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Author: therealheisenberg

‘Never Quite Say Never’

December 10, 2020December 10, 2020

Cans were kicked both on fresh stimulus to help the US weather the winter virus

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A Ticket To The S&P Party Costs American Workers More Sweat Than Ever

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020

Let’s say, for argument’s sake, that you have a job. First of all, congratulations! Because

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6 Comments on A Ticket To The S&P Party Costs American Workers More Sweat Than Ever

Are We Just Buying Time? ‘An Urgent Need To Reconfigure The Whole Socioeconomic System’

December 9, 2020December 10, 2020

Over the course of the last nine months, I’ve been keen to emphasize that part

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21 Comments on Are We Just Buying Time? ‘An Urgent Need To Reconfigure The Whole Socioeconomic System’

Marko Kolanovic Delivers 2021 Outlook: ‘A Decline In Volatility Creates A Positive Feedback Loop’

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020

JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic grabbed plenty of headlines over the course of the pandemic, both within

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As Households Cling To Cash, Dalio Wonders: Why Not 50X Earnings For Stocks?

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020

While perusing a recent note from Goldman assessing the odds of an equity market pullback

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5 Comments on As Households Cling To Cash, Dalio Wonders: Why Not 50X Earnings For Stocks?

Stocks May See ‘Modest Pullback’ On ‘Extremely Stretched’ Positioning, Goldman Says

December 9, 2020

“Since the start of November, US equity mutual funds and ETFs have witnessed $52 billion

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3 Comments on Stocks May See ‘Modest Pullback’ On ‘Extremely Stretched’ Positioning, Goldman Says

All Brinkmanship, All The Time

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020

US stimulus talks dominated the headlines again on Wednesday after Steve Mnuchin injected himself into

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15 Comments on All Brinkmanship, All The Time

China Sees First Consumer Price Deflation Since 2009

December 8, 2020

For the first time since 2009, China witnessed consumer price deflation. CPI declined 0.5% in

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Don’t Leave Town Without It

December 8, 2020December 9, 2020

More incrementally positive developments on the vaccine front bolstered risk sentiment in the US Tuesday

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3 Comments on Don’t Leave Town Without It

Mini-Mansion Mania!

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

When Toll Brothers, America’s leading luxury home builder, reported earnings after the bell on Monday

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3 Comments on Mini-Mansion Mania!

Ray Dalio On ‘Floods Of Money,’ Bitcoin, China, And Social Safety Nets

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

Ray Dalio held another one of his “Ask Me Anything” Reddit events on Tuesday. It

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5 Comments on Ray Dalio On ‘Floods Of Money,’ Bitcoin, China, And Social Safety Nets

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Right-Tail, Crash-Up’ Still Most Likely Scenario Despite ‘Scary’ Sentiment Overshoot

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

The ongoing compression of realized volatility into a rally that saw US equities push to

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Meanwhile, In Japan

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

Lost in the shuffle Tuesday was more than $700 billion in additional stimulus out of

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4 Comments on Meanwhile, In Japan

For A Good Cause

December 8, 2020December 8, 2020

Headlines on Tuesday were dominated by the UK’s vaccine rollout (the first among western nations),

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Reluctant Borrowers: Another Canary?

December 7, 2020December 8, 2020

I doubt the point needed further underscoring, but just in case, the latest consumer credit

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3 Comments on Reluctant Borrowers: Another Canary?

Divide, Conquer & Stay Rich

December 7, 2020December 9, 2020

Part of COVID-19’s legacy will be the extent to which the pandemic laid bare the

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23 Comments on Divide, Conquer & Stay Rich

‘Real Households Are Going To Be In Dire Straits’: JPMorgan Liaises With Biden On Stimulus

December 7, 2020December 8, 2020

Don’t worry: JPMorgan knows what to do. With lawmakers in Washington still wrangling over how

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4 Comments on ‘Real Households Are Going To Be In Dire Straits’: JPMorgan Liaises With Biden On Stimulus

JPMorgan On 2018 Melt-Up Parallel: ‘Any Near-Term Equity Correction Is Buying Opportunity’

December 7, 2020

More than a few analysts and investors have identified what they believe is a parallel

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5 Comments on JPMorgan On 2018 Melt-Up Parallel: ‘Any Near-Term Equity Correction Is Buying Opportunity’

Terms Of Trade

December 7, 2020December 7, 2020

Equities seemed a bit nervous to start the new week as concerns over new US

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3 Comments on Terms Of Trade

Only In America

December 6, 2020December 7, 2020

“Much like the mythological ‘kraken’ monster after which plaintiffs have named this lawsuit, their claims

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10 Comments on Only In America

Goldman Sees Big Disconnect In Market Pricing For Dividends

December 6, 2020December 6, 2020

Goldman thinks the market might be too pessimistic on the outlook for dividends. Obviously, the

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3 Comments on Goldman Sees Big Disconnect In Market Pricing For Dividends

Bond Bears In A Pandemic

December 6, 2020December 6, 2020

The new week will be dominated by talk of a “skinny” fiscal stimulus deal in

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3 Comments on Bond Bears In A Pandemic

For The First Time In A Decade, The US Stock Market Is Expanding

December 5, 2020December 5, 2020

From April on, the pandemic forced Wall Street analysts to toss out the playbook on

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2 Comments on For The First Time In A Decade, The US Stock Market Is Expanding

Benchmarks & The 2018 Melt-Up Parallel

December 5, 2020December 5, 2020

“The bullishness is rampant,” David Rosenberg, who’s always good for a quote or two or

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9 Comments on Benchmarks & The 2018 Melt-Up Parallel

‘The Patients Are Sick’: CNBC’s Dangerous Cosplay

December 5, 2020December 6, 2020

This week, the US garnered the dubious distinction of recording a record number of coronavirus

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43 Comments on ‘The Patients Are Sick’: CNBC’s Dangerous Cosplay

The Process

December 4, 2020December 5, 2020

Bad news was good news Friday. Or at least that’s one interpretation of the price

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7 Comments on The Process

What Risk? None In Junk, Apparently

December 4, 2020December 4, 2020

Well, junk bond yields are at new record lows, which would be surprising if all

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3 Comments on What Risk? None In Junk, Apparently

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