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Author: therealheisenberg

‘Simply Squeezed’: Surging Prices Finally Bite US Housing

June 22, 2021June 22, 2021

Existing home sales fell again in May, even as the pace was a marginal beat

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6 Comments on ‘Simply Squeezed’: Surging Prices Finally Bite US Housing

JPMorgan: Fed’s Hawkish Surprise ‘Not A Game Changer’

June 22, 2021June 27, 2021

The June Fed “isn’t a game changer.” That, in a nutshell, is how JPMorgan sees

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And The Lego People Screamed

June 21, 2021June 22, 2021

“We think the 20bps flattening in the curve since the Fed looks extreme and was

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3 Comments on And The Lego People Screamed

Ray Dalio’s Fed Take And Markets As Functioning Alcoholics

June 21, 2021June 29, 2021

“It’s easy to say that the Fed should tighten. And I think that they should,”

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14 Comments on Ray Dalio’s Fed Take And Markets As Functioning Alcoholics

‘Very Good Moves,’ Very ‘Excited’ People

June 21, 2021June 25, 2021

Jim Bullard did some talking on Friday and markets weren’t amused. He did some more

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8 Comments on ‘Very Good Moves,’ Very ‘Excited’ People

McElligott On What The ‘Fed Put World Order’ Hath Wrought

June 21, 2021June 22, 2021

Over the weekend, I talked a bit (ok, a lot) about the prospect of the

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Plunge Protection And Policy Errors

June 21, 2021June 21, 2021

The BoJ bought ETFs for the first time in two months on Monday, as Japanese

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9 Comments on Plunge Protection And Policy Errors

The Dollar Post-Fed Pivot (And Other Musings)

June 20, 2021June 21, 2021

I guess I don’t have to say this, but the dollar is poised to be

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2 Comments on The Dollar Post-Fed Pivot (And Other Musings)

The Week After

June 20, 2021June 24, 2021

A relative paucity of data during the first half of the new week will leave

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2 Comments on The Week After

The Lollipop Emoji

June 19, 2021June 21, 2021

Somehow, I feel it’s necessary to reiterate the general thrust of “Too Far Gone,” an

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5 Comments on The Lollipop Emoji

Who Wants These Stocks?

June 19, 2021June 28, 2021

2021’s stock-buying bonanza took what counted as a break during the first full week of

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Too Far Gone

June 19, 2021June 20, 2021

I still think it’s a wild stretch to suggest that the Fed’s hawkish tilt at

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A One-Eighty

June 18, 2021June 20, 2021

Neel Kashkari is opposed to rate hikes “at least” through 2023, headlines read late Friday.

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6 Comments on A One-Eighty

Tapping The Brakes

June 18, 2021June 19, 2021

If you’re driving down a US highway in the left lane at a “respectable” speed

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6 Comments on Tapping The Brakes

Jim Bullard Abandons Doves In Bitter Betrayal

June 18, 2021June 23, 2021

Someone may need to remind Jim Bullard what a “Jim Bullard” does. In remarks to

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11 Comments on Jim Bullard Abandons Doves In Bitter Betrayal

Turning The Titanic

June 18, 2021June 19, 2021

All it took was a surprisingly “hawkish” (scare quotes because it’s all very relative) shift

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1 Comment on Turning The Titanic

A Bit Of Chaos Never Hurt Anybody

June 17, 2021June 18, 2021

The post-Fed trade was somewhat chaotic, but one familiar theme was easy enough to discern:

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4 Comments on A Bit Of Chaos Never Hurt Anybody

McElligott On The Fed’s ‘Line In The Sand’

June 17, 2021June 21, 2021

On Wednesday, hours prior to the June dot plot reveal, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott wrote that

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Wapner, Cramer Receive Divine Tepper Revelation On Live Television

June 17, 2021June 18, 2021

Don’t worry everybody, the stock market will probably be fine despite an upward shift in

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2 Comments on Wapner, Cramer Receive Divine Tepper Revelation On Live Television

Lehman Trader Learns First Rule Of Dramatized Market Commentary

June 17, 2021June 18, 2021

It’ll be difficult to escape hawkish Fed interpretations over the next week or so. Take

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2 Comments on Lehman Trader Learns First Rule Of Dramatized Market Commentary

FAIT Accompli

June 17, 2021June 21, 2021

Admittedly, I found it difficult to get totally behind the notion that the June FOMC marked

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3 Comments on FAIT Accompli

Jobless Claims Surge, Philly Prices Highest Since Horse And Buggy

June 17, 2021June 17, 2021

412,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, far more than expected. Out of nearly

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims Surge, Philly Prices Highest Since Horse And Buggy

Pay No Attention To These Projections

June 16, 2021June 17, 2021

“These projections do not represent a committee decision or a plan,” Jerome Powell said Wednesday,

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4 Comments on Pay No Attention To These Projections

Fed Signals Two Hikes By End Of 2023

June 16, 2021June 21, 2021

“Inflation has risen, largely reflecting transitory factors,” the Fed said Wednesday, in a June policy

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1 Comment on Fed Signals Two Hikes By End Of 2023

McElligott: Op-Ex Is ‘Huge Thing’

June 16, 2021June 18, 2021

That nearly three quarters of respondents polled in the June vintage of BofA’s monthly fund

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Bubble Watching In US Housing

June 16, 2021June 23, 2021

Housing starts rose in May, but missed estimates on the heels of April’s lackluster showing.

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4 Comments on Bubble Watching In US Housing

China’s Recovery Is Rolling Over

June 16, 2021June 16, 2021

All the usual questions lingered ahead of the June Fed meeting. The balance of evidence

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