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Author: therealheisenberg

Don’t Call It A Reprieve.

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

The underlying economic reality is stark.

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3 Comments on Don’t Call It A Reprieve.

Trump, Clearly Making It Up As He Goes Along, Jawbones Oil To Best Day In History

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

“They’re in a fight”.

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oil, OPEC8 Comments on Trump, Clearly Making It Up As He Goes Along, Jawbones Oil To Best Day In History

Gamma Drop-Off Offers Hope, But Now We Know: The Babadook Is Real

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

You can’t get rid of the Babadook.

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5 Comments on Gamma Drop-Off Offers Hope, But Now We Know: The Babadook Is Real

BOE Goes All In, Cuts Rates (Again), Ramps Up QE

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

“Bazooka Bailey”.

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Fed Answers Market SOS, Expands Dollar Swap Lines In Crucial Move Amid FX Chaos

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

The new facilities will be in place for “at least six months”, the Fed said Thursday.

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Ray Dalio: ‘We Have A Crisis. US Corporate Losses May Be $4 Trillion’

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

“What’s happening has not happened in our lifetime before”.

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6 Comments on Ray Dalio: ‘We Have A Crisis. US Corporate Losses May Be $4 Trillion’

Mar-A-Lago Accord, Untradeable FX And The Dangers Of Shutting Markets

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

“FX remains untradeable”.

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3 Comments on Mar-A-Lago Accord, Untradeable FX And The Dangers Of Shutting Markets

Fed Moves To Support Money Market Funds In Latest GFC Flashback

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

Are all the leaks plugged now? Somehow, I doubt it.

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1 Comment on Fed Moves To Support Money Market Funds In Latest GFC Flashback

Australia Unveils Asset Purchases, Yield Targeting As Economy Set For First Recession In Three Decades

March 18, 2020March 18, 2020

“The functioning of major government bond markets has been impaired”.

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ECB Launches New €750 Billion ‘Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program’. Says ‘Won’t Tolerate’ Virus Anymore

March 18, 2020March 19, 2020

“The Governing Council will do everything necessary.”

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4 Comments on ECB Launches New €750 Billion ‘Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program’. Says ‘Won’t Tolerate’ Virus Anymore

‘A Massive Margin Call On The Whole Financial Asset Rally Since 2010’

March 18, 2020March 19, 2020

“The moves smack of massive de-leveraging and a run into dollar cash”.

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oil12 Comments on ‘A Massive Margin Call On The Whole Financial Asset Rally Since 2010’

Ablaze.

March 18, 2020March 19, 2020

Wartime.

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8 Comments on Ablaze.

Bernanke, Yellen, Ackman Sound Alarm. Some Now See Virus As Existential Threat

March 18, 2020March 18, 2020

We are, to put it bluntly, at a tipping point.

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14 Comments on Bernanke, Yellen, Ackman Sound Alarm. Some Now See Virus As Existential Threat

‘When Risk Parity Goes Wrong’ And The Coming ‘New World Order’

March 18, 2020March 18, 2020

“I believe that investors are realizing that, in fact, this dual ‘Left Tail’ is now clearly about to dictate a ‘new world order'”.

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2 Comments on ‘When Risk Parity Goes Wrong’ And The Coming ‘New World Order’

As Crisis Swap Lines Tapped, Zoltan Pozsar Says ‘The New Shadow Banking System’ Needs A Backstop

March 18, 2020March 18, 2020

“Carry makes the world go round and central banks will have to backstop the shadow banking system – yet again.”

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1 Comment on As Crisis Swap Lines Tapped, Zoltan Pozsar Says ‘The New Shadow Banking System’ Needs A Backstop

It’s All Down But The Dollar.

March 18, 2020March 18, 2020

And yet, there’s one thing that’s up…

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oil1 Comment on It’s All Down But The Dollar.

Steve Mnuchin Didn’t ‘Predict’ 20% Unemployment. It Was Just A ‘Mathematical Example’, Ok?!

March 17, 2020March 18, 2020

I’m guessing “Great Depression II” wouldn’t poll well.

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2 Comments on Steve Mnuchin Didn’t ‘Predict’ 202 Unemployment. It Was Just A ‘Mathematical Example’, Ok?!

Fed Unveils Another Emergency Facility, Says Primary Dealers Can Post Stocks For Cash

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

“Credit extended may be collateralized by a broad range of IG debt and equity securities”.

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4 Comments on Fed Unveils Another Emergency Facility, Says Primary Dealers Can Post Stocks For Cash

It’s Not Enough. It’s Just Not Enough.

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

The situation is fluid.

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19 Comments on It’s Not Enough. It’s Just Not Enough.

Some Guy Dressed Up Like Steve Mnuchin Is Going To Send You Free Money ‘I Mean Now’

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

“In the next two weeks”.

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9 Comments on Some Guy Dressed Up Like Steve Mnuchin Is Going To Send You Free Money ‘I Mean Now’

Fed Reinstates Emergency Commercial Paper Funding Facility In Move To Avert Crisis

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

“The commercial paper market has been under considerable strain in recent days”.

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7 Comments on Fed Reinstates Emergency Commercial Paper Funding Facility In Move To Avert Crisis

Nomura’s McElligott: We’re Seeing ‘Nervous Dollar Hoarding Demand’

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

“…USD funding pressure continues to mount despite the positive optics of the coordinated global CB FX swap line actions”.

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: We’re Seeing ‘Nervous Dollar Hoarding Demand’

Whac-A-Mole! Fed Faces Nightmare As Libor, Cross-Currency Basis Blow Out, CP Market ‘Frozen’

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

Stress, pressure, strain – pick your descriptor.

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1 Comment on Whac-A-Mole! Fed Faces Nightmare As Libor, Cross-Currency Basis Blow Out, CP Market ‘Frozen’

That’s A Record Plunge In German Investor Confidence For Anyone Keeping Score

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

Bleak.

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$850 Billion.

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

Governments are under pressure to do something – anything.

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7 Comments on $850 Billion.

The Biggest VaR Shock Since Lehman & The Risk Parity Panic

March 16, 2020March 17, 2020

Any takers?

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10 Comments on The Biggest VaR Shock Since Lehman & The Risk Parity Panic

‘It’s Bad’

March 16, 2020March 16, 2020

Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before a fall.

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9 Comments on ‘It’s Bad’

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Cpt_literal on Warsh’s Position Is Untenable Already
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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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