Curtailed.” That’s job creation among private sector employers in the US, and that’s not my

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3 Comments on More Bad Jobs Data Puts Fed Doves In Charge

Meanwhile, In US Housing…

November 25, 2025November 25, 2025

Good news, although I realize most of you aren’t here for that. Contract activity in

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Leave a Comment on Meanwhile, In US Housing…

Spending Tepid, Wholesale Prices Mixed In Delayed US Data

November 25, 2025November 26, 2025

Retail sales in the US rose at just half the expected pace in September, and

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Leave a Comment on Spending Tepid, Wholesale Prices Mixed In Delayed US Data

$4 Trillion Doomed To Underperform

November 24, 2025November 25, 2025

It’s hard to beat a benchmark when you’re condemned to be underweight the names driving

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2 Comments on $4 Trillion Doomed To Underperform

Weltschmerz (It’s Lonely Being A Real Bear)

November 24, 2025November 25, 2025

Everyone’s always looking for bear market canaries, crash harbingers and bad omens more generally. I

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2 Comments on Weltschmerz (It’s Lonely Being A Real Bear)

Google Comes For Everybody

November 24, 2025November 25, 2025

The “Google’s winning” narrative has some real traction all of a sudden. Maybe you noticed.

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9 Comments on Google Comes For Everybody

Bitcoin ‘Bleed-Over’

November 24, 2025November 25, 2025

Bitcoin was in the news again Monday. Unfortunately. A couple of days ago, as a

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6 Comments on Bitcoin ‘Bleed-Over’

College Fails America

November 23, 2025November 24, 2025

There was a time when a four-year college degree virtually guaranteed you a job, and

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6 Comments on College Fails America

Wampanoag Week 2025

November 23, 2025November 24, 2025

Should’ve let ’em die. Hindsight’s 20/20, but my goodness did Ousamequin make a mistake 400

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5 Comments on Wampanoag Week 2025

Weekly: The Bitcoin Barometer

November 22, 2025November 24, 2025

Bitcoin tends to peak around blow-off tops for speculative excess. That’s not a coincidence. Whatever

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13 Comments on Weekly: The Bitcoin Barometer

Google > OpenAI: A Grand Reset Of The AI Chessboard?

November 21, 2025November 23, 2025

If you want to unlock the mysteries of this week’s at times confusing US equities

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8 Comments on Google > OpenAI: A Grand Reset Of The AI Chessboard?

The October CPI Report Is Officially Canceled

November 21, 2025November 23, 2025

Remember when Donald Trump was bound by statute to publish inflation data? No? Me neither.

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4 Comments on The October CPI Report Is Officially Canceled

The Worst Consumer Sentiment Report Ever

November 21, 2025November 22, 2025

Good news! The marquee gauge of consumer sentiment in the US improved in the final

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7 Comments on The Worst Consumer Sentiment Report Ever

Trump, Putin Turn The Screws On Zelensky

November 21, 2025November 24, 2025

All Donald Trump wants in Ukraine is a “win-win scenario.” That’s according to Karoline Leavitt,

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10 Comments on Trump, Putin Turn The Screws On Zelensky

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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