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Author: therealheisenberg

Depressions Used To Mean Something.

April 15, 2020April 16, 2020

“Black & white memories”.

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3 Comments on Depressions Used To Mean Something.

As Banks Provision For Storm, Shoppers Storm Stores For Provisions

April 15, 2020April 15, 2020

Hunkering down, energy exposure and a future without bacon.

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2 Comments on As Banks Provision For Storm, Shoppers Storm Stores For Provisions

‘Black April’ And ‘The Worst Year In The History Of Global Oil Markets’

April 15, 2020April 15, 2020

“…demand in 2020 will fall by 9.3 million barrels a day, erasing almost a decade of growth.”

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oil, OPEC1 Comment on ‘Black April’ And ‘The Worst Year In The History Of Global Oil Markets’

The Fundamentals Are Sound: Industrial Collapse Edition

April 15, 2020April 15, 2020

The market is supposed to “look through” all of this.

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6 Comments on The Fundamentals Are Sound: Industrial Collapse Edition

Behold: Retail Apocalypse And An Unfathomable Drop In Empire Manufacturing

April 15, 2020April 15, 2020

It all falls down.

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3 Comments on Behold: Retail Apocalypse And An Unfathomable Drop In Empire Manufacturing

Goldman’s Traders Ride To Rescue, Offsetting Massive Loss In Investment Arm

April 15, 2020April 15, 2020

“I’m firmly convinced that [Goldman] will emerge well-positioned.”

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Coronavirus Makes Its Mark On Bank Of America As Loss Provisions, Revolver Draws Surge

April 15, 2020April 15, 2020

“Despite increasing our loan loss reserves, we earned $4 billion this quarter.”

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3 Comments on Coronavirus Makes Its Mark On Bank Of America As Loss Provisions, Revolver Draws Surge

China Slashes Key Rate, Setting Stage For Cut To De Facto Benchmark

April 14, 2020April 14, 2020

As GDP looms…

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Howard Marks Has Lots To Say About Bailouts And Moral Hazard. So, I’ll Bite.

April 14, 2020

“Most of us believe in the free-market system as the best allocator of resources.”

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14 Comments on Howard Marks Has Lots To Say About Bailouts And Moral Hazard. So, I’ll Bite.

Trump Halts Funding For World Health Organization. Says WHO ‘Caused So Much Death’

April 14, 2020April 15, 2020

“The outbreak could have been contained at its source with very little death.”

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11 Comments on Trump Halts Funding For World Health Organization. Says WHO ‘Caused So Much Death’

Harley Bassman: Fed Now Risks ‘Eroding The Basic Foundation Of Capitalism’

April 14, 2020

“It is never different this time.”

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7 Comments on Harley Bassman: Fed Now Risks ‘Eroding The Basic Foundation Of Capitalism’

The Writing Was On The Wall. Pandemic Or No Pandemic, This Recession Was Coming.

April 14, 2020April 14, 2020

“…there have always been shocking triggers behind major economic crises.”

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1 Comment on The Writing Was On The Wall. Pandemic Or No Pandemic, This Recession Was Coming.

Trump Likens Himself To Captain Bligh, Governors To ‘Mutineers’, In Bounty Blunder

April 14, 2020October 13, 2021

“A good old fashioned mutiny every now and then is an exciting and invigorating.”

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18 Comments on Trump Likens Himself To Captain Bligh, Governors To ‘Mutineers’, In Bounty Blunder

‘Since 9/11’: 93% See Global Recession In BofA Survey As Cash Levels Surge To 20-Year High

April 14, 2020

Respondents see a “U-shaped” recovery, not a “V-shaped” miracle. 

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1 Comment on ‘Since 9/11’: 93% See Global Recession In BofA Survey As Cash Levels Surge To 20-Year High

‘We Now Encounter A Grim Reality’: IMF Sees Worst Downturn Since Depression In ‘The Great Lockdown’

April 14, 2020April 14, 2020

“This crisis is like no other.”

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1 Comment on ‘We Now Encounter A Grim Reality’: IMF Sees Worst Downturn Since Depression In ‘The Great Lockdown’

JPMorgan Reports 69% Drop In Net Income As ‘Likely Severe Recession’ Prompts $6.8 Billion Reserve Build

April 14, 2020October 13, 2021

“The first quarter delivered some unprecedented challenges.”

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‘There’s No Such Thing As A Free Market.’ Imagine A Future Where Asset Prices Are Administered

April 13, 2020November 19, 2020

Call it a requiem. Or a pseudo-lament. Or maybe just an obituary dressed up as

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9 Comments on ‘There’s No Such Thing As A Free Market.’ Imagine A Future Where Asset Prices Are Administered

Against The Gods: ‘Historically A Losing Proposition’

April 13, 2020April 13, 2020

“Unhindered by moral hazard”…

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10 Comments on Against The Gods: ‘Historically A Losing Proposition’

Just How Bad Is It Out There For America’s Small Businesses? This Bad…

April 13, 2020April 13, 2020

“Hourly workers have seen hours, shifts, and operations come to a full stop.”

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3 Comments on Just How Bad Is It Out There For America’s Small Businesses? This Bad…

Marko Kolanovic Addresses ‘Critical’ COVID-19 Questions On Herd Immunity, True Mortality Rate

April 13, 2020April 14, 2020

“The analogy is with an iceberg.”

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Morgan Stanley’s Sobering COVID-19 Call: ‘This Is Far From Over’

April 13, 2020April 13, 2020

“…recovering from this acute period in the outbreak is just the beginning, not the end”.

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2 Comments on Morgan Stanley’s Sobering COVID-19 Call: ‘This Is Far From Over’

Nomura’s McElligott Is Back And He Wants To Talk About April’s Epic ‘Momentum Reversal Shock’

April 13, 2020April 13, 2020

“Could this be ‘it’?”

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott Is Back And He Wants To Talk About April’s Epic ‘Momentum Reversal Shock’

Oprah Versus COVID.

April 13, 2020April 13, 2020

“Everybody gets a car”.

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3 Comments on Oprah Versus COVID.

Dangerous Territory.

April 12, 2020April 13, 2020

“…as investors’ focus turns to the real economy a reality check or two remains in the cards.”

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Saudis Declare OPEC+ ‘Up And Alive’ After Mexican Standoff, But Demand Still ‘Down And Dead’

April 12, 2020April 12, 2020

“We’re more than happy with the deal.”

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oil, OPEC2 Comments on Saudis Declare OPEC+ ‘Up And Alive’ After Mexican Standoff, But Demand Still ‘Down And Dead’

‘We Either Produce Food Or Not’, Smithfield CEO Warns, As Virus Closes Sioux Falls Plant

April 12, 2020April 13, 2020

“An alarming statistic.”

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16 Comments on ‘We Either Produce Food Or Not’, Smithfield CEO Warns, As Virus Closes Sioux Falls Plant

Neel Kashkari: Barring ‘Miracle’, America Should Expect 18 Months Of Rolling Shutdowns

April 12, 2020April 13, 2020

“This could be a long, hard road we have ahead of us.”

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6 Comments on Neel Kashkari: Barring ‘Miracle’, America Should Expect 18 Months Of Rolling Shutdowns

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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