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Author: therealheisenberg

Virtuous Circle Or Rehypothecation?

November 3, 2025November 4, 2025

Another session, another circular AI deal. If this all implodes one day — you can

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5 Comments on Virtuous Circle Or Rehypothecation?

Bullish Stocks, Bearish Life

November 3, 2025November 4, 2025

I wish I were a Pollyanna. Really I do. Whenever I pen something that’s constructive

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1 Comment on Bullish Stocks, Bearish Life

33 Out Of 36

November 3, 2025November 4, 2025

The first of this week’s key US macro updates suggested factory activity across the world’s

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9 Comments on 33 Out Of 36

One Word: Strong

November 3, 2025November 4, 2025

Earnings season in the US is going well. Maybe you noticed. Specifically, 82% of companies

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3 Comments on One Word: Strong

It’s Jobs Week In The US, BLS Or No BLS

November 2, 2025November 3, 2025

In the days ahead, an assemblage of private sector US macro releases will give traders

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Leave a Comment on It’s Jobs Week In The US, BLS Or No BLS

Fed Succumbs To Polarization Plaguing America

November 2, 2025November 3, 2025

Jerome Powell wasn’t exaggerating last week when he said there were “strongly different views” on

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1 Comment on Fed Succumbs To Polarization Plaguing America

Weekly: The AI Spending Question

November 1, 2025November 3, 2025

Now we’re supposed to believe investors are newly skeptical of AI spending. Just not at

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9 Comments on Weekly: The AI Spending Question

Buffett’s Cash Pile Hits New Record At $382 Billion

November 1, 2025November 3, 2025

It’s a Berkshire weekend. They always sneak up on me. Ol’ Warren (and “ol’” isn’t

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10 Comments on Buffett’s Cash Pile Hits New Record At $382 Billion

War With Venezuela Has Nothing To Do With Cocaine

October 31, 2025November 2, 2025

Donald Trump’s probably going to bomb the Venezuelan mainland. By the time you read this,

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11 Comments on War With Venezuela Has Nothing To Do With Cocaine

They’re Selling The Gold!

October 31, 2025November 1, 2025

They’re selling gold. Or at least they were. Sun-colored metal headed into Friday down two

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3 Comments on They’re Selling The Gold!

The Gen Z Put

October 31, 2025November 2, 2025

I can’t. Ok, I can, but it’s really, really hard. Suffer Wall Street strategists’ pretensions

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9 Comments on The Gen Z Put

Eternity

October 30, 2025October 30, 2025

I believe nostalgia [is] a model of unanimous eternity. The exile who with melting heart

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12 Comments on Eternity

Amazon Hits The Trifecta, Apple Stokes Holiday Optimism

October 30, 2025November 1, 2025

Amazon topped estimates in results released after the bell on Thursday. Total revenue in Q3

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3 Comments on Amazon Hits The Trifecta, Apple Stokes Holiday Optimism

Where To Now?

October 30, 2025October 31, 2025

I don’t love Mag7 reporting days. Or maybe I should say Mag6 reporting days. Tesla’s

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3 Comments on Where To Now?

Never Mind That Mushroom Cloud

October 30, 2025October 31, 2025

“I guess, on [a] scale from zero to 10, I would say the meeting was

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20 Comments on Never Mind That Mushroom Cloud

Europe’s Doing Ok, All Things Considered

October 30, 2025October 31, 2025

ECB meetings are non-events these days and will be for the foreseeable future. Long story

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Alphabet Has ‘Terrific’ Quarter. Spending Eyed At Meta, Microsoft

October 29, 2025October 30, 2025

“Terrific.” That’s one word to describe the quarter Alphabet just had. Or at least that’s

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2 Comments on Alphabet Has ‘Terrific’ Quarter. Spending Eyed At Meta, Microsoft

‘Far From A Foregone Conclusion’

October 29, 2025October 30, 2025

There was one overarching takeaway from Jerome Powell’s press conference on Wednesday afternoon in the

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1 Comment on ‘Far From A Foregone Conclusion’

Schmid V. Miran

October 29, 2025October 30, 2025

The Fed cut rates by 25bps on Wednesday, as widely expected. Stephen Miran, Trump’s man

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Crowning Achievement

October 29, 2025October 30, 2025

Memoranda of understanding. What are they, exactly? They’re “non-binding agreements that outline the shared intentions

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8 Comments on Crowning Achievement

Lower Mortgage Rates Fail To Revive Moribund US Housing

October 29, 2025October 30, 2025

Flat. That was contract activity in the US housing market last month. Wednesday’s sole, lonely

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5 Comments on Lower Mortgage Rates Fail To Revive Moribund US Housing

It’s Not A Bubble, Nvidia Insists

October 28, 2025October 29, 2025

Monday it was Qualcomm. Tuesday it was Nokia. Every day, something else soars 20% or

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7 Comments on It’s Not A Bubble, Nvidia Insists

F.O.R.T.

October 28, 2025October 29, 2025

The equity rally. You missed it. Ok, maybe you didn’t, but some people might’ve. And

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4 Comments on F.O.R.T.

Consumer Confidence Falls As American ‘Vibecession’ Unrelenting

October 28, 2025October 29, 2025

Consumer confidence in the US declined a third month in October as households continued to

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1 Comment on Consumer Confidence Falls As American ‘Vibecession’ Unrelenting

America’s Inflation-Adjusted Housing Wealth Shrinks Again

October 28, 2025October 28, 2025

Don’t look now, but America’s housing wealth declined a third straight month in inflation-adjusted terms.

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1 Comment on America’s Inflation-Adjusted Housing Wealth Shrinks Again

‘Give Him My Putter. He’ll Love It.’

October 28, 2025October 29, 2025

If I hear the term “golden age” one more time I fear I might lose

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3 Comments on ‘Give Him My Putter. He’ll Love It.’

Remember: Bears Are Never Held Accountable

October 27, 2025October 28, 2025

I keep coming back to the notion that people — as opposed to machines, and

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10 Comments on Remember: Bears Are Never Held Accountable

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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