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Why Markets Could Be A Fireworks Show Next Week
The range of possible policy outcomes is expanding in the US.
I assume this is obvious to my non-US readers, but just in case: That matters to everyone, everywhere.
The perception of a wider distribution for the Fed comes courtesy of a resilient US labor market, and the implications of that for personal spending, housing and the services sector in general.
As discussed at length in "Hawks And Doves On The Carousel Of Madness," terminal rate pricing has moved markedly higher, and next week's U
Are there any notable reversals back up in CPI inputs big enough to make the headline numbers miss? It seems like they are trending down but is there a spoiler lurking?
I know top pros (CTAs) do this for a living but I’ll bet my new hat profs don’t teach any of this to undergrad investment students and I know none of my teaching colleagues had a clue.