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Author: therealheisenberg

US PMIs Show ‘Soaring’ Prices, ‘Vastly’ Higher Wage Bills

November 23, 2021November 26, 2021

US economic activity remained robust in November, but growth was impaired by a shortage of

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Leave a Comment on US PMIs Show ‘Soaring’ Prices, ‘Vastly’ Higher Wage Bills

Lira Collapses As Erdogan Flirts With Outright Calamity

November 23, 2021November 30, 2021

“We know quite well what we’re doing with the current policy, why we’re doing it

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1 Comment on Lira Collapses As Erdogan Flirts With Outright Calamity

Marko Kolanovic Asks ‘How Cheap Is Oil?’

November 22, 2021November 23, 2021

For the past couple of months, the Biden administration has been at pains to articulate

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When ‘Goldilocks’ Isn’t ‘Just Right’

November 22, 2021November 23, 2021

Cognitive dissonance doesn’t have to be distressing, although it often is. You can harbor inconsistent

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4 Comments on When ‘Goldilocks’ Isn’t ‘Just Right’

Biden, Radical Leftist, Sticks With GOP Investment Banker At Fed

November 22, 2021November 28, 2021

Don’t shake anything up, Joe, it might be too risky. America’s left-wing radical commander-in-chief threw

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8 Comments on Biden, Radical Leftist, Sticks With GOP Investment Banker At Fed

War Games And Vaccine Agitprop

November 22, 2021November 23, 2021

Some market participants may be concerned, but it isn’t likely that new containment measures tied

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5 Comments on War Games And Vaccine Agitprop

Summers Humbly Assigns Numerical Odds To Unknowable Future

November 21, 2021November 26, 2021

I often wonder if there’s a place for humor in the world anymore. People still

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11 Comments on Summers Humbly Assigns Numerical Odds To Unknowable Future

Thanksgiving Week Promises Data Feast, Biden Fed Pick

November 21, 2021November 24, 2021

Market participants in the US will take a day off this week to gorge themselves

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1 Comment on Thanksgiving Week Promises Data Feast, Biden Fed Pick

Bet On The Fed, Not The Macro

November 20, 2021November 22, 2021

“Confusing.” That’s as good a description as any when it comes to assessing US rates,

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5 Comments on Bet On The Fed, Not The Macro

Wall Street Has Almost Never Been This Pessimistic

November 20, 2021November 28, 2021

We’re now seven weeks into the fourth quarter and US equities have gained in six

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7 Comments on Wall Street Has Almost Never Been This Pessimistic

Don’t Forget About The Plague

November 19, 2021November 21, 2021

“10-year US real rates are now -4.6%,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett wrote, in the latest installment

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7 Comments on Don’t Forget About The Plague

‘Epic Feats’ Of US Government Dysfunction

November 19, 2021November 27, 2021

The House passed Joe Biden’s social spending plan on Friday, clearing the way for Joe

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9 Comments on ‘Epic Feats’ Of US Government Dysfunction

Front-Running ‘Semi-Predictable Volatility Storms’

November 19, 2021November 21, 2021

Over the course of 2021, the notion that OpEx is associated with vol expansions and

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Austria Mandates Vaccines, Locks Down Country In Dramatic Crackdown

November 19, 2021November 25, 2021

Market sentiment took a hit Friday from news that Austria will institute a 10-day nationwide

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7 Comments on Austria Mandates Vaccines, Locks Down Country In Dramatic Crackdown

The Final Decoupling: Markets Achieve ‘Autonomy’ From Fundamentals

November 18, 2021November 21, 2021

When BofA asked the 350 panelists who participated in the November edition of the bank’s

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11 Comments on The Final Decoupling: Markets Achieve ‘Autonomy’ From Fundamentals

Another Quick Word On The Market’s Tech Addiction

November 18, 2021November 19, 2021

Earlier this week, in “The ‘Greatest Risk’ To The ‘GAMMA’ Stocks,” I mentioned SocGen’s Albert

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2 Comments on Another Quick Word On The Market’s Tech Addiction

In Turkey, ‘History Is Now Going In Reverse’

November 18, 2021November 24, 2021

You can have your theories, but Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan “cannot be on the same

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1 Comment on In Turkey, ‘History Is Now Going In Reverse’

Firms See Long-Run Inflation Running Far Above Fed Target

November 18, 2021November 19, 2021

If you’re inclined to extrapolate from regional Fed surveys, the US economy is still running

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2 Comments on Firms See Long-Run Inflation Running Far Above Fed Target

A Straight Horizontal Line

November 18, 2021November 18, 2021

In a wonderfully ridiculous example of fitting a narrative to a given day’s price action,

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9 Comments on A Straight Horizontal Line

In ‘Dreamland,’ Nobody Knows Anything

November 17, 2021November 25, 2021

To the extent they’ve succumbed to avarice, market participants could use “a little bit more

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3 Comments on In ‘Dreamland,’ Nobody Knows Anything

Crash-Up! Retail Investors Engineer Another Gamma Squeeze

November 17, 2021November 18, 2021

There’s been a “massive grab” for short-dated lottery tickets in high-flying US growth shares and

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Housing Starts Data Betrays Eye-Watering Disparity

November 17, 2021November 18, 2021

US housing starts fell a second month in October, data out Wednesday showed. Starts dropped

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1 Comment on Housing Starts Data Betrays Eye-Watering Disparity

‘Raging Manias’ And The Only Acceptable State Of Affairs

November 17, 2021November 18, 2021

The headlines are littered with bubble warnings. Of course, that’s been true every day for

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5 Comments on ‘Raging Manias’ And The Only Acceptable State Of Affairs

The ‘Greatest Risk’ To The ‘GAMMA’ Stocks

November 16, 2021November 17, 2021

Earlier this month, I noted that “concentration risk” in US equities is the highest it’s

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7 Comments on The ‘Greatest Risk’ To The ‘GAMMA’ Stocks

Investors ‘Storm’ US Housing Market, Buy 90,000 Homes In Three Months

November 16, 2021November 26, 2021

As US home prices ascended into the stratosphere amid a confluence of pandemic dynamics all

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8 Comments on Investors ‘Storm’ US Housing Market, Buy 90,000 Homes In Three Months

Goldman Delivers 2022 US Equity Outlook (It’s Bullish)

November 16, 2021November 17, 2021

700 points separates Goldman’s year-end 2022 target for the S&P 500 from Morgan Stanley’s forecast.

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Forget Bill Dudley. Mind The Flows That Matter

November 16, 2021November 16, 2021

If you’re looking to explain intraday market swings, don’t read too much into the incessant

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4 Comments on Forget Bill Dudley. Mind The Flows That Matter

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