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Trump’s Odds, Stocks And The Grover Cleveland Analogue
Prediction market odds took another turn in favor of Donald Trump in the wake of the July 13 assassination attempt in Pennsylvania.
The high print on PredictIt was $0.69. As the new week dawned, Biden's betting odds were $0.25 to Trump's $0.65.
The figure below gives you some visual context for just how dramatic the last several weeks really were. Trump's a lock, it would appear.
Note that Kamala Harris's odds overtook Biden's following the debate -- twice.
On the congressional side, the o
It suddenly occurs to me that Trump has been warned. He won’t have much to gain from continued mouthy rallies. We might see a much different version this time around. He won’t be spending much time overseas or in the press briefing room, I fancy. Besides, for all the attention on Biden’s brain, it won’t be long before we see the other one going down. Reagan did his second term from an easy chair suitable for long naps. I’ll wager the next term will be dominated by Junior and the apprentice.