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Author: therealheisenberg

What 0DTEs Are Doing To Markets

February 23, 2023February 23, 2023

When I talk about “brave new markets,” I’m generally referring to market microstructure in general,

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4 Comments on What 0DTEs Are Doing To Markets

Why McElligott Doesn’t Fear ‘Volmageddon 2.0’ — Yet

February 23, 2023March 5, 2023

Last week, one of the most recognizable names on the sell-side weighed in on the

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5 Comments on Why McElligott Doesn’t Fear ‘Volmageddon 2.0’ — Yet

Liquidity, Earnings And One Bear’s Big Disconnect

February 23, 2023February 24, 2023

Over the past week (or two or three) market participants latched onto a narrative about

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Meanwhile, Inside The Housing Bubble…

February 23, 2023February 23, 2023

How large was the correction in the US housing market during 2022’s rapid run-up in

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Cruel US GDP Revisions Are Cause For Angst

February 23, 2023February 23, 2023

Historically, I haven’t spent a lot of time covering GDP revisions for the US economy,

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1 Comment on Cruel US GDP Revisions Are Cause For Angst

Albert Edwards Echoes Wilson: Stocks In ‘Death Zone’

February 23, 2023February 24, 2023

SocGen’s Albert Edwards agrees with Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson: US stocks are indeed in the

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2 Comments on Albert Edwards Echoes Wilson: Stocks In ‘Death Zone’

Dark Days

February 23, 2023February 23, 2023

“Providing material support to Russia or assistance with any kind of systemic sanctions evasion would

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9 Comments on Dark Days

Overhyped Fed Minutes Fail To Impress

February 22, 2023February 23, 2023

“Almost all” Fed officials backed a step-down to 25bps rate hike increments at this month’s

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2 Comments on Overhyped Fed Minutes Fail To Impress

Zuckerberg To Cut ‘Thousands’ More Jobs: Report

February 22, 2023February 23, 2023

Mark Zuckerberg’s “year of efficiency” is proceeding apace, apparently. Meta is gearing up for more

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3 Comments on Zuckerberg To Cut ‘Thousands’ More Jobs: Report

Comrades In Moscow

February 22, 2023

Wang Yi got his meeting with Vladimir Putin on Wednesday. Or perhaps it’s more accurate

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4 Comments on Comrades In Moscow

The Search For Peak Rates Continues

February 22, 2023February 22, 2023

Have “oblivious” US equities finally woken up to what’s going on in the rates complex

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1 Comment on The Search For Peak Rates Continues

What The Fed Whisperer Is Reading This Week

February 22, 2023February 23, 2023

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: In my opinion, it’s not ideal

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5 Comments on What The Fed Whisperer Is Reading This Week

‘No Limits’

February 22, 2023March 1, 2023

Just days after using the Munich Security Conference as a forum to deride the White

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17 Comments on ‘No Limits’

Why The Risk Of Profit Letdowns Has Never Been Higher

February 21, 2023February 22, 2023

Never has the risk of downside earnings surprises from corporate America been greater. Or at

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1 Comment on Why The Risk Of Profit Letdowns Has Never Been Higher

What Walmart And Home Depot Said About The Economy

February 21, 2023February 21, 2023

Nearly two years on from the last round of stimulus checks, the US consumer has

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1 Comment on What Walmart And Home Depot Said About The Economy

Head-Spinning Regime Shift Feeds US Stock Fund Exodus

February 21, 2023February 21, 2023

It’s always an open question whether flows follow performance or vice versa, but the prospect

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US Home Sales Fall 12th Month. Prices Near Milestone Drop

February 21, 2023February 22, 2023

Recently awakened animal spirits aren’t showing up in existing home sales just yet. A week

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1 Comment on US Home Sales Fall 12th Month. Prices Near Milestone Drop

Putin Gives No Ground In Key Speech As War Enters Second Year

February 21, 2023March 6, 2023

“They were the ones who started the war,” Vladimir Putin said Tuesday, during a marathon

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7 Comments on Putin Gives No Ground In Key Speech As War Enters Second Year

Upbeat US PMIs Come With Ominous Warning For Fed

February 21, 2023February 22, 2023

Economic activity in the US picked up markedly in early February, preliminary PMIs for this

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Bears Pile On As Calls For Selloff Reach Fever Pitch

February 21, 2023February 21, 2023

The vast majority of bank clients are confused about the resilience of stocks in 2023,

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1 Comment on Bears Pile On As Calls For Selloff Reach Fever Pitch

Europe Picks Up Steam. Goldman Raises ECB Call

February 21, 2023February 21, 2023

The European economy, largely left for dead late last year, continued to perform in February,

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High-Altitude Hallucinations

February 20, 2023February 20, 2023

Late last month, in “Plane English,” I expressed something akin to exhaustion with market participants’

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2 Comments on High-Altitude Hallucinations

‘Death Zones’ And The Trillion-Dollar Liquidity Narrative

February 20, 2023July 24, 2023

In his latest note, currently making the proverbial rounds, Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson channeled Jon

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7 Comments on ‘Death Zones’ And The Trillion-Dollar Liquidity Narrative

Fed Success May Go Through Shrinking Corporate Profits

February 20, 2023February 21, 2023

The US may be headed for an earnings recession+, but compared to the rest of

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1 Comment on Fed Success May Go Through Shrinking Corporate Profits

Where To Now For Corporate Profits?

February 20, 2023February 20, 2023

Analysts have rapidly cut profit forecasts for corporate America, even as the breadth of negative

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Wartime Presidents

February 20, 2023March 5, 2023

On Sunday evening, the White House’s public schedule for Joe Biden suggested he’d be in

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2 Comments on Wartime Presidents

Suddenly, People Are Asking The Bigger Macro Question

February 19, 2023February 19, 2023

The “structural shift” discussion as it relates to long run rates in a new macro

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Monthly Letters

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Hell Or High Fashion

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